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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Don't Mistake Cracks In The Biden Facade For Impending Surrender On Ukraine
2023-09-23
[Larry Johnson] We are seeing the classic signs of the growing discontent within some key sectors of the military and intelligence bureaucracy over the Biden policy towards Ukraine (I will touch on those in a minute), but the Biden national security team continues to stridently insist insist it will back Ukraine to the bitter end. However, despite the tough talk, Biden continues to balk on sending some weapon systems that could transform the Special Military Operation into a full blown war with Russia.

...Jake Sullivan is delusional. Consider this portion of his remarks to the press:

Well, let’s define success kind of stepping back for a moment. Number one Kiev stands, Kharkiv stands, Kherson stands. Major cities of Ukraine are not under Russian domination and occupation today because first and foremost of the bravery of the Ukrainian soldiers on the front lines and the people the Ukrainian people who are supporting them. But also, in no small part, because of the material assistance we have provided and that is a significant fact.

Second Ukraine is in fact taking back territory. It is doing so methodically step by step and the weapons that we have provided have allowed them to de-occupy (sic) more territory in the last 3 months than the Russians were able to take in 8 months over the course of its fall and winter offensive last year. So we will keep at this and we believe that the weapons we are providing are helping Ukraine not only make forward progress but also critically defend the territory that they continue to hold against Russian efforts to overrun it and occupy it.

Give Sullivan kudos for being a master of spin. He presents the press with a steaming pile of manure while assuring them it is a delicious plate of chocolate mousse. Slurp it up guys. He starts off with the red-herring that Russia has not yet captured Kharkiv, Kiev or Kherson. A meaningless point, proving nothing, because Russia’s military operations are concentrated on destroying the Ukrainian army — which is losing upwards of 1,000 troops a day — rather than conquering cities. So far Russia regularly bombing critical targets in Kharkiv, Kiev, Kherson, Lviv and Sumy with missiles and drones and Ukraine is impotent to stop those attacks because its air defense is no longer viable.

Sullivan deserves a Burger King crown as a reward to giving the press a Big Whopper by claiming that Ukraine has taken back more territory than Russia has. This is patent nonsense. Someone needs to get a map out and show him Bakhmut, Soledar, Lysyschansk as well as the location of the three defensive lines erected under General Surovikin’s direction a year ago. Is Sullivan really this blind and stupid? Maybe.

Sullivan’s "rah rah" nonsense did not obscure the fact that Biden is not giving Ukraine ATACM missiles. I do not know if that is out of fear of inserting a weapon that could risk Russian escalation or if it is because U.S. military planners want to keep those missiles for themselves as a contingency. I suspect it is the latter. Bureaucrats at the Pentagon still have some clout.

Notice that not a word was said about "Patriot Missile" batteries. That was supposed to be a game changer for Ukraine’s air defense capability. It appears that the units the United States sent have been destroyed or are no longer in working order. Sullivan did claim the United States agreed to send other "air defense" systems to Zelensky but the fact is those are only window dressing. They will do nothing to alter the strategic picture or halt Russian attacks.

The Biden team confirmed that the M1-Abrams tank will make its debut in Ukraine next week. I wonder if London bookies are offering a bet on how long before a video appears on-line of the smoldering wreckage of one of those tanks in some sodden Ukrainian wheat field? If the tanks really do show up next week, we should have proof of the first destroyed Abrams by October 5.

...I think the key factor during the next eight weeks will be how much damage Russia inflicts on Ukraine’s remaining military strength and infrastructure. Barring a mass surrender of Ukrainian forces, however, the Biden policy is to keep the war going. Politics is the guiding principle governing the Biden team’s decisions on Ukraine. The American leaders are content, so far, to ignore the military situation on the ground in Ukraine as long as it does not create political problems in the United States. They don’t give a damn about dead and dying Ukrainian soldiers. As long as they are convinced that Ukraine’s attacks on Russia are weakening Putin, Biden and his malevolent advisors will continue to fan the flames of war.

Posted by:Grom the Reflective

#1  I still believe that, before the elections, Democrats will turn into "Party of Peace", and the Ukrainian debacle will become the fault of Republicans.
Posted by: Grom the Reflective   2023-09-23 04:51  

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