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Posted by DarthVader 2013-02-27 18:07||
#2 IMO China is getting ready to rumble wid the US + Japan - however, iff histoire' is any measure they will first set up, satisfy, + prove before the World any + all legal precendents, etc. before the day when PLA suddenly + mortally opens fire on the JSDF + Japan CG. China will thus be justified in annihilating or massacring any JSDF + JCG due to Japan's seeming disrespect of China's arguments + "talking points". AS FAR AS CHINA WILL BE CONCERNED, ANY MASSACRE WILL BE JAPAN'S + O-N-L-Y JAPAN'S FAULT.
It will be the same for Nippon ally the US = US Navy-DOD.
Perhaps more importantly ...
E.G. TELEGRAPH.UK > EVEN IFF IRAN GETS THE BOMB, IT NOT WORTH WAR.
By that logic, ditto for the US = POTUS Bammer Admin vee the disputed tiny Senkakus/Diaoyus, ESPEC NOW WID SO-CALLED "SEQUESTRATION" CUTS LOOMING COME MARCH 1ST OR ASAP AFTER.
Lest we fergit, PENTAGON = the USN CVN USS "GEORGE WASHINGTON" + CVBG MAY BE THE O-N-L-Y US NUCLEAR CARRIER THE US CAN DEPLOY OVERSEAS IN INTERNATIONAL CRISIS DUE TO SEQUESTRATION.
The Japan-based "Georgie" is highly unlikely to survive a dedicated unilateral or combined mass attack of PLA DF-16's, DF-21 ASBMS, andor ALCMS, SLCMS. IMO IT WILL BE THE FIRST, OR ONE OF THE FIRST, MILITARY TARGETS THE PLA WILL ATTACK ONCE A FINAL DECISION TO WAGE WAR AGZ JAPAN HAS BEEN MADE IN BEIJING.
Posted by JosephMendiola 2013-02-27 18:39||
#3 "The US can't intervene because it cannot econ or $$$ afford to".
The Bammer will be caught in a political trap because iff the DemoLeft + aligned can increase + expand America's deficits = US Welfare-Nanny State every year, BY DEFINITION IT CANNOT ARGUE THAT IT HAS NO MONEY TO MILITARILY INTERVENE ON BEHALF OF ITS OWN OVERSEAS ALLY(S) UNDER TREATY.
ANY ARGUMENT THAT THE US CANNOT AFFORD TO DEFEND + PROTECT ITS OWN OVERSEAS ALLIES WILL N-O-T FOOL CHINA NOR AMER'S ALLIES - IT WILL BE "PRIMA FACIE" DEFEATED WHILE THE US = POTUS BAMMER OR ADMIN IS MAKING OR SAYING IT.
Posted by JosephMendiola 2013-02-27 18:46||
#4 See also TOPIX > [Asian Chronicle] THE "LAST PROVINCE": CAN TAIWAN RESIST BEIJING'S UNIFICATION DRIVE?
Personally, I'm more interested in Taiwan's ability to resist + defeat a massive Airborne-led PLA conventional forces assault + follow-on, where prohibitive PLA casualties is NOT a major factor/concern as far as Beijing is concerned, ONLY VICTORY.
* KYODO NEWS > THREE CHINESE VESSELS [again-n-n] ENTER TERRITORIAL WATERS AROUND SENKAKUS.
* GLOBAL TIMES > PLA PLANS 40 DRILLS IN 2013, ostensibly to improve the latent combat ability of the Chinese armed forces.
Posted by JosephMendiola 2013-02-27 23:41||