You have commented 339 times on Rantburg.

Your Name
Your e-mail (optional)
Website (optional)
My Original Nic        Pic-a-Nic        Sorry. Comments have been closed on this article.
Bold Italic Underline Strike Bullet Blockquote Small Big Link Squish Foto Photo
Home Front: Politix
Top scientists start to examine fiddled global warming figures
2015-04-27
The Global Warming Policy Foundation has enlisted an international team of five distinguished scientists to carry out a full inquiry.

Last month, we are told, the world enjoyed "its hottest March since records began in 1880". This year, according to "US government scientists", already bids to outrank 2014 as "the hottest ever". The figures from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) were based, like all the other three official surface temperature records on which the world's scientists and politicians rely, on data compiled from a network of weather stations by NOAA's Global Historical Climate Network (GHCN).

But here there is a puzzle. These temperature records are not the only ones with official status. The other two, Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) and the University of Alabama (UAH), are based on a quite different method of measuring temperature data, by satellites. And these, as they have increasingly done in recent years, give a strikingly different picture. Neither shows last month as anything like the hottest March on record, any more than they showed 2014 as "the hottest year ever".

Back in January and February, two items in this column attracted more than 42,000 comments to the Telegraph website from all over the world. The provocative headings given to them were "Climategate the sequel: how we are still being tricked by flawed data on global warming" and "The fiddling with temperature data is the biggest scientific scandal".

My cue for those pieces was the evidence multiplying from across the world that something very odd has been going on with those official surface temperature records, all of which ultimately rely on data compiled by NOAA's GHCN. Careful analysts have come up with hundreds of examples of how the original data recorded by 3,000-odd weather stations has been "adjusted", to exaggerate the degree to which the Earth has actually been warming. Figures from earlier decades have repeatedly been adjusted downwards and more recent data adjusted upwards, to show the Earth having warmed much more dramatically than the original data justified.

So strong is the evidence that all this calls for proper investigation that my articles have now brought a heavyweight response. The Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) has enlisted an international team of five distinguished scientists to carry out a full inquiry into just how far these manipulations of the data may have distorted our picture of what is really happening to global temperatures.

The panel is chaired by Terence Kealey, until recently vice-chancellor of the University of Buckingham. His team, all respected experts in their field with many peer-reviewed papers to their name, includes Dr Peter Chylek, a physicist from the National Los Alamos Laboratory; Richard McNider, an emeritus professor who founded the Atmospheric Sciences Programme at the University of Alabama; Professor Roman Mureika from Canada, an expert in identifying errors in statistical methodology; Professor Roger Pielke Sr, a noted climatologist from the University of Colorado, and Professor William van Wijngaarden, a physicist whose many papers on climatology have included studies in the use of "homogenisation" in data records.

Their inquiry's central aim will be to establish a comprehensive view of just how far the original data has been "adjusted" by the three main surface records: those published by the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (Giss), the US National Climate Data Center and Hadcrut, that compiled by the East Anglia Climatic Research Unit (Cru), in conjunction with the UK Met Office's Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction. All of them are run by committed believers in man-made global warming.

For this the GWPF panel is initially inviting input from all those analysts across the world who have already shown their expertise in comparing the originally recorded data with that finally published. In particular, they will be wanting to establish a full and accurate picture of just how much of the published record has been adjusted in a way which gives the impression that temperatures have been rising faster and further than was indicated by the raw measured data.

Already studies based on the US, Australia, New Zealand, the Arctic and South America have suggested that this is far too often the case.

But only when the full picture is in will it be possible to see just how far the scare over global warming has been driven by manipulation of figures accepted as reliable by the politicians who shape our energy policy, and much else besides. If the panel's findings eventually confirm what we have seen so far, this really will be the "smoking gun", in a scandal the scale and significance of which for all of us can scarcely be exaggerated.
Posted by:gorb

#12  Compare wid PHILIPPINE STAR > [Independent.UK]STUDY BLAMES GLOBAL WARMING FOR 75% OF VERY HOT DAYS.

World expected to see intensified GWCC in mid-Century.
Posted by: JosephMendiola   2015-04-27 21:00  

#11  When you cook the books, you always have to un cook them if you want real data.

What an expensive scam. Criminals.
Posted by: newc   2015-04-27 19:03  

#10  It was interesting to me that 2014 was the hottest year on record (136 years) by 0.0167 degrees. But NASAWAS only 38% certain of this but that proves global warming is real and man-made.
Posted by: Deacon Blues   2015-04-27 16:32  

#9  Try not to do it while you're driving. :-)
Posted by: gorb   2015-04-27 14:54  

#8  This is why I love living in Mass. - so many people to piss off...
Posted by: Raj   2015-04-27 14:45  

#7  I drove my son's ultra liberal brother in law into a full on screaming fit by questioning the "science".

It is easy with these folks to go from a calm, easy-going mode of 0 to 90 in 1-2 seconds flat. The unhinged side of them comes out when you don't agree with them. They cannot discuss the scientific aspects (or lack of in this case) rationally. Once they set up their deities, they don't want you to be an iconoclast and destroy their idols. You will get attacked and get accused of being a Taliban. I suppose it is a deep-seated insecurity that does not tolerate discussion, dissent, and disagreement.
Posted by: JohnQC   2015-04-27 13:46  

#6  "And then I screamed like a three year old losing his lolly, which makes me the winner."
Posted by: swksvolFF   2015-04-27 13:43  

#5  And of course to them a Screaming Fit is how to win an argument....
Posted by: CrazyFool   2015-04-27 13:39  

#4  I drove my son's ultra liberal brother in law into a full on screaming fit

I guess some folks thing a screaming fit makes a good offence.
Posted by: gorb   2015-04-27 13:37  

#3  I drove my son's ultra liberal brother in law into a full on screaming fit by questioning the "science".

What finally set him over the edge was my questioning the computer models since that's an area of my expertise and I'm well aware of all the ways to fudge the numbers.

I just told him "Don't forget, GIGO" and he went kaboom. It was very funny.
Posted by: AlanC   2015-04-27 13:31  

#2  More proof it is a ideological push.

They don't care what the data says as long as you believe them and give them all your money and freedoms.

It has been about control. Always has been, always will be.
Posted by: DarthVader   2015-04-27 11:57  

#1  One has to wonder why so many on the left so readily sign on for Hillary as well as global warming. You also have to wonder why the leftists didn't bail out when the meme was changed from "global warming" to the all-encompassing "climate change" when the "global warming theory" wasn't working.
Posted by: JohnQC   2015-04-27 11:51  

00:00