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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Iran has 10 military bases in Syria, two near Israel border — analyst
2018-02-20
[IsraelTimes] Up to 20,000 fighters trained by Tehran are in country, now focused on Israel, after neutralizing IS threat, NY Times reports

Iran operates 10 military bases in Syria and is training militias loyal to Hereditary President-for-Life Bashir Pencilneck al-Assad
Despoiler of Deraa...
’s regime for a possible battle with Israel, with two key facilities located near the border with Israel, an analyst for an American think tank said in an article published Monday.

Up to 20,000 fighters from various militias throughout the war-torn country have been trained by Iranian military personnel, giving Tehran its "true muscle" in Syria, according to the Monday report in The New York Times

...which still proudly displays Walter Duranty's Pulitzer prize...

Israel has been warning for years that Iran is seeking to entrench itself militarily in Syria. According to Israeli political and military assessments, Tehran, which has shored up Assad in the Syrian civil war, has been working to create air and naval bases in Syria, from which it can arm the Leb-based terror organization Hezbollah and other Shiite groups, as well as carry out attacks of its own against the Jewish state.

In November, Israeli satellite photos appeared to strengthen a BBC report that Iran was building a permanent military base in Syria, just 50 kilometers (31 miles) from Israel’s northern border.

The ImageSat International pictures, published by Hadashot News, showed that renovations and alterations had been recently undertaken at the site at al-Kiswah, some 13 kilometers (8 miles) south of the Syrian capital of Damascus.

Iran has repeatedly rejected the claim, with Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif telling news hounds on the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference on Monday that Iran has no military bases in Syria.

At least two Iraqi militia leaders have toured Leb’s border with Israel in recent months, The New York Times also said, quoting militia members as saying plans were made for "collaboration" in a possible conflict in the future.

Monday’s report said hundreds or thousands of Iranian military officials are in Syria and that about 6,000 of the Iran-trained combatants in the country are members of Hezbollah, with the rest coming from Leb, Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistain, and other countries. Most of them view the battle against non-Shiite Moslems and against non-Moslems in the region in religious terms, the report added.

After neutralizing most of the threat posed by the Sunni Islamic State
...formerly ISIS or ISIL, depending on your preference. Before that al-Qaeda in Iraq, as shaped by Abu Musab Zarqawi. They're very devout, committing every atrocity they can find in the Koran and inventing a few more. They fling Allah around with every other sentence, but to hear the pols talk they're not really Moslems....
terror group, militias loyal to Assad are now shifting their focus to the Israeli front, Ali Alfoneh, a researcher at the US-based Atlantic Council told The New York Times.

Alfoneh said in his research that he had identified 10 Iranian military bases, seven of which are tactical bases and located near active front lines, and three "main" bases overseeing activities throughout the country. Two of those main bases are located south of Damascus, near the border with Israel.

"Iran has realized that it is actually possible to maintain a front against Israel where there is no war, but also no peace," Alfoneh was quoted as saying.

On February 10, Israel struck what it said was a number of Iranian installations in Syria after an Iranian drone infiltrated into Israel, in what some analysts saw as the first direct confrontation between the two countries.

On Sunday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel would continue to protect itself against Iranian activities in Syria, including striking Iran directly.

"Israel will not allow Iran’s regime to put a noose of terror around our neck," he added. "We will act without hesitation to defend ourselves. And we will act if necessary, not just against Iran’s proxies that are attacking us, but against Iran itself."
Posted by:trailing wife

#6  They've something else to sell to buy food, etc...?

Not really, no. You’re right about that, g(r)omgoru.

Glenmore, I don’t think Iran would get much traction in 90% Sunni, 10% Christian (almost exclusively Coptic) Egypt. Some of their spies were caught a few years ago watching traffic in the Suez Canal a few years ago, but I don’t recall more than that. It seems to me Egypt would be more concerned about Sunni jihadi groups in Libya and Gaza, but I can’t claim more than a surface understanding of such things. And you’re no doubt right that Iran would be very happy to find a wedge to cause trouble in Egypt...
Posted by: trailing wife   2018-02-20 22:14  

#5  TW, I was more thinking about Egypt being concerned about keeping Iran at a distance rather than risking expansion into Egypt. I would not expect any overt military involvement unless the SHTF but perhaps covert or political involvement?
Posted by: Glenmore   2018-02-20 13:39  

#4  ^They've something else to sell to buy food, etc...?
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2018-02-20 13:34  

#3  Where an when will Egypt come in

As far as I can tell, Egypt doesn’t really want to repay Saudi Arabia by providing her sons as cannon fodder.
Posted by: trailing wife   2018-02-20 10:37  

#2  GOG and MAGOG.
Posted by: newc   2018-02-20 03:28  

#1  Iran is moving on multiple fronts - against KSA through Yemen, and Israel through Syria, and still working deeper into Iraq. Where an when will Egypt come in - against Iran and soon? Russia has lined up with Iran, but that may be more for arms sales than politics - they can't trust the mullahs any more than we can.
Posted by: Glenmore   2018-02-20 01:34  

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