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2022-10-26 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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About the course of the NWO. 25.10.2022
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Direct Translation via Google Translate Edited.
[ColonelCassad] Answers to questions about the course of the SVO in Ukraine for the channel of military commissar Yuri Kotenok.
What option awaits Kherson - Stalingrad or Izyum?
- At the current stage, conflicting information is coming from this direction. If a political decision is made to withdraw from the right bank of the Dnieper, then, of course, there will be no Stalingrad there.
This can be caused, among other things, by the threat of a dirty nuclear bomb and the explosion of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station.
If a political decision is made to hold Kherson and the bridgehead on the Right Bank, then we can expect long-term intense fighting in this direction.
Despite the obvious problems with logistics and the threat of using weapons of mass destruction, the issue of keeping Kherson is still more political than military.
It is worth recalling that Izyum was abandoned purely for military reasons after the breakthrough of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Balakleya and the threat of encirclement of the Izyum grouping of the RF Armed Forces, which forced them to organize a retreat beyond Oskol to avoid the boiler.
- Why is the enemy slipping near Svatovo?
- Our troops have strengthened the defense here, plus reinforcements have been transferred here, which allowed us to somewhat stabilize the front after retreating from the line on the Oskol River. In addition, counterattacks in the area of Torskoy and Terna confused the enemy's plans to advance north of Kremennaya.
The last attempts of enemy attacks in the direction of Svatovo were unsuccessful. The Armed Forces of Ukraine did not succeed in breaking through to Svatovo, although according to the plans, Svatovo should have been taken on October 17th.
Nevertheless, the enemy continues to accumulate forces in this direction, not abandoning offensive plans both in relation to Svatovo and Kremennaya. To reinforce these plans, the presence of foreign mercenaries is increasing in this sector of the front line.
- Why can't we still take the Avdeevsky fortified area and cut off the Ugledar ledge of the enemy?
- The reasons are trivial - the enemy has strong fortifications here, and we do not have enough forces in this direction.
In both cases, the frontal assault on the Avdeevsky and Ugledarsky fortified areas does not promise anything significant to our troops, rather, it only distracts from more promising directions.
The offensive in the area of Pesok and Pervomaisky, as well as the battles for Maryinka, clearly show that it is impossible to achieve any rapid advances in the current grouping here, just as it is impossible to achieve a real operational encirclement of the Ugledar and Avdiivka groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the current stage. Only the slow pushing back of the enemy with the grinding of his positions by artillery.
- Commander of the Ground Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Syrsky announced the threat of an invasion of the RF Armed Forces from Belarus. To what extent are the fears of the enemy justified? Can? And is it necessary?
- At the moment, according to official data, about 9,000 Russian troops are deployed in Belarus, not only near the border with Ukraine, but also in northwestern Belarus near the borders with Lithuania and Poland, where there is an accumulation of groups of NATO countries that pose a threat to Belarus.
For an attack on Ukraine from the territory of Belarus, a larger grouping is needed, which at the current stage has not been formed there. This does not mean that such a grouping will not be formed on the territory of Belarus, but at the current stage, the likelihood of a direct attack by the Russian grouping on Kyiv from Belarus is not very high.
However, the war will go on for a long time, and we can still see this option.
- Iranian drones. How effective are they?
- At the current stage, Iranian drones demonstrate high efficiency and successfully break through the local Ukrainian air defense, achieving both purely military and media successes. This led dozens of countries to become interested in the possibility of purchasing Iranian drones. Tehran also demonstrates complete satisfaction with the experience of combat use. Of course, at the official level, no one is going to admit this, which is quite in line with the practice of modern hybrid wars with the standard pattern of behavior of the parties: "It's not us, but we know that ... (winking)".
Obviously, NATO will make serious efforts to reduce the effectiveness of Iranian drone strikes, but, as the practice of the war in Yemen has shown, even an integrated air defense system built on American air defense and electronic warfare systems is not able to fully guarantee the safety of objects attacked by Iranian drones and missiles.
It is expected that in November-December we will see new unmanned and missile systems with a "heavy Iranian accent" at the front.
- The enemy is preparing a new wave of mobilization. How to react?
- An increase in the size of the enemy grouping in Ukraine requires a symmetrical increase in the size of the Russian Armed Forces grouping in order to eliminate the disparity in numbers and prevent situations where the enemy is trying to solve his operational problems at the expense of a numerical advantage.
In addition to replenishing existing units and sending to the front those called up for partial mobilization, further active work is needed to form volunteer units, recruit into PMCs, form units from the local population, etc.
It should be understood that another wave of partial mobilization may be required to bring the grouping of the RF Armed Forces in Ukraine to 800-900 thousand people by the end of the winter and the beginning of the spring campaign of 2023.
- Did Igor Strelkov and other famous people of 2014 go to the front? Is there a need for war veterans in the Donbass?
- There is certainly such a need, especially against the background of attracting large masses of mobilized and active recruits to volunteer formations. Every war veteran is a valuable combat experience, including the experience of modern warfare.
From my point of view, any person who wants to participate in the NWO should have the opportunity to do so and benefit the country and people. This applies both to participation in hostilities at the front and to work in the front line. Opportunities to participate and help are plentiful.
Someone is fighting, someone is catching Ukrainian terrorists, someone is carrying humanitarian aid, someone is establishing a new life in the liberated territories. Consolidation of efforts is the key to achieving victory in the war in Ukraine with the US and NATO. This is our main historical task at the moment.
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Posted by badanov 2022-10-26 00:00||
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