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2014-10-28 -Signs, Portents, and the Weather-

Ebola death toll tops 4,900 as virus spreads - WHO

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Posted by Fred 2014-10-28 00:00|| || Front Page|| [10 views ] Top

#1 Is/was Samantha Power going to be quarantined for 21 days when she returns/returned from West Africa ebola inspection tour? It only seems right.

Posted by JohnQC 2014-10-28 08:28|| 2014-10-28 08:28|| Front Page Top

#2 reuters is now reporting death toll has topped 5000

but it's not the death toll that counts... it's the new infections

my calculations say 8000 for the month to Oct 31,

17,000 for November

Posted by anon1 2014-10-28 10:57|| 2014-10-28 10:57|| Front Page Top

#3 If it is so difficult to catch as is said by the CDC, why are so many dying in Africa? Why is the death rate climbing so rapidly?

Posted by JohnQC 2014-10-28 11:38|| 2014-10-28 11:38|| Front Page Top

#4 Elementary JohnQC. It is an exponential growth. If there were two active cases today then in three weeks there would be four. So, since there are at least a thousand active cases now, in three weeks there will be two thousand. Except reporting spotty, so there are really three thousand active cases now, and there will be 6,000 in three weeks.

Anyone reading this who doesn't have a month or two worth of food stashed, really needs to get that.

Posted by rammer 2014-10-28 20:22|| 2014-10-28 20:22|| Front Page Top

#5 I've not been keeping track, as closely as I should have, in order to be making comments - but with the news about Ebola screaming from every corner of every news website - I'm pretty sure that they were all recording around 10,000 infections and 5,000 deaths ten days ago - with predictions that by October month-end, there would be 20,000/50,000/250,000 (pick a large number) dead.

I'm not trying to make light of the problem, but - I think that the Draconian countermeasures that have naturally arisen in the hard-hit areas in the face of the pestilence have - in fact - served their purpose well.

Although this "epidemic" has been worse than previous outbreaks, the region does have a past history - numbering upwards of a dozen instances - of having previously contained emerging outbreaks.

Necessity is indeed the mother of invention - and DIRE necessity creates a very motivated mother.

My guess is that this thing has peaked, and is on its way in the right direction.

Posted by Lone Ranger 2014-10-28 21:16|| 2014-10-28 21:16|| Front Page Top

#6 the region does have a past history - numbering upwards of a dozen instances - of having previously contained emerging outbreaks.

The virus may be different this time around - the little sumbitches do mutate. But Africa itself is different. More people and a whole lot more connectivity.

Roads and transportation mean you can get to another village/city/country pretty quick compared to years gone by. And once you are in a city, there are buses and planes to take you anywhere...

Posted by SteveS 2014-10-28 21:45|| 2014-10-28 21:45|| Front Page Top

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