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| Fifth Column |
| FOR GERMANY, DEMOGRAPHY IS DOOM |
| 2015-06-02 |
| h/t Instapundit Germany's economy dominates the EU, but if demography is destiny--and it is--then, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard argues in the Telegraph, Germany is doomed. I had not realized that the numbers are so grim: Germany's birth rate has collapsed to the lowest level in the world and its workforce will start plunging at a faster rate than Japan's by the early 2020s, seriously threatening the long-term viability of Europe's leading economy. ... The German government expects the population to shrink from 81m to 67m by 2060... And that despite the Turks ....and Russian immigrants. |
| Posted by:g(r)omgoru |
| #7 #5 eine Pause? |
| Posted by: Iblis 2015-06-02 12:41 |
| #6 The demographic projections of Paul Ehrlich I forget the year, but didn't Paul Ehrlich win the Nobel Prize for Being Wrong About Everything? The Club of Rome report came out about the time of The Population Bomb. Not just gloom and doom, but actual computer models 'proving' we were totally boned. |
| Posted by: SteveS 2015-06-02 11:58 |
| #5 #3 It's just a pause. |
| Posted by: Matt 2015-06-02 10:59 |
| #4 Yes, The German people want a lower density country. The government want it's crazy ponzi schemes to continue. Yet It's some on the (alleged) right, that think this is a problem.... |
| Posted by: Bright Pebbles 2015-06-02 10:13 |
| #3 The demographic projections of Paul Ehrlich in his '68 book said we'd all be starving now. In The Population Bomb's opening lines the authors state that nothing can prevent famines in which hundreds of millions of people will die during the 1970s (amended to 1970s and 80s in later editions), and that there would be "a substantial increase in the world death rate." Although many lives could be saved through dramatic action, it was already too late to prevent a substantial increase in the global death rate. However, in reality the global death rate has continued to decline substantially since then, from 13/1000 in 1965–74 to 10/1000 from 1985–1990. Meanwhile the population of the world has more than doubled, while calories consumed/person have increased 24%. |
| Posted by: Procopius2k 2015-06-02 07:52 |
| #2 Along with VDH. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2015-06-02 07:07 |
| #1 But Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is an idiot. |
| Posted by: Bright Pebbles 2015-06-02 07:07 |