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2004-10-17 Home Front: Politix

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Posted by Anonymoose 2004-10-17 6:06:43 PM|| || Front Page|| [3 views since 2007-05-07] Top

#1 This election will not be close, folks. Millions of swing state voters will go with their gut, which will lead them in a direction opposite to where they're now telling their neighbors, colleagues, family (and pollsters) they intend to go.

This is especially true of the kind of educated, normally Democrat-leaning moderate voter who cares about national security but is unwilling to come out openly for Bush. When crunch time comes, millions of these voters will not go for an unreconstructed pacifist who wants to give fuel to Iran, unilaterally disarm us, and who persists in his fantasy that the French will send troops to Iraq.

The "Closet Bush" voters are larger than anyone thinks and are not reflected in the polls. Expect them to be decisive in swing states that have large numbers of pro-Lieberman Dems-- I'm guessing that means OH and PA as well as FL.

Posted by lex 2004-10-18 12:16:05 PM|| 2004-10-18 12:16:05 PM|| Front Page Top

#2 Same type of reasonable, silent-majority Dems who elected Arnie in a landslide (polls had him even with Bustamante the day before!) and Jeb Bush by 13 points in FL (polls showed him up by only 3-6 points day before).

Posted by lex 2004-10-18 12:17:57 PM|| 2004-10-18 12:17:57 PM|| Front Page Top

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