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Caribbean-Latin America
Nicaragua: Moscow's 'Second Front'
2014-05-03


If focused exclusively on Russian actions in Ukraine or other areas contiguous to Russia, one loses sight of major elements of Moscow's foreign policy. The Russian Federation considers itself to be a global power that is active everywhere and that, whatever Russia's leadership might publicly claim, is challenging the United States anywhere that it can. One such arena is Latin America. Even as the Ukrainian crisis rages, Moscow is steadily trying to increase its profile throughout the Western Hemisphere. But as is generally the case in such Russian endeavors, Moscow picks certain key actors with whom it pursues a deeper "strategic partnership." In Latin America, Hugo Chavez's Venezuela has played an important role in this guise. But with Chavez's death and the mounting instability in Venezuela, it appears that Russia has shifted to Nicaragua as a more stable and equally reliably anti-American partner. In February 2014, Moscow announced that it was seeking naval bases in Nicaragua, Venezuela and Cuba--the "usual suspects" of Russian policy in the region (RIA Novosti, February 26).

Since then, Russia's efforts to establish a long-term strategic presence in Nicaragua has steadily grown. In April, Russian legislators approved draft legislation to set up a satellite navigation monitoring system in Nicaragua. "Under the agreement, Russia would set up a network of land-based control stations in the Latin American country to monitor and augment the accuracy of navigation satellites in Earth orbit" (RIA Novosti, April 1). In reality, besides enhancing Russia's Global Navigation Satellite System (Globalnaya navigatsionnaya sputnikovaya Sistema--GLONASS), the Nicaraguan facility will probably become a substitute for the electronic tracking center at Lourdes, Cuba, which Moscow gave up a decade ago. At the same time, Nicaragua is again turning to Moscow to modernize its armed forces. Following the International Court of Justice's 2012 decision to award Nicaragua 100,000 square kilometers of territorial waters, which this Central American country was contesting with Columbia, Managua will presumably now be boosting its forces to assert its sovereignty against Bogota (The Nicaragua Dispatch, April 6). So once again, Russian arms sales and political support will likely be directed against a key US ally in Latin America. As was the case with Venezuela and Cuba, Moscow sought to forge an anti-US and anti-Colombian alliance among these countries in 2008--2009.

Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega claimed that he was turning to Russia, just as he had done a generation ago, because Washington offered nothing to Nicaragua despite requests for military and other aid. But his conservative opponents suspect, not without reason, that this is just cover for reaching a deal on a Russian base in the country (The Nicaragua Dispatch, April 6; globalresearch.ca, April 7). Allegedly Nicaragua is particularly concerned about the threat of drug running. And there is no doubt that Moscow is collaborating with Managua on counter-drug operations, providing weapons and trainers (Nicaragua Dispatch, April 7). But given the incorporation of much of Russian organized crime into the state, it is unlikely that Moscow is solely helping Nicaragua and other Latin American states with counter-drug activities (Bruce Bagley, "Globalization and Transnational Organized Crime: The Russian Mafia in Latin America and the Caribbean," in Menno Vellinga, ed.,The Political Economy of the Drug Industry: Latin America and the International System, Gainesville, FL: University Press of Florida, 2004).

Nor has Russian meddling stopped there. Indeed, for the first time, Russia has linked up with China on a major commercial project in the region--namely, the discussion between them of joint participation in a long-held dream of a trans-oceanic canal through Nicaragua (Voice of Russia, April 8; La Prensa, April 23). Formally, the concession to dig the canal is owned by Chinese businessman Wang Jing, but there is speculation he may grant Russia the concession for providing security for that project; or something larger may even be in the offing (La Prensa, April 23).

Nicaraguan opposition deputy Eliseo Nunez Morales has observed that Wang also holds a concession for a deep water port in Crimea, pointing to an already close relationship between Wang and the Russian authorities. In addition, he noted the troubling fact that the planned Nicaragua Grand Canal project lacks a declaration of neutrality, suggesting that in the event of a conflict this maritime route would not remain neutral. Moreover, the legal framework of the canal concession allows for the establishment of a military base (La Prensa, April 23). Therefore, granting Russia the security concession could be a cover for a military base, which, in turn, would afford excellent cover for the introduction of a host of covert agents and programs and for laundering criminally obtained profits.
Posted by:3dc

#8  True Snowy, but think Poland. It's a matter of faith as it were.
Posted by: Shipman   2014-05-03 20:51  

#7  It doesn't matter about the people if they're never allowed any freedom and the "Capitalist" FSB calls the shots.
Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain   2014-05-03 18:29  

#6  Snowy, yes. He paints a darker picture than I think the light allows. Cuber is way, way FU, but they have the saving grace of being populated by Cubans, which next to the wiley Chinee, may be the most capitalist folk on earth.
Posted by: Shipman   2014-05-03 15:46  

#5  Ship, did you read the Michael Totten piece about Cuba?
Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain   2014-05-03 15:17  

#4  Every last one of those countries are fucked up beyond belief. It's scary that Cuber is the new shinning light.

Altho, Boliva not getting their currency screwed up is a plus, has possibilities.
Posted by: Shipman   2014-05-03 14:26  

#3  As far as I can tell, their colonies in this hemisphere are Cuba, Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia, and Nicaragua.
Posted by: Thing From Snowy Mountain   2014-05-03 12:29  

#2  Hell build it the hell out of it, nothing like a little competition. Make it wide and deep so our CVNs can get thru it.
Posted by: Shipman   2014-05-03 09:56  

#1  long-held dream of a trans-oceanic canal through Nicaragua

You think the ecologists will be outrages at the environmental impact? Will they file endless suits to obstruct it? /sarc off
Posted by: P2kontheroad   2014-05-03 08:27  

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