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2004-10-17 Home Front: Politix

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL - Bush by 8 among likely voters

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Posted by Frank G 2004-10-17 3:08:45 PM|| || Front Page|| [3 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 Powerline Blog calls BS on this one, and cites Gallup's analysis this time in 2000 - they had Bush 13 points ahead of Gore!

Posted by Bulldog 2004-10-17 3:23:42 PM|| 2004-10-17 3:23:42 PM|| Front Page Top

#2 Gimmick to push Bush up,so as to reflect a resurgance by Kerry in the next poll.

Posted by crazyhorse 2004-10-17 3:55:05 PM|| 2004-10-17 3:55:05 PM|| Front Page Top

#3 actually PWLine sez:
"Today's Gallup Poll has President Bush ahead by eight points among likely voters, 52% to 44%. I'm glad to have this survey getting some publicity, but I don't believe it for a moment. You apparently can't get the poll's internal numbers without subscribing to Gallup's service, which we don't do, but those data will come out soon, and when they do, I'm pretty sure they'll show a screwy sample."

If so, then none of the polls can be believed

Posted by Frank G 2004-10-17 4:18:47 PM|| 2004-10-17 4:18:47 PM|| Front Page Top

#4 Never believe polls. Good or bad.

Posted by mojo 2004-10-17 5:01:55 PM|| 2004-10-17 5:01:55 PM|| Front Page Top

#5 The polls are showing trend that there was a break after the final debate, and that break appears to be in Bush's favor. To understand if it is real, we need to see what is happening in the swing state polls and determine if this trend indicates a shift in the electoral college.

Posted by Douglas De Bono 2004-10-17 7:40:10 PM|| [http://www.DouglasDeBono.com] 2004-10-17 7:40:10 PM|| Front Page Top

#6 I don't believe the polls, but Steven DenBeste's observation of the numbers is interesting, especially the September timeframe. Best part- it isn't as long as was his usual screeds.

Posted by Pappy 2004-10-17 10:00:47 PM|| 2004-10-17 10:00:47 PM|| Front Page Top

#7 Closet Bush voters are more numerous than anyone suspects. We can expect that most of the pro-Lieberman Dems and perhaps a million or more independents who, in their outward lives, currently give all indication of leaning toward Kerry, will go with their gut in the voting both and opt for the only serious national security candidate in this race.

Keep your eye on the jewish vote in Miami, Cleveland, Philly and Pittsburgh. If Kerry doesn't get more than maybe 60% of this vote, he's finished.

Posted by lex 2004-10-18 12:43:01 PM|| 2004-10-18 12:43:01 PM|| Front Page Top

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