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Government
Democrats' Vanishing Future
2015-05-23
[National Journal] May 21, 2015 One of the most underappreciated stories in recent years is the deterioration of the Democratic bench under President Obama's tenure in office. The party has become much more ideologically homogenous, losing most of its moderate wing as a result of the last two disastrous midterm elections. By one new catch-all measure, a party-strength index introduced by RealClearPolitics analysts Sean Trende and David Byler, Democrats are in their worst position since 1928. That dynamic has manifested itself in the Democratic presidential contest, where the bench is so barren that a flawed Hillary Clinton is barreling to an uncontested nomination.

But less attention has been paid to how the shrinking number of Democratic officeholders in the House and in statewide offices is affecting the party's Senate races. It's awfully unusual to see how dependent Democrats are in relying on former losing candidates as their standard-bearers in 2016. Wisconsin's Russ Feingold, Pennsylvania's Joe Sestak, Indiana's Baron Hill, and Ohio's Ted Strickland all ran underwhelming campaigns in losing office in 2010--and are looking to return to politics six years later. Party officials are courting former Sen. Kay Hagan of North Carolina to make a comeback bid, despite mediocre favorability ratings and the fact that she lost a race just months ago that most had expected her to win. All told, more than half of the Democrats' Senate challengers in 2016 are comeback candidates.

On one hand, most of these candidates are the best choices Democrats have. Feingold and Strickland are running ahead of GOP Sens. Ron Johnson and Rob Portman in recent polls. Hill and Hagan boast proven crossover appeal in GOP-leaning states that would be challenging pickups. Their presence in the race gives the party a fighting chance to retake the Senate.

But look more closely, and the reliance on former failures is a direct result of the party having no one else to turn to. If the brand-name challengers didn't run, the roster of up-and-coming prospects in the respective states is short. They're also facing an ominous historical reality that only two defeated senators have successfully returned to the upper chamber in the last six decades. As political analyst Stu Rothenberg put it, they're asking "voters to rehire them for a job from which they were fired." Senate Democrats are relying on these repeat candidates for the exact same reason that Democrats are comfortable with anointing Hillary Clinton for their presidential nomination: There aren't any better alternatives.
Posted by:Besoeker

#9  Problem for their bench is the GOP domination of state houses and state offices, with the exception of California. And the days of a nationally electable Californian left when the Gipper left office and Cali slid off inro the progressive abyss which is now beginning to consume the state.
Posted by: OldSpook   2015-05-23 14:15  

#8  Also importing millions of new voters illegally.

Voter clean up efforts are still only marginally effective due to federal rules like motor voter.

So I'm thinking that the Dems have thought this through and are working to 'correct' it.
Posted by: Iblis   2015-05-23 11:51  

#7  The problem is not where they're going, but where they are now.
Posted by: ed in texas   2015-05-23 09:44  

#6  Too bad the article doesn't read "Corrupt Entitlement Class" instead of Democratic Party. The Boehners, McConnells, Pelosis, and Reids of the world will find a way to stay in power till they die. Then they will be replaced by someone just as corrupt.
Posted by: jvalentour   2015-05-23 08:36  

#5  P2K-

You are right, but that sets up a "gradually, then all at once" Armageddon event for the Dems within a few election cycles.
Posted by: no mo uro   2015-05-23 08:19  

#4  Remember, you don't have to be faster than the bear, just someone else in your group. RINOs will keep the Donks alive for a long time cause they block real conservatives from getting the seats and the RINO preservation society is in full operation.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2015-05-23 08:12  

#3  From your mouth to the ear of G*d, TW. But...
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2015-05-23 07:19  

#2  Three words: (1) ballot, (2) box, (3) stuffing.

Harder to do when the other party has been cleaning up the voter rolls of the imaginary, the dead, and the multiply registered in the states where it has been swept into power in recent years... not to mention enforcing newly passed laws requiring photo IDs to vote. Contrariwise, you will no doubt astutely argue, even easier in those states with expanded mail-in voting schemes, but the ratio of such states is skewed away from them.
Posted by: trailing wife   2015-05-23 07:06  

#1  Three words: (1) ballot, (2) box, (3) stuffing.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2015-05-23 03:57  

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