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| Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
| Hezbollah's Mouthpiece: Syria-Border Attack -- Game Changer |
| 2014-03-23 |
| [Ynet] Paper affiliated with the organization claims Israel believed its Leb strike will be unanswered -- and was wrong. In an opinion piece written by Ibrahim Al-Amin, editor of Leb's heavily pro-Hezbollah newspaper Al-Akhbar, it is claimed that Hezbollah knows everything about Israel -- however Israel does not know much about the organization, thus did not anticipate the response. "Israel tried its luck when bombing the Hezbollah facility on the Syria-Leb border in the Leb Valley area," the article read. "Israel did not ignore Hezbollah's message, that stressed there will be a response, but it did not know how and when. And then the tables have turned: Rocket fire towards a Mount Hermon outpost and an attempt to place an explosive in the Golan Heights." The writer further noted that even though Hezbollah did not claim responsibility for the attack, Israel accused the organization out of hope that it was the anticipated response. "In such a situation, Israel can use the space of denial and thus shut down the game. Hezbollah knows Israel well and knows what happens within it a lot more than really needed. The organization knows when Israel gets the message and helps it take it in, and even pulls the strings to have Israel operate according to its wishes." In the article that somewhat signifies the terror organization's responsibility for the recent attack, Al-Amin added that Hezbollah's desire to set new ground rules led its people to place two explosives on the northern Israeli border, after a special commando force managed to cross all security barriers. "One (bomb) went kaboom!when a command patrol passed and the other was left for the soldiers, for them to find it at a later time. The nature and power of the devices were prepared within 'a small and special mailbox' so that Israel would know the sender's identity." It was further claimed in the article in that the explosive in the Golan, which Israel claims was skillfully prepared, made Israel attack an outpost within Syria. According to Al-Amin, "the non-fatal hits caused Israel to not be able to expressly say Hezbollah is behind the attack, but it responded against Syrian army outposts and claimed they were liable for the action." Al-Amin, who is considered Nasrallah's mouthpiece, wrote that compared to the Syrian arena, where according to reports Israel had struck and calm was maintained, in Leb the situation is different. "Israel's problem is not only its wrongful speculation about the nature of the response of the Syrian regime or Hezbollah over the ongoing escalating tensions, but it thinks that things can be done while it chooses to act unilaterally," it was claimed. "It is true that enemy forces attacked Syrian outposts in front of the occupied Golan, but Israel knows that an attack would not change a thing in the new reality." Hezbollah defined their recent operation as an incident designed to draw the attention of Israel to the reality in the field. "It forces Israel to face to limited options: Either hide the pain, scream to resolve the problem or respond with an under-the-belt attack that would make the other side retreat," Al-Amin wrote. |
| Posted by:trailing wife |
| #7 .. you remember those brein-storming sessions I'm sure. I've found it doesn't cost any more to pull one's thumb from one's arse and think large, especially when no other clear evidence is available. True. Yet we were always taught to leaven it with probables. The 'nuke effect' is a probable. An aircraft rigged as a "dirty bomb" is more likely. An aircraft packed to its load point with explosives or explosive/inflammables, even more likely. In any case, the list of options and 'solutions' while varying slightly, are pretty much the same. One thing left unconsidered is the black-market resale of the aircraft. As for the lack of DoD assets: At this point I think it boils down to both availability and costs. There likely aren't available assets in area. And for reasons various and sundry "there isn't the money." |
| Posted by: Pappy 2014-03-23 19:28 |
| #6 As I said, Zero is very good at doing stuff about things he cares about, and as for the stuff he doesn't... he'll say he does and send over a couple pallets of MRE's. Less argument that way. |
| Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain 2014-03-23 17:49 |
| #5 I have no idea Glen, certainly not an area of expertise for me. New debris has been sited by the French. Appears no one has actually recovered any debris however. I'm more than a little perplexed at the strange lack of involvement or commitment by our DoD. One or two planes, on and off. No surface ships. Is this notional effort ? |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2014-03-23 14:10 |
| #4 How hard would it be to create a fake aircraft radar transponder that could be programmed to pretend to be some other/some specific other airplane? |
| Posted by: Glenmore 2014-03-23 13:59 |
| #3 I'll leave extraterrestials and spoon bending to others, but I like to 'worst case' all potential scenarios. Scenario and COA development... you remember those brein-storming sessions I'm sure. I've found it doesn't cost any more to pull one's thumb from one's arse and think large, especially when no other clear evidence is available. Besides, it provides humor for the idle and curious who sit around waiting for something to turn up. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2014-03-23 12:39 |
| #2 And the UFO's meneer. Don't forget the UFOs. |
| Posted by: Pappy 2014-03-23 12:14 |
| #1 The real "game changer" would be a nuclear armed Boeing 777. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2014-03-23 08:40 |