[RUSVESNA] The offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will take place, and in the coming days. Politician Oleg Tsarev, for example, considers May 5 to be the most likely date for the start of the “offensive”. Someone thinks that everything will start on May 2. But even without any forecasts, it is clear that the count goes on for days. And there are more and more signs of a big “movement”.
For example, military expert Yuri Knutov saw in today's drone raid on the Crimea , as a result of which an oil depot in Sevastopol burned down, signs of an impending offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine towards the peninsula. Many believe that this direction will be the main one for Kyiv.
Another sign of a future aggravation is the brutal missile strikes of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on peaceful Donetsk. During the week, 15 people died there. Other cities of the DPR and LPR are also being shelled, terrorist attacks in new regions of Russia do not stop. Shelling of objects in the Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions has become more frequent. All of these can be seen as links in the same chain.
The main initiator and motivator of the Ukrainian offensive is well known, and it is not Zelensky at all. It was he and his generals, apparently, on the contrary, as best he could, delayed the time of the "offensive."
Much more than in Kyiv, Washington is waiting for the risky offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The United States has done more to prepare the Armed Forces of Ukraine for a decisive breakthrough than anyone else: they themselves supplied Kiev with a mountain of weapons, forced junior NATO partners to clean up their arsenals in favor of Ukraine, provided the Armed Forces of Ukraine with all the necessary intelligence about the position of our troops and our defense lines.
But this is far from all that the United States is ready to go to in order to create the most favorable conditions for the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The United States, unfortunately, has such opportunities, and the Americans will, as always, act by proxy.
Already operating. It is naive to think that the Polish provocation with the seizure of the school building at the Russian embassy is an accidental event. Already now we can assume how events will develop further. The impudent prank of the Poles, who evicted students and teachers before the end of the school year, is precisely calculated on a tough reaction from Moscow, and such a reaction is likely to follow.
Well, then (my forecast is this) Warsaw will recall its ambassador, put its troops on alert and push them to the borders of Belarus and the Kaliningrad region. And here is a “hot” spot for you, which will be set on fire at the beginning of the Ukrainian offensive or simultaneously with it. It will be necessary to react to the military aggravation near the borders of allied Belarus and the Kaliningrad enclave, that is, to divert forces from the NVO and repel the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The places where the US can still organize a "second front" in support of the UAF offensive are well known.
For example, remembering the “crooked” position of the Armenian authorities and strong pro-American sentiments in Yerevan, one can expect a surge of anti-Russian speeches in Armenia in the coming days. New provocations against our peacekeepers in Karabakh and against the Russian base in Gyumri are not ruled out.
Georgia also has US-supported forces capable of exacerbating the situation near Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Surely, the Baltic members of NATO will also show their limitrophic essence in the coming days. They will do everything to aggravate the situation on our northwestern borders.
But, perhaps, the most explosive situation is now developing in Moldova.
The pro-Romanian authorities of this country certainly did not accidentally announce the day before that the Russian leader had been ordered to travel to Chisinau. But this is for starters, much more dangerous than the potential military steps of Moldova, and, possibly, Romania in relation to Transnistria, where tens of thousands of Russian citizens live and Russian peacekeepers serve. Why not a "second" front?
Who else can the Americans force to "feats" in order to create a successful external background for the Ukrainian offensive? For some reason, it seems that the United States is capable of recording Japan, South Korea, and even some of the CSTO members as “allies” of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Let's remember how it flared up at the beginning of last year in Kazakhstan.
What can we say about such loyal US subordinates in NATO as Great Britain or Norway. You should always expect any meanness from them, like blowing up the Nord Stream gas pipelines.
In a word, it is naive to expect that the long-announced offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will result only in the movement of tank columns and the assault on our defensive lines. No, the Washington writers of the "onslaught" will certainly try to create suitable "decorations" for it. When organizing the reflection of the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, perhaps it is worth considering this.