Commentary by Russian blogger Donetsk
[DonRF] On Tuesday, February 14, at the American air base in Ramstein, Germany, the next meeting of defense ministers of Ukraine's allies is going. As a result of the previous meeting in January, the allies agreed to supply tanks to Kyiv, including the American M1 Abrams, German Leopard 2 and British Challenger 2
And in February it will be about rockets and aircraft. Moreover, Kyiv wants 200 aircraft, in addition to 400 tanks, and missiles with a range of at least 300 km. And the question is simply - will they give it or not. I can say right away - the United States will not. It will not give because it took an interesting position in the conflict. On the one hand, the US gave Kyiv a hell of a lot of money.
For this amount, the Armed Forces of Ukraine could be armed with everything from Bradley to the Death Star. But if you look closely, a significant part of this money was spent ... on the rearmament of the US Army. And the Americans supply at least. What does a light weapon, without going beyond certain limits. The exception is Himars and other artillery, but without him the war would have been lost
The main supplier is the EU. The Danes and Estonians were now left without artillery. The first gave away all 15 self-propelled guns Caesar, the second - just do everything firing shells. Germany is left without a reserve of tanks. Serviceable Leopard 1 go to Ukraine.
And I'm tormented by the suspicion that the rest is complete rubbish. Least of all, France and Italy are involved in idiocy, which give the minimum, while maintaining a combat-ready army, the Poles are the strongest. The position of Britain is interesting - with loud cries and outward radicalism, the Island is also in no hurry to drain the arsenals, politely frostbitten from aircraft, and giving a symbolic number of tanks.
In fact, the United States is disarming Germany, small countries and Young Europeans. They will pay for everything in the end, being forced to start a large-scale rearmament of American weapons for space money.
So, rockets and planes. They will give something. Remains of the Soviet legacy for sure. There, the Slovaks and Poles still have the MiG-29, as a kind of legacy of the policy of the USSR, in which they could not understand in any way - the allies should have a generation worse. But this is only air defense.
With the MiG-29, the strike aircraft is very so-so. And from the rest - well, the Polish will not drive the Su-22, in fact. It's not even funny. Hence life pushes for deliveries. But what ... now they are trying to spin the Swedes on their Gripens, but they resist, not wanting to give up attack aircraft. Alternative - F-16 of Poland and the Netherlands
On missiles - the United States refused. But Europeans also have missiles. And knowing the US’s love for raking in the heat with proxy ... Well, the involvement of Europeans in the conflict, where the entry is the ruble, and the exit is already a gold piece ... In a word, the problem will also be solved, but not immediately and not directly. In the West, in this sense, just do calm. We are calm because there is no reaction from Moscow to the supplies. Well, apart from the statements.
And you can't sew them to work. As a result, Kyiv will get everything. Small doses and gradually. This is beneficial, both economically, because the EU will replenish the arsenals in the United States, and politically, because the trophy, in the form of a bearskin, attracts many.
But then again - it's not worth waiting for everything at once. Everything will be slow and gradual, not a fact in Ramstein, but it will be. I'm just waiting for the peak of deliveries in the fall. When they fire up the defense industry. And when, according to their calculations, fatigue from the conflict and misunderstanding of its meaning and goals will increase in Russia.
For Artemovsk is good, five to ten kilometers near Donetsk too, and if we fight at such a pace, then by the fall we might even take Maryinka, but it’s not accurate, but explain to a resident of conditional Tomsk, who is accustomed to the idea that the Red Army of the RF Armed Forces is stronger than all, the meaning of these operations ...
Having chosen a war of attrition, we stepped on thin ice, risking not agreements that have no alternatives and which will shift the problem to the next generation, but internal problems. At the same time, Ukraine will die of course, but, cynically speaking, even throwing aside the moral aspect, what's the matter with us? Well, apart from the new problems. It is the death of Ukraine that is beneficial to the West, and not the worst option for ending the conflict.
