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2012-11-08 Israel-Palestine-Jordan
Israel On The Roulette Table
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Posted by trailing wife 2012-11-08 00:00|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [329 views ]  Top

#1 See also DAILY TIMES.PK > OBAMA VICTORY SPELLS TROUBLE FOR NETANYAHU.

Iran remains highly unlikely to close the Strait of Hormuz this second time around as like the first - iff the Bammer stays the course on Diplomacy + Hard Sanctions, IT WILL MEAN NO US-LED AIR STRIKES ANDOR GROUND WAR AGZ IRAN UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. In Israel's = Netanyahu's mind, and rightly so, no US-led air strike or ground war means that IRAN WILL GET ITS NUKES.

Again, IRAN = THE BURDEN IS ON THE US + ISRAEL TO ATTACK IT FIRST, AND SEEMINGLY WIDOUT CAUSE AS IRAN DOES NOT [officially]INTEND TO BUILD ANY DE FACTO NUCLEAR WEAPONS [per the Japan/Egypt Model].
A unilateral Israeli attack means the start of a MAJOR REGIONAL OR TRANS-REGIONAL WAR [Global?] TO WHICH THE US CANNOT HOPE TO STAY NEUTRAL OR UN-INVOLVED. The US in LT may end up having to invade Iran in ground war whether it wants to or not.

Israel vee Iran in ME = Japan vee China in East China Sea, or PHIL vee China in South Sea.

* TOPIX > OBAMA'S SECOND TERM WILL WEAKEN US FOREIGN POLICY.

* DAILY TIMES.PK > OBAMA'S FULL PLATE [second POTUS term]: FISCAL CLIFF, IRAN, SYRIA, as well as Rising China + Uncertain Outcome(s) vee "Arab Spring" [Event + Govts.] + EuroZone/EUZ Crises.

* WORLD MILITARY FORUM > PLA ARMY NEWSPAPER: HOSTILE WESTERN FORCES, GOVTS. FEAR THE "ARMY OF MAO ZEDONG".

versus

* NEW YORK TIMES > THE PERMANENT MILITARIZATION OF AMERICA.

Goodbye America, hello Amerikka.
Posted by JosephMendiola 2012-11-08 01:17||   2012-11-08 01:17|| Front Page Top

#2 Obama's first term as president was problematic not only for Netanyahu, it was problematic for the entire State of Israel. Ditto for the USA. The 47% spoke.
Posted by JohnQC 2012-11-08 07:47||   2012-11-08 07:47|| Front Page Top

#3 I did say in an earlier comment - the very first thing I expected the Iranians to do after the Nov election was to go into another round of negotiations. And now what do we see - a proposed under-the-table plan for 3 months of talks between Tehran and Washington DC (according to Debka). Maybe Debka is wrong ... but it's typical of Tehran. I have to say - they've been the masters at the negotiating table so far.
Posted by Raider 2012-11-08 12:44||   2012-11-08 12:44|| Front Page Top

#4 Negotiation is a matter of convincing others you can and will do more than negotiate if you need to. Without credible threat it is pointless (see Viet Nam.)
Posted by Glenmore 2012-11-08 13:47||   2012-11-08 13:47|| Front Page Top

#5 It was reported one day ago from several sources that Valerie Jarrett was in Iran taking part in secret talks. As I recall, she was born in Tehran.
Posted by JohnQC 2012-11-08 17:03||   2012-11-08 17:03|| Front Page Top

#6 Glenmore, you concept is correct, your example is wrong.... see Linebacker and Linebacker II

Pocket Money in particular gave the NV a real, solid reason to talk.

Your point is taken, but the example should have been with the final NVA offensive which the US Congress decided would only be allowed 1 billion bucks to defend against.

Then again.. I look at your comment and see you are completely correct. Never mind.



Posted by Shipman 2012-11-08 18:08||   2012-11-08 18:08|| Front Page Top

23:58 Broadhead6
23:45 Skidmark
23:44 Skidmark
23:06 Iblis
22:40 wr
22:39 tu3031
22:31 Charles
22:27 Charles
22:25 wr
22:01 Alaska Paul
22:00 Alaska Paul
21:58 Pappy
21:56 JosephMendiola
21:56 Alaska Paul
21:54 canalzone
21:45 Sherry
21:43 Sherry
21:41 Glenmore
21:28 JosephMendiola
21:19 JosephMendiola
21:06 Iblis
20:39 Iblis
20:38 Sherry
20:22 Barbara

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