Commentary by Russian blogger Donetsk
[DonRF] It’s something like this around Donetsk. The Russian Armed Forces near Marinka are advancing in three directions - Novomikhailovka, Pobeda and Georgievka. They are successful in Georgievka and Novomikhailovka. In general, in a sector previously considered secondary, the enemy was unable to hold the front and retreated in order, leaving positions that he had been strengthening for ten years.
Now it is creating a new front in nearby settlements. And transfers reserves there. You shouldn’t expect an easy walk, but there are chances to expand the zone of control and get closer to Kurakhovo in the West. Just as there are chances to reach the village of Konstantinovka further south and create a threat to Ugledar from the North.
The fall of which could lead our troops all the way to Velikaya Novoselovka. Essentially restoring the Vremeevsky ledge. And finally clearing the South of the DPR. This is not easy or simple, but it is possible, provided that the appropriate forces and means are brought into battle. It won't be easy, but it will be possible. Really if you want. Marinka was of serious importance for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Very serious. More than serious. Now this is a springboard for us. Otherwise, they wouldn’t have held on to these ruins for two years.
It’s more difficult with Avdeevka. They are stubborn and are pumping in reinforcements. Their defense was successful, of course, but in general... In general, there is also Artemovsk, or rather Chasov Yar. Where reserves are also needed. There is Rabotino on Zaporozhye, and there is Krynki on Kherson. And also Kupyansk and Svatovo-Kremennaya.
Now there is a situation where the Armed Forces of Ukraine cannot patch the entire front. And by moving guns and equipment to one place, they inevitably weaken the second. Where our progress begins to be recorded. In terms of intelligence, they don’t need F-16s, they need artillery. A lot of Armor. And shells. Two or three million.
Well, new brigades. At least 30 full-blooded ones. With all means. And for this we need a pause. Accumulate BC, repair equipment, catch people, get money from the West. But there is something. There is no other way.
The question is our reserves, and where and when, if they are available, of course, and the will of the command, they will fall. And it will fall as much as possible. Strategically, this is unlikely, but at the tactical level - the RF Armed Forces have already achieved more in November-December than the Armed Forces of Ukraine in six months. And it can achieve even more. Until the liberation of the South and Center of the DPR.
Again, maybe - not a guarantee. It's a hard work. In theory, war is easy and simple. In practice... So far everything is something like this, moderately optimistic. On a tactical level.