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| China-Japan-Koreas |
| Is World War III on the horizon? |
| 2020-05-07 |
| [American Thinker] The timeline is advancing swiftly toward an end state adversely affecting the whole world: WWIII. The tell-tale sign is China's economy, which, without American markets to sell to, is in free fall. As much as we may complain about the shutdown, Americans have it better by far than most of the rest of the world, including Japan and Europe. With desperation growing in China, Xi will have to do something. Expect it to be military action so that China's 12-million-man army has something to do and the rest of the country has something to focus on and support. War is immensely destructive; it will create a domestic market to partly replace foreign markets no longer available. China isn't likely to come at us right away. She will begin by absorbing relatively weak adjacent states such as North Korea and moving into ever-rebellious Tibet in strength. After digestion, some fattening, and some training, NoKo's huge Army would be added to the Chinese, making up a total force of nearly 13 million men. The Norks would be willing to push into South Korea on order. Tibet will almost certainly be helped by India, with her own immense Army and needs, which will also welcome a fight as a means to deflect hard times at home and to direct domestic sentiment against the invader. The next target for Chinese invasion would likely be Vietnam, which has opposed Chinese expansion in the South China Sea for decades and which fought a war with China in 1979. The North Viets are no more afraid of China today than they were of us 50 years ago. They will fight. By that time, the U.S. will have taken an active interest in China's predations. Right now we have two aircraft carriers on site in the South China Sea and fighting men on Guam and in South Korea. We would immediately beef up our presence and tough talk. Should our guys get involved in hostilities, the Russians will take advantage to sneak into the Middle East in person rather than just by proxy. Xi, needing Russian oil, will send several of his armies to the Middle East in support. The stage will be set for Armageddon and the most destructive war ever fought. |
| Posted by:Besoeker |
| #19 What's the most promising point of division vs the Han Chinese? |
| Posted by: Lex 2020-05-07 23:56 |
| #18 ^ Maybe not imperra, but certainly set back their efforts for a decade or two. Introducing a divisive element into any society is a dastardly, twisted thing to do. Worse than an atomic bomb. Personally, I'd take the Fatman over it any day. It's final, teaches you a lesson in humility and turns you from a sword wielding Samurai with hair on your chest into a hairless Pokemon hunter. But since that can only be used in actual conflict, if China plays aggressor, this is the only thing to do. |
| Posted by: Dron66046 2020-05-07 23:54 |
| #17 divide et impera |
| Posted by: Lex 2020-05-07 23:42 |
| #16 I think there's a phenomenon at play here. And with it a strategy presents itself. Consider the muslim world. Centuries ago they gave themselves a onerous task. To conquer the world became a hereditary and inherent obligation of all muslim society. They were more successful than the Catholics only because of the prevalence of more tribalism than sense and civility in corners of the world. But think about the psychological momentum of a single, unalterable imperative being passed down from generation to generation. Like the tower of Babel, everyone's mental set containing the same imperatives; creating a society which can function as individuals but their default is a 'hive mind'. This is what Xi and the party have tried to accomplish. The flavour is different, sure. It's coloured with distinctive cultural hues and hubris. But it's what they've tried to achieve. Now imagine the clash with our liberal, classically oriented societies. Our peoples are not given any aim, any national objective. You believe, and maybe rightly so, that you came into this world to enjoy your life; mayhap you'll do some good occasionally, but their is no general obligation on you to contribute to anything. In fact the State exists to ensure that you're taken care of, if you should turn out to be an unemployable buffoon. And if the State interferes even with your 'fun and frolic', you'll tell it off, yessir ! There is no contest here. A larger population, with the inherent imperatives to make their country great -whatever passes for great there- will not relent. Like the muslims, the Chinese too have built a Babel, and even God knows they're determined to take it... somewhere. Unless they are stopped. Now, consider how it was stopped in the beginning. A simple parallel of 'various tongues' could translate today as 'individual and group interests gaining priority over the national interest' ? This is what our agencies must focus on achieving. Dissent within the Han empire. |
| Posted by: Dron66046 2020-05-07 22:16 |
| #15 #14 Nobody wanted a war in 1914, either. |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru PB 2020-05-07 15:19 |
| #14 The only person who wanted war in 1939 was Hitler. Everybody else was unprepared and/or scared to death. That's why it took them so long to respond to Hitler's aggression. So I'm thinking Xi could get away with quite a bit before he finally steps over the wrong line. Then all bets are off. Hitler taught us that appeasement doesn't work but does anybody remember? Also, it remains to be seen whether Xi is as crazy as Hitler. I think not. Hitler was over the rainbow. Xi strikes me as being cold, calculated and more careful but with strong narcissistic sociopathic tendencies. This is the kind of a guy who would have you whacked for any suggestion of a resemblance to Winnie the Pooh. Could be one of the most dangerous developments was when CCP made him president for life. It might be tough for cooler heads to rein him in. Then there is the suspicion that Covid-19 is not natural and was not an accident either. We could already be at war. |
| Posted by: Abu Uluque 2020-05-07 14:08 |
| #13 All the attacks in the world will (1) Not restore their markets or economy (2) Not be visible to their own people Might as well fake the whole thing combined with domestic round-ups of sypmathizers. |
| Posted by: rjschwarz 2020-05-07 11:31 |
| #12 Cyberwar, yes. Bioattacks, economic war, information war: all of the above. They don't need to attack anyone militarily. This corona episode has taught them that they need to do is incite panic and the nation's of the West will set about destroying themselves without a single shot being fired. |
| Posted by: Lex 2020-05-07 10:38 |
| #11 "A short victorious war" - right. Just like the wars that began in 1792, 1861, 1914, 1939, 1950, 2001, 2003... And all our |
| Posted by: Lex 2020-05-07 10:35 |
| #10 ^Yea, well, any bets Xi can't convince himself that a short victorious war is exactly what he needs to stay in power? |
| Posted by: g(r)omgoru 2020-05-07 10:27 |
| #9 They're killing the Hong Kong Golden Goose. They might find their economy too cratering to get really adventurous |
| Posted by: Frank G 2020-05-07 09:52 |
| #8 Also, China has become a sort of serial molester for everyone now. It has been tolerated for longer than was necessary. The next people they're going to try to screw are Australia. They're already at it. So we could see a minor conflict in the South China Sea, in the near future. |
| Posted by: Dron66046 2020-05-07 09:41 |
| #7 Sorry, but the present leaders of the world lack the testicular fortitude for a world war. They're really like nervous CEOs of giant, ungainly corporations, each walking its own tightrope. Wars, and rumours of wars... no world war. |
| Posted by: Dron66046 2020-05-07 09:34 |
| #6 China will not confront the west as the chance of the chicoms losing power is too strong that route. They will try to retreat from globalism and return to the 70s. I expect Tawian to be awash with Boat People as the PRC clamps down on freedoms and finds it easier to let people leave Cuba style than to lock them all up. |
| Posted by: ruprecht 2020-05-07 09:23 |
| #5 The piece offers more insight to the author's somewhat antiquated mindset than any current reality or future brainstorming. |
| Posted by: Cesare 2020-05-07 07:35 |
| #4 /\ They did just fine before we came along. They will do just fine after we leave. Do we continue to betray the American people with cheap, foreign slave labor, or do we recognize cheap labor for what it is ? Time will tell. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2020-05-07 07:30 |
| #3 "The tell-tale sign is China's economy, which, without American markets to sell to, is in free fall." Wrong again. |
| Posted by: Thorong Grundy1520 2020-05-07 07:25 |
| #2 Did condi get her skin made lighter 😄 like Michael Jackson and get a job talking to the press at the white house or what!?! |
| Posted by: Eohippus Grundy1775 2020-05-07 06:05 |
| #1 Now now, simmer down there. The ChiCom strategy is a lot simpler: let their quislings do the job of prostrating and hollowing out America for them. No need to "absorb NKorea" when you have the Democrats, their media shills and thousands of US corporate whores doing your work for you. |
| Posted by: Lex 2020-05-07 04:50 |