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International-UN-NGOs
Looking Back At the Turning of the Century
2015-10-15
Despite vehement denials to the contrary, the world is slowly drifting into the reciprocal of its intended course. An administration that began its first term seeking a policy of reset with Russia wound up locked in a new Cold War with the Kremlin, facing off against it in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.

What was supposed to be a Pacific Century has turned into an arms race between China and Japan. An administration which promised to build better relations with China is slowly being drawn, as if by a force-field into a showdown with Beijing over it's island bases in the South China Sea. Alarmed at China's de facto occupation of international waters, the USN has now been forced to plan freedom of navigation deployments to beard the dragon in its lair, a response perhaps too little and very probably too late.

...Conventional wisdom has had a pretty bad run these last 15 years. For that reason there is little purpose to trusting it further. Instead it might be better to predict a future based on observable trends rather than scenarios that politicians offer. fer. If those trends continue one would expect to see in 2025:

1. The self-destruction of the Muslim Middle East;
2. The rise of ethnic and national politics in Europe;
3. The widespread resurgence of religion and cultural identity as a consequence of (2);
4. Mass expulsions or segregation in large parts of the world to deconflict incompatible communities
5. Everyone packing personal weapons like the Wild West
6. The collapse of multi-ethnic countries into simplified pacts based around of national defense, with most social law generated by local communities and affinity groups;
7. One or more large regional wars with casualties in the tens of millions.
8. Several, possibly many WMD attacks on major cities involving radiological weapons, low yield nukes or biological agents.
9. The collapse of any realistic expectation of Peace on Earth, with the remaining hope of mankind vested in the new space frontier.

Posted by:g(r)omgoru

#3  The future must not belong to people who use affirmative action to choose their leaders!!!
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2015-10-15 13:31  

#2  Optimist!
Posted by: Glenmore   2015-10-15 12:56  

#1  Han Solo: You said you wanted to be around when I made a mistake, well, this could be it, sweetheart.

For all the Lefties who painted America as the evil in the world. Here you go, a world without the evil Imperialist American Oppressor(tm). 4000 years of real history is calling and it wants its world back of real chaos, oppression, and poverty.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2015-10-15 12:21  

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