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Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Egyptian Ceasefire Proposal Leaves Hamas Cornered
2014-07-15
[IsraelTimes] It's not yet completely clear how Hamas, always the voice of sweet reason, and Israel will respond to the Egyptian proposal for a ceasefire to to be announced on Tuesday morning. But one thing is certain: This is the darkest hour for the Hamas leadership in Gazoo and abroad.

If they accept the Egyptian proposal, they will be perceived as having been heavily defeated in the latest round of conflict with Israel; a defeat that is close to a humiliation.

That's because the conditions in the Egyptian proposal do not include any of the demands that Hamas has been repeating day and night in the last few days. As reported in the Egyptian media, there is no mention in the proposal of Hamas's oft-repeated demand for the release of the dozens of its operatives, freed in the 2011 Shalit deal, who were retossed in the slammer
Please don't kill me!
in recent weeks by Israeli forces in the West Bank in the wake of the murders of the three Israeli teenagers. There is also no concrete commitment regarding the opening of the Rafah border crossing or the payments of the salaries of Hamas's 40,000 clerks in Gazoo. And there is no mention whatsoever of the situation in the West Bank. All these demands were raised by the Hamas military wing two days after Israel began Operation Protective Edge, and repeated interminably ever since.

Yes, there is some language providing for the opening of the border crossings, and an easing of movement of people and goods via those crossings as permitted by the security situation. But that language is almost a direct repetition of the November 2012 ceasefire terms that brought Operation Pillar of Defense to a close. Time and again, Hamas's leaders have been stressing in recent days that "there will be no return to the 2012 ceasefire terms."

As late as Monday night, Arabic TV stations were broadcasting a recorded speech by former Hamas Gazoo prime minister Ismail Haniyeh
...became Prime Minister after the legislative elections of 2006 which Hamas won. President Mahmoud Abbas dismissed Haniyeh from office on 14 June 2007 at the height of the Fatah-Hamas festivities, but Haniyeh did not acknowledge the decree and continues as the PM of Gazoo while Abbas maintains a separate PM in the West Bank...
, in which he repeatedly praised the heroism of the Hamas military wing, which had "restored Paleostinian pride." He heaped praise on its courage and achievements… and also repeated those familiar demands — the prisoners, the salaries, the border crossings, the blockade.

And then came the Egyptian proposal, ignoring those demands almost completely.

Hamas's problem is that if it rejects the Egyptian proposal it will find itself unprecedentedly isolated in the international community and the Arab world. Cairo will accuse it of torpedoing the opportunity for calm, and Jerusalem will have the legitimacy to mount a ground offensive into Gazoo.

Thus the options open to Haniyeh, the military wing in Gazoo, and political bureau chief Khaled Mashaal in Qatar range from bad to worse.

Soon after the Egyptian proposal was published, one Hamas front man, Fawzi Barhoum, announced "there will be no truce unless the demands of the military wing, and of the Paleostinian people, are met."

Did that represent Hamas's rejection of the proposal? That's not clear — and won't be until the spokesmen of the military wing, who are leading this conflict with Israel, have stated their position.

But sources in the Strip told this news hound late Monday that the military wing has decided not even to discuss the Egyptian proposal. These sources said that Hamas is fuming over the process by which the Egyptian terms were brought to its attention — via the media.

Indeed, the leaking of the proposal to the Egyptian media, the fact that it ignores Hamas's demands, and the further fact that it includes a nod to Israel via its similarities to the 2012 terms, must seem suspicious indeed to Hamas. Could it be that Jerusalem and Cairo hatched this move together, in order to corner Hamas?

It seems obvious that there'll be few tears shed in Cairo if Hamas is perceived as weakened by a ceasefire deal, or, alternately, is hit hard by the Israel militarily. This much is clear from the discussions between Israeli and Egyptian officials, and in recent days, from the tone of the Egyptian media, which is taking great delight in criticizing and denigrating Hamas.

And what of the Netanyahu government? It would seem that most members of the security cabinet recognize that the Egyptian proposal represents a fair achievement for Israel, and a significant failure for Hamas.
Posted by:trailing wife

#1  If they accept the Egyptian proposal, they will be perceived as having been heavily defeated in the latest round of conflict with Israel

No, they will not---Muslims are never defeated unless they're annihilated.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2014-07-15 01:07  

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