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| CBO Cooked the Books on Senate Healthcare Plan |
| 2017-06-30 |
| [Forbes] But a cursory look at the CBO's own data raises serious questions about its headline conclusion and should make many in Congress ask CBO some tough questions. CBO's projected Medicaid losses have their own problems. For example, 5 million are projected to "lose" Medicaid expansion coverage in states that never expanded Medicaid in the first place. Another 7 million are projected to "lose" Medicaid coverage because the individual mandate goes away, even though the individual mandate does not apply to almost all of those currently on or eligible for Medicaid. But CBO's projections for the individual market are perhaps the most bizarre. According to the CBO, roughly 19 million Americans are expected to buy insurance in the individual market in 2018 if the BCRA becomes law. CBO states that BCRA is responsible for a 7 million person reduction from what would happen under current law (the Affordable Care Act), based on CBO's 2016 baseline estimates. The only trouble? CBO updated its baseline estimates in January 2017 to account for how much lower the actual Obamacare exchange enrollment has been, much lower than it previously anticipated as recently as last year. |
| Posted by:Beavis |
| #2 Can't they just do some kind of crowdsourcing on the assumptions? |
| Posted by: gorb 2017-06-30 10:30 |
| #1 The CBO says "5 million are projected to "lose" Medicaid expansion coverage in states that never expanded The CBO says Medicaid in the first place. Another 7 million are projected to "lose" Medicaid coverage because the individual mandate goes away, even though the individual mandate does not apply to almost all of those currently on or eligible for Medicaid." I thought SCOTUS decided to scrap the individual mandate for the ACA. It was never a part of Medicaid as stated above. If you are suspicious of the CBO projections, here some more of which to be suspicious. CBO Projections for Healthcare Plans. |
| Posted by: JohnQC 2017-06-30 08:28 |
