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Economy
Royal Bank of Scotland: Cataclysmic Year Ahead
2016-01-18
[LI] RBS urged investors to sell everything amid warnings that oil prices could fall to the lowest level in 17 years which may spark a meltdown as severe as the 2008 financial crisis.

The bank told investors stock markets could fall 20 per cent this year as it urged them to sell with a stark warning, saying: 'In a crowded hall, exit doors are small. Risks are high.'

Analysts warned of a 'cataclysmic year' ahead for investors and the global economy, BP said it would have to slash 4,000 posts around the world including 600 in the North Sea.

A recession has occurred in the U.S. about every five years, on average, since the end of WWII; and it has been seven years since the last one — we are overdue.

Most importantly, the average market drop during the peak to trough of the last 6 recessions has been 37 percent. That would take the S&P 500 down to 1,300; if this next recession were to be just of the average variety.

But this one will be worse.

A major contributor for this imminent recession is the fallout from a faltering Chinese economy. The megalomaniac communist government has increased debt 28 times since the year 2000. Taking that total north of 300 percent of GDP in a very short period of time for the primary purpose of building a massive unproductive fixed asset bubble that adds little to GDP.
'Cataclysmic years' come and go. Sell everything and you're an instant loser.
Posted by:Besoeker

#7  >With the Fed driving down interest rates so that the stock market was nearly the only place to park money, stocks were inflated

Yes raising the price and cost of investment ius the best way to grow the economy.

Keynesianism is establishment bailout (at the people's expense) idiocy .
Posted by: Bright Pebbles   2016-01-18 19:28  

#6  With the Fed driving down interest rates so that the stock market was nearly the only place to park money, stocks were inflated and banks could make money by buying treasury notes. Raise rates and like a pin, the stock market bubble bursts.

We haven't had rocket scientists running this country.
Posted by: Sven the pelter   2016-01-18 17:03  

#5  If we have a recession every 5 years, but didn't actually recover from the last one despite the funky numbers coming out of Washington, are we still due?

I believe we are in a recession right now. I'm not an economist but think with the right President tearing up regulation and freeing up the economy we could see a really bright 2017 and teh market, seeing that coming might respond early.
Posted by: rjschwarz   2016-01-18 16:56  

#4  Sales of mattresses and mason jars to take off.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2016-01-18 13:03  

#3  Don't forget to withdraw all your money from the bank while you're at it!
Posted by: Abu Uluque   2016-01-18 12:42  

#2  Margins increase. Except for petrol, prices appear to stabilize but decline very little.
Posted by: Besoeker   2016-01-18 06:07  

#1  If oil prices fall, then everything else should become cheaper---niet?
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2016-01-18 03:12  

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