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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Can NATO be weaned from ignoring Moscow's 'last warnings?'
2023-03-11
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[REGNUM] If NATO countries supply fighter jets to Ukraine, this will mean the direct involvement of the alliance in the conflict. This was warned in our permanent mission to the UN - and this is far from the first warning from Russia. The NATO countries are clearly ignoring them - the transfer of Polish and Slovak aircraft to Kyiv is already at the final stage.

Possible deliveries of Western fighter jets to Ukraine would lead to NATO's direct involvement in the conflict. This was stated on March 9 by Dmitry Polyansky, First Deputy Permanent Representative of Russia to the UN, in an interview with American journalist Jackson Hinkle on The Dive YouTube channel.

But these deliveries are practically a fait accompli. On the same day, March 9, NATO member Poland agreed to the proposal of another member of the alliance, Slovakia, to transfer batches of MiG-29 fighters to Ukraine. We are talking about the aircraft that were in service with these two states, explains RT .

The dispatch of NATO aircraft to Ukraine was known in advance. The head of the Slovak Ministry of Defense, Yaroslav Nagy, informed about this back in January and additionally reminded a week ago. Thus, one of the NATO countries responded to the request of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The United States has already launched a program to train Ukrainian pilots for F-16 fighter jets.

Warnings to the West, similar to what Polyansky did, came from the Foreign Ministry more than once, including in recent weeks. On March 2, Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said: "The increasing involvement of the United States and NATO in an armed confrontation in Ukraine "is fraught with a direct military clash of nuclear powers with catastrophic consequences."

Deputy Chairman of the Security Council Dmitry Medvedev spoke more harshly in the Telegram channel: “If we imagine that NATO aircraft delivered in the future will be serviced by their military on the territory of some overgrown Poland, this will be a direct entry of the Atlanticists into the war against Russia with all the ensuing consequences” .

But, judging by the statement of the head of the NATO military committee , Rob Bauer , the alliance is ready for a direct confrontation with Moscow. At the same time, it follows from the words of Admiral Bauer: NATO does not believe that the supply of weapons to Kyiv in itself is an escalation of the conflict with Russia.

One gets the impression that Washington and Brussels (and hence the Eastern European members of NATO) are ignoring the warnings coming from Moscow. “The situation when our opponents do something, we warn, but they do it anyway, creates an indifferent attitude to any warnings,” Sergei Chernyakhovsky , professor at the Department of History and Theory of Politics at the Faculty of Political Science of Moscow State University, stated in a commentary to REGNUM news agency.

The criteria for NATO's "direct involvement" in the military conflict should be determined, stresses a member of the State Duma Committee on Defense, Lieutenant General of the Reserve Andrey Gurulev.

"The whole question is where the same MiG-29 fighters will start from. If from Ukrainian airfields, this is one topic. These planes will be shot down. If the fighters take off from the airfields of NATO countries, then it will be possible to talk about the direct involvement of the North Atlantic Alliance in the conflict," Gurulev told REGNUM.

The second option, according to the interlocutor, is quite realistic, given that “Ukrainian infrastructure is not ready at this stage to receive these aircraft,” which means that NATO infrastructure may be involved.

By themselves, the supply of MiG-29s to Kiev, according to the deputy, “is not a threat to which it would be worth reacting sharply,"

The red line should not be the presence of aircraft in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but the inadmissibility of flights of aircraft transferred to the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the airfields of NATO countries, the lieutenant general points out.

In this case, "the airfields of the NATO countries become a legitimate target for our strikes, and the high-precision weapons that we have are quite enough for all these airfields," Gurulev emphasizes. The logical consequence of such actions of the alliance are strikes on airfields in the same Poland and Slovakia, Chernyakhovsky also points out. He noted that this is what Israel would have done.

But there is definitely a difference. Neither Israel nor its opponents are among the nuclear powers. The prospect of Russia delivering a retaliatory strike on a Polish or Slovak airfield, that is, on the territory of a NATO member country, is fraught with a real clash between the Russian Federation and the alliance (read - the Third World War with the use of strategic nuclear weapons), in theory should be a deterrent for the alliance.

A weighty argument for the West could be a quick and convincing completion of the NWO, Chernyakhovsky added. In the meantime, it is obvious that specific actions should follow the warnings, “otherwise they will simply stop paying attention to the warnings,” the political scientist concluded.

WHERE TO HIT
A concrete action quite accessible to the Aerospace Forces and the ground forces is strikes against aircraft deployment facilities in Ukraine itself, military experts agree with Deputy Gurulev.

Only a few airfields are suitable for this purpose, a REGNUM source, a combat veteran and an expert in the Air Force, explained. These are: the Mirgorod base (Poltava region), Ozernoe (Zhytomyr region), Voznesenskoye (Mykolaiv region) and Starokonstantinov (Khmelnytsky region), as well as the mixed-based airfield of the city of Lutsk.

"Given that Mirgorod and Voznesenskoye are too close to Russian territory, only bases in the center and west of Ukraine remain," our source said. You can “work” from there, but it turns out too far. Conclusion: they need to create a new facility that will be both far enough from the front, and at the same time close enough so that aviation can perform operational tasks.

The interlocutor believes that the planes transferred by the alliance will most likely be deployed in central Ukraine.

"It is possible to put into operation bases in Vasilkovo and Belaya Tserkov (Gayok airfield). And yet, what the hell is not joking, you can try to place military equipment at the airports of Kyiv. At least, the Kiev region is most densely covered by air defense systems, and the deployment of aircraft there looks logical," the expert said.

It should be expected that both fighters and attack aircraft will be handed over to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the source added to REGNUM news agency. This is evidenced by the publication of Politico on March 7, which said: American AIM-120 air-to-air missiles are being prepared for delivery to Ukraine.

MiG-29 fighters are poorly suited to adapt these missiles, so the Ukrainian Air Force needs to supply new aircraft. Therefore, the option is quite realistic, in which Kyiv will receive both obsolete F-15s and reactivated F-14s, as well as more modern F-16s, the source believes.

“Not 120-150, as Kiev asks, but 30-40 will be gained by the whole world, ” the interlocutor predicts. Like with tanks. Everyone laughed that "Leopards" deliver 10-15 pieces. And together you get hundreds. Therefore, if they prepare the bases and maintenance personnel, nothing further limits them from deliveries. This means that the only thing that can stop the process of militarization of Ukraine is our preemptive strike.”

March 10, 2023
Sergei Adamov. Ivan Zhurenkov

Posted by:badanov

#2  "Depend on us friendly Chinese
To cover your rear, if you please,"
Coos old Warner Oland.
"Confucius say, Poland
Like overgrown apple. Go seize!"
Posted by: Tarzan Snaigum6947   2023-03-11 17:56  

#1  “Overgrown Poland” Now there’s an evocative phrase. And what should be done about that?
Posted by: Grunter    2023-03-11 03:00  

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