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| Home Front: Politix |
| Professor with Remarkable Track Record Predicts a Trump Election Win |
| 2016-10-23 |
| [FOX] Saturday on Fox & Friends, Tucker Carlson sat down with a college professor with a remarkable record of predicting election outcomes. Professor Helmut Norpoth, from Stony Brook University in New York State, has correctly predicted the outcomes of the last five presidential elections. This year, he steadfastly believes Donald Trump will win the election. Norpoth said he uses two "models" to make his prediction: One is the "primary" model, where he compares a candidate's strength in their respective primaries. "The candidate who does better in his party's primary beats the other guy who does less well," Norpoth said. Looking at New Hampshire and South Carolina's primaries, Norpoth projected that Trump would be the general election favorite because of the strength of his showing, versus Hillary Clinton. The second model he created is called the "swing of the pendulum" model. Watch the full clip above to find out how he compared Trump and Clinton in that way, and let us know what you think in the comments. |
| Posted by:Besoeker |
| #3 #1Â Does the model takes wide spreed cheating into account? Some of those voting machines do seem to have a mind of their own, don't they? |
| Posted by: JohnQC 2016-10-23 08:35 |
| #2 professor Allan Lichtman is saying the same thing that Trump will win. |
| Posted by: Bernardz 2016-10-23 06:24 |
| #1 Does the model takes wide spreed cheating into account? |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2016-10-23 04:32 |