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2022-12-22 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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Before the next blows
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
Commentary by Russian military journalist Boris Rozhin:
[ColonelCassad] On the situation with the energy sector of Ukraine before the next blows.
1. Up to 42% of consumers are without electricity or in emergency shutdown mode. In some regions, these figures reach up to 60%, and in the Kyiv region it is 80%. DTEK and Zelensky's gang made it clear even earlier that such realities would persist at least until the end of March, and even then, if there were no new strikes, but there would be.
2. It is not yet possible to fully restore the Internet in the "until October 10-12" mode. And this is so far without attacks on data centers (which are objectively desirable - some of them are quite accessible to defeat). Interruptions in cellular communications are less systemic.
3. Non-priority urban and rural areas are increasingly left either without electricity, or transferred to random emergency shutdowns (for example, today in Lviv, after the "successful resumption of rolling blackouts", they were forced to switch to emergency ones, since the regional energy system cannot cope even without new beats).
4. Train delays are not yet critical, and in this regard, the energy system crisis has had a limited impact on rail transportation at the moment. As has been noted more than once, for more systemic consequences, it is necessary to defeat substations 750 and disconnect the nuclear power plant from the power grid in order to deprive the Zelensky gang of the opportunity to balance the power system after the strikes.
5. The transfer of new imported air defense systems to Ukraine will certainly allow the Armed Forces of Ukraine to strengthen a number of air defense units covering the most important objects, although due to the size of the theater of operations and the abundance of objects that need to be covered, even one battery of the Patriot air defense system will not make the weather. In addition, in recent weeks, there has been a noticeable trend towards increased hunting by the RF Armed Forces for radars and air defense systems in combination with strikes.
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Posted by badanov 2022-12-22 00:00||
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