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Area: WoT Operations    WoT Background    Non-WoT        Politix   
Yemen Government Forces Capture Capital of al-Jawf Province as Peace Talks Go on
Today's Headlines
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Page 4: Opinion
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Page 6: Politix
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3 10:43 Deacon Blues [3]
Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Future of Turkish-Israeli relations depends on Iran
Despite the tension in relations between Turkey and Israel, which emerged in 2010, the two sides always acted with restraint and kept the situation in control.
One side did, anyways, but do go on...
One had the feeling that the crisis between the two countries was needed both for Turkey and Israel. Turkey, having lowered its diplomatic relations with Israel, acted in the region as a defender of Muslims. Israel was proving its rightness by not making concessions to Turkey, which was more intended for the country's public.

But at the same time, the countries held secret negotiations, and the Turkish foreign minister doesn’t hide this fact. All this happened before the crisis in relations between Russia and Turkey started.

Turkish media said that Turkey and Israel have tentatively agreed to normalize relations in Switzerland. It is reported that within the framework of the agreement reached, Israel will pay compensation in the amount of $20 million to the families of Turkish citizens killed during the incident on the “Freedom Flotilla” ship in 2010.
Doesn't sound like a good idea -- pay blood money so that Turkey will then deign to buy natural gas that it desperately needs?
The blood money was agreed to the last time Mr. Erdogan -- then only a prime minister -- negotiated with Israel... but then he had a temper tantrum about something or other, and the money was not paid. As for the natural gas, remember that he who turns on the spigot can also turn it off. As Russia has demonstrated on more than one occasion, including the present.
It also reported that Turkish foreign ministry adviser Ferudin Sinirlioglu confirmed talks on the normalization of relations between the countries.

The sides didn’t agree regarding the third requirement of Turkey, a complete lifting of the blockade of Gaza. But Israel will let humanitarian supplies pass to Gaza within the framework of the agreement.
Does 'humanitarian supplies' include cement for the tunnels and rocket launching pads?
However, this information hasn’t been confirmed or denied by Turkish officials yet, and it is most likely that the authorities of Turkey and Israel won’t be commenting on all these messages for some time.

If Turkey and Israel are able to restore previous relations, Israel will mainly benefit as a result of this.

After the relations between the two countries deteriorated, Ankara canceled a military treaty with Israel. As a result, the Israeli Air Force lost the Turkish airspace, used for "training" flights for many years. There is no doubt that in case of resuming the relations with Turkey, Israel will once again use the airspace of the republic. This will allow it at least partially controlling the north of Syria, Iraq and western Iran. In fact, these are the countries that are hostile towards a Jewish state in the Middle East and having no close relations with Turkey.
On the other hand, without Israeli technicians Turkey's Israeli drones quickly became unable to fly. No doubt other bits of Turkey's Israeli military technology also languished without kosher hands at the tiller, or whatever.
The second important point for Israel is that earlier, the Turkish intelligence agencies shared the intelligence data with those of Israel. Earlier, the Turkish media reported that Israel did not provide Turkey with any intelligence data.
Because the Turks would have passed the info on to Iran?
In case of resuming the relations between the countries, the National Intelligence Agency (Mossad) and the Turkish National Intelligence Organization (MIT) are expected to cooperate.
Lots of Muslimly reliable people have been moved into slots formerly occupied by competent ones in Turkey in recent years. Such assumptions may prove to be overexcited.
As for the Israeli gas supplies to Turkey, which are presented as the main cause of restoring the relations, the countries can get the mutual benefit from these supplies in the end.
Though the spigot may get unexpected exercise until certain uncontrollable impulses become controlled.
But the question arises here. How long will the warm relations between Turkey and Israel last amid the military conflicts in Syria and Iraq if the countries resume them?

Oddly enough, Russia’s growing influence in Syria and Iraq also strengthen Iran’s position in these countries which doesn’t meet Israel’s and Turkey’s interests. Aside from Iran, the Lebanese ‘Hezbollah’ movement, which is hostile to Israel, also strengthens its positions in the region.

Participating in the military operations in Syria against the IS terrorist group (ISIS, ISIL, or Daesh), ‘Hezbollah’ is gaining more experience which poses a serious threat to Israel.
Lots of experience, lots of deaths. And perhaps a better understanding of who the real enemies are.
There is no a guarantee that the supporters of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad won’t use these skills against Israel.
Mr. al Assad has been carful never to go against Israel. It isn't likely he'd ask others to do so on his behalf.
On the other hand, if Syria, which so strongly relies on Russia’s and Iran’s support, becomes a winner of the war (it is highly likely), it can raise the Golan Heights issue sooner or later. If Assad gains victory, it will be a complete fiasco for Turkey’s foreign policy and can strongly affect the domestic political situation in the country.

Assad’s victory in the Syrian war and Iran’s strengthening in the region doesn’t meet the interests of Turkey and Israel and it can make these two countries even closer to each other.
If true then it's all the more reason why Israel should hold out for a better deal.
Posted by: Steve White || 12/19/2015 00:00 || Comments || Link || [7 views] Top|| File under:

#1  Depends on who launches first.
Posted by: Skidmark || 12/19/2015 0:17 Comments || Top||

#2  IMO, should hold off "normalization" until we see how serious Putin is. For one, if/when Hillary is POTUS, Israel will need (much) better relations with Russia.
Posted by: g(r)omgoru || 12/19/2015 3:06 Comments || Top||

#3  Turkish media said that Turkey and Israel have tentatively agreed to normalize relations in Switzerland.
Are they going to normalize relations outside of Switzerland? Where did this person learn writing a story?
Posted by: Deacon Blues || 12/19/2015 14:33 Comments || Top||

#4  yet Yippy meets with Mashaal, patching up relations with Hamas
Posted by: Frank G || 12/19/2015 18:51 Comments || Top||



Who's in the News
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8Islamic State
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4Houthis
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2Taliban
1Govt of Saudi Arabia
1Govt of Iraq
1Govt of Iran
1Jamaat-ul-Mujahideen Bangladesh
1Muslim Brotherhood
1Hamas
1TTP

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Two weeks of WOT
Sat 2015-12-19
  Yemen Government Forces Capture Capital of al-Jawf Province as Peace Talks Go on
Fri 2015-12-18
  Over 800 migrants try to storm Channel Tunnel in France: Official
Thu 2015-12-17
  30 Dead in Boko Haram Attack on Three Nigeria Villages
Wed 2015-12-16
  Top Saudi, UAE Commanders among 150 Forces Killed in Yemen Tochka Attack
Tue 2015-12-15
  Breaking: L.A. School District shut down due to credible terror threat
Mon 2015-12-14
  40 die in Damascus airstrikes
Sun 2015-12-13
  Gambia now an Islamic republic, says President
Sat 2015-12-12
  US sez 3 ISIS Top Dawgs die in airstrikes
Fri 2015-12-11
  North Korea claims it has hydrogen bomb; experts skeptical
Thu 2015-12-10
  37 killed in Taliban siege at Khandahar airport
Wed 2015-12-09
  Daesh loses large part of Ramadi
Tue 2015-12-08
  Clash among the supporters of Taliban chief and Mullah Rasool leaves 24 dead
Mon 2015-12-07
  Yemen's Aden governor killed in car bombing claimed by Islamic State
Sun 2015-12-06
  AQIM shares responsibility for Mali hotel killings
Sat 2015-12-05
  Still No Confirmation On Reports Of Mullah Mansour's Death


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