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2023-01-07 Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
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Ukrainian Perspective: Invasion of Ukraine: January 6th, 2023
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Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] 22:36 Russia plans to mobilize another 500 thousand people in the near future, Vadim Skibitsky, a spokesman for the GUR, told The Guardian. He specified that they plan to add another 500,000 conscripts to the already mobilized 300,000. Ukraine expects that the next wave of mobilization in Russia will be announced on January 15, after the winter holidays. According to Skibitsky, Russia will need about two months to form military formations, and the success of the aggressor on the battlefield will depend on how well equipped and trained the military is.
22:08 Reznikov published an updated infographic on the number of missiles remaining in Russia. According to him, the Russians still have 19% of strategic high-precision missiles, about 78% of tactical missiles and 12% of Iranian drones.
21:59 The new US aid package for Ukraine will include:
- 50 Bradley infantry fighting vehicles with 500 TOW anti-tank missiles and 250,000 25mm rounds;
- 100 armored personnel carriers M113;
- 55 MRAP;
- 138 HMMWV;
- 18 155-mm self-propelled howitzers and 18 vehicles for them;
- 70,000 155 mm artillery shells;
- 500 155mm Excalibur rounds;
- 1,200 155 mm remote anti-tank mine systems (RAAM) rounds;
- 36 105 mm towed howitzers and 95,000 105 mm artillery shells;
- 10,000 120mm mortar shells;
- HIMARS ammunition;
- anti-aircraft missiles RIM-7 Sea Sparrow;
- 4,000 Zuni aircraft missiles;
- about 2,000 anti-tank missiles;
- sniper rifles, machine guns and ammunition, mines, night vision devices and more.
21:35 Zelensky urged Ukrainians to pay attention to air raid signals, especially on these holidays: "Remember what evil is fighting against us. Our air defense fighters will do their best. But please help them by taking care of your safety."
21:23 Zelensky said in an evening video message that Ukraine managed to bring defense cooperation with partners to a new level: "After my visit to the United States two weeks ago, there were already more than 20 stages in our diplomatic marathon. And today a new one was announced - and very powerful - a package of American defense support for our state. For the first time we will receive Bradley armored vehicles - this is exactly what we need. We see absolutely concrete results of our visit and negotiations."
"Germany has taken a significant step forward to strengthen the security not only of Ukraine, but of all of Europe. Strengthening our air defense is direct work for de-escalation here and now. As of now, for Ukraine - more air defense, more armored vehicles, for the first time - Western tanks, more guns and shells, more energy and political opportunities," the president stressed.
21:15 Ukraine will soon receive about 5,000 more Starlink terminals from partners, most of which will be sent to the military, said Minister of Digital Transformation Mikhail Fedorov. According to him, 25,000 Starlink terminals have been delivered since the beginning of the war. They were sent to the military, doctors, power engineers, government agencies.
21:12 Podolyak is convinced that after Patriot and Marder, Germany will transfer Leopard tanks to Ukraine: "Germany has taken a tough and very clear position, the first in the world to abandon total energy dependence on the Russian Federation. Also, this country is absolutely going to transfer heavy weapons to Ukraine, increasing the next step will be the supply of Leopard tanks to Ukraine."
20:38 The US Treasury Department has imposed new sanctions against individuals associated with the Iranian drone manufacturer, as well as against the director of a key organization responsible for overseeing Iran's ballistic missile programs.
20:34 The United States announced a new $3 billion military aid package to Ukraine , the White House said. The package includes $225 million for the long-term strengthening of the country's military potential and modernization of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as $682 million to Washington's partners on NATO's eastern flank for the purchase of weapons.
The package includes:
- additional HIMARS missile systems;
- HUMVEE armored vehicles;
- armored vehicles with enhanced mine protection MRAP;
- Sea Sparrow anti-aircraft missiles;
- light tanks M2 Bradley.
19:55 In Russia, they are going to increase the tax burden on big business in order to cover at least part of military spending, Bloomberg reports. Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin has proposed "revenue mobilization" by collecting lump sum payments from coal and fertilizer producers. The Kremlin also offers high dividends from state-owned companies - at least 50% of net profit.
Media sources familiar with the proposal say at least some of the money they want to raise from big business will go towards military spending. A decision on the size of the dividend or lump-sum fee has not yet been made: the amount will depend on the final budget indicators for the whole of 2022.
Russia also provides for the allocation of 175 billion rubles for the organization of the deportation of 100 thousand people from the Kherson region. The publication notes that this indicates that Moscow does not really hope for the return of the territories from which the Russians were driven out by the Ukrainian army in the fall of 2022.
18:37 The enemy is conducting offensive operations in the Bakhmut and unsuccessfully trying to improve the tactical situation in the Kupyansky, Limansky and Avdeevsky directions. On the rest, they are defending themselves, the General Staff reported in the evening summary.
18:14 Zelensky said that he met in Kiev with US Senators Jack Reed and Angus King, discussed the current situation on the front line and the risks of a possible escalation. "The Russian offer of a 'ceasefire' is a manipulation behind which the aggressor is trying to hide his real military plans and intentions," the president stressed.
18:03 Zelensky said that he had a telephone conversation with Scholz: "Thanked for a powerful defense package, including several dozen marders and a Patriot battery. We discussed further cooperation to strengthen the Ukrainian army."
16:52 The Russians are trying to use their reconnaissance UAVs to destroy ground targets by dropping fragmentation munitions. In particular, recently, the Ukrainian Defense Forces managed to shoot down a Russian Orlan-10 with two cassette suspensions using electronic warfare in one of the directions, said Oleksandr Pavlyuk, Deputy Commander of the Ground Forces.
16:46 For the first time after long negotiations, Ukraine will receive offensive weapons, which means that "the time for taboos on weapons has passed." About what weapons the West will give to the Armed Forces of Ukraine - in the material of the Tank Killer .
16:43 Danilov believes that Ukraine in 2023 will enter the phase of an offensive war. The Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council described how the world changed its attitude towards the Ukrainian war for independence - from partisan movement to victory:
1. January 2022. Guerrilla Warfare: NLAW, Stinger, Javelin.
2. June 2022. Defense-counteroffensive warfare: HIMARS, MLRS, M777 howitzers, Harpoon missiles, GMLRS shells, Excalibur, Panzerhaubitze 2000 self-propelled guns, IRIS anti-aircraft guns, CAESAR self-propelled guns, AHS Krab self-propelled howitzer.
3. 2023 Offensive warfare: Bradley, Marder infantry fighting vehicles, Bastion armored personnel carriers, AMX-10 RC armored vehicles, Patriot. "And much more - less public and not public at all."
4. Fourth stage. A war of justice and retribution.
PS Missile and drone program of Ukraine.
16:07 Anti-aircraft missile system Patriot from the army stocks of Germany will be delivered to Ukraine in the first quarter of this year, said the speaker of the German government, Steffen Gebeshtreit. He also confirmed that Germany plans to send about 40 Marder armored personnel carriers to Ukraine by the end of the first quarter. Training on the Marder machines will take place in Germany and last about eight weeks, Gebeshtreit added.
15:58 During the nine years of the war, Russia has never adhered to the ceasefire agreements, recalled Deputy Defense Minister Anna Malyar. During the battles of the ATO period, there were 11 attempts to establish a more or less stable ceasefire, which the parties agreed on within the Trilateral Contact Group. All of them were thwarted by deliberate actions of the enemy.
For example, during the so-called "comprehensive spring truce" in 2018, during the 22 days of the proclaimed "silence", the enemy carried out at least 153 attacks, during which six Ukrainian servicemen were killed and 12 were injured.
During the Joint Forces Operation, Ukraine agreed on a bilateral ceasefire several more times - the results were similar. In 2019 alone, the combat losses of the Ukrainian army in Donbas amounted to 97 dead. In 2020, by the beginning of the last, July truce, another 32 servicemen of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were killed, 220 were injured. On July 27, 2020, another "full and comprehensive ceasefire" officially began, which the enemy observed for only half an hour. From July 27, 2020 to July 27, 2021, more than 2,000 enemy attacks were recorded.
"Therefore, only the withdrawal of Russian troops from the territory of Ukraine will mean a real ceasefire and an end to aggression," Malyar stressed.
15:23 The State Bureau of Investigation conducted a search at the home of Volodymyr Saldo, the chief collaborator of the Kherson region. Documents of the Russian Federation with direct instructions to commit crimes against Ukraine were found in his house and at the place of residence of the henchmen. There is information about the structure of the occupation administration and the calculation of salaries in rubles. Abstracts were found in which the features of the legislation of the Russian Federation were recorded. Information about Kherson patriots and activists was also found.
14:37 Zelensky said that he held an online meeting with Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson: "We hope that under the Swedish presidency of the EU Council we will be able to start negotiations on Ukraine's accession to the European Union. I am grateful for the humanitarian assistance and invite Ulf Kristersson to continue the dialogue in all directions during a personal meeting in Kiev".
14:26 Shmyhal said that Ukrainians should be ready for the resumption of emergency power outages. He explained that the warm weather and holidays contributed to the reduction in electricity consumption, which made it possible not to apply blackouts during the New Year holidays. However, consumption has already increased, and a significant cooling is expected. In addition, the enemy is ready to launch another missile attack on civilian and energy infrastructure.
13:48 Zelensky said that he had a telephone conversation with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida: "I thanked his country for powerful generators and transformers that will help hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians stay warm and with light. He invited me to take part in the implementation of the peace formula."
13:39 The Russians fired at the center of Kurakhovo, Donetsk region, hit two high-rise buildings and one private house. The branch of the local hospital was also damaged - according to preliminary information, one person was wounded there, said Pavel Kirilenko, head of the regional police department.
The mayor of Kramatorsk, Alexander Goncharenko, also reported on enemy shelling of the city: 14 private houses were damaged, there were no casualties.
13:37 Germany will supply Ukraine with about 40 Marder infantry fighting vehicles, Nils Schmid, a member of the ruling Social Democratic Party, said. According to him, the Ukrainians will need some time to learn how to manage them, but the BMPs can be delivered in the first quarter of this year.
13:14 The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation confirmed that, in accordance with Putin's instructions, a ceasefire was declared in the "special operation" area from 12:00 on January 6 to 24:00 on January 7 along the entire line of contact between the parties in Ukraine.
13:12 The United States plans to transfer the announced Bradley infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine along with a new batch of anti-tank missiles and a variety of other ammunition, Pentagon correspondent Carla Babb said.
13:09 The head of the Bundestag Defense Committee, Agnes Strack-Zimmermann, welcomed the decision of the German federal government to supply Marder armored personnel carriers to Ukraine and stated that Leopard tanks should be the next delivery.
12:43 As a result of today's shelling of the fire department in Kherson, one rescuer was killed, four more were injured, said the head of the OVA, Yaroslav Yanushevich. Of these, one is in serious condition, three are in average condition.
12:28 The German government is negotiating with the two countries on the supply of Gepard anti-aircraft guns to Ukraine, writes Spiegel. In particular, Berlin is negotiating with two states that still have stocks of Gepard and a lot of 35 mm ammunition. There is no supply agreement yet, but there is cautious confidence in Berlin that Ukraine could get more Gepard in the coming months.
12:10 Putin considers Crimea and Belarus as territories for nuclear provocations, Andrey Yusov, spokesman for the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, said. He noted that the threat of a nuclear strike cannot be ruled out from the side of modern Russia and the Putin regime.
"There is information that the temporarily occupied Crimea and the territory of modern Belarus are being considered by Putin for such provocations. All this information is being monitored," Yusov said. At the same time, he added that even the Kremlin understands that such a step, if it happens, will be the last for the ruling Russian regime.
11:35 In the occupied territories on Orthodox Christmas, Russians are preparing terrorist attacks in churches, Deputy Prime Minister Irina Vereshchuk said. She urged citizens to be careful and, if possible, refrain from visiting places with a large crowd of people.
11:31 Russians fired at the second fire station in Kherson in two days, there are dead and wounded, the President's Office reported. At least four explosions have been recorded. A house in the private sector burned next to the shelled fire station.
11:12 In Kiev, another victim of rocket attacks on the capital on December 29 died. This is the third victim of the attack of the Russians on the eve of the New Year, Klitschko said.
11:05 As of the morning of January 6, electricity consumption in Ukraine continues to grow due to a gradual decrease in temperature, Ukrenergo reported. To ensure balance in the energy system, consumption limits have been brought to all regions of Ukraine, operating from 8:00 to 23:00. Exceeding the limits leads to the application of emergency restrictions. In particular, on January 5, emergency shutdowns were introduced in most regions due to exceeding the limits.
A significant cooling is expected in the near future, which will lead to a rapid increase in consumption, which the energy system is not able to cover in full. Ukrenergo calls for reasonable consumption of electricity, use of energy-intensive appliances in turn.
10:38 In the United States, since April 2022, more than 3.1 thousand Ukrainian military have already been trained, and in total 12 thousand soldiers and officers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been trained abroad, Pentagon spokesman Patrick Ryder said. According to him, the training of Ukrainians at the battalion level will also start soon, about 500 people will be trained every month.
10:17 Both in the Svatovsky and Kremensky directions, success is on the side of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, however, it is difficult to quickly move forward in the area mined by the Russians, said the head of the Luhansk OVA Serhiy Gaidai. He also said that the mobilized Russians were demoralized because of the conditions in which they found themselves. In addition, Wagner prisoners are fighting next to them, who constantly mock them, and behind them are Kadyrovites, "from whom you can expect anything." Russians vent aggression from defeats on local residents.
09:46 Today in Ukraine there is no need for mass mobilization, but everything will depend on the situation at the front, Reznikov said: “We do not have such a great need for people as in Russia. We have a need for weapons, equipment, Therefore, what we get, we replenish. Unfortunately, there are also losses. We make up for the losses of our combat brigades, we take some special specialists that we need for certain tasks, but in mass mobilization today I I don't see the need."
09:41 The United States in the next package of military assistance will for the first time transfer Sea Sparrow anti-aircraft missiles to Ukraine, Politico writes, citing sources. Ukraine will receive ground-based radar-guided missiles designed to intercept aircraft and cruise missiles.
09:37 SBU completed counterintelligence activities at the facilities of the UOC (MP) in Kherson, Kirovograd, Dnipropetrovsk and Rivne regions. Libraries with pro-Kremlin literature, campaign leaflets of political parties banned in Ukraine, and Russian symbols were found on the territory of churches.
09:28 In the Kherson region over the past day, as a result of Russian shelling, six people were killed, four were injured, said Yury Sobolevsky, deputy head of the regional council. He also said that pressure on the civilian population has increased significantly in the region. The Russians are conducting raids to detect locals who are transmitting data about the enemy to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In addition, the invaders are checking entrepreneurs for the use of the hryvnia in settlements with the population. At the same time, the occupying "authority" launched an information campaign calling on the inhabitants of the Kherson region to exchange hryvnia for rubles in their financial institutions.
09:19 In the Donetsk region, as a result of Russian shelling over the past day, one civilian was killed - in Bakhmut. Three more people were injured in the region, Pavel Kirilenko, head of the OVA, said.
09:13 The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) believes that Putin wants to damage the reputation of Ukraine and seize the initiative on the battlefield by declaring a "Christmas truce". So, Putin wanted to take a 36-hour pause for Russian troops to give them the opportunity to rest, recuperate and reorient for offensive operations in critical sectors of the front. The ISW notes that such a pause would bring a disproportionate benefit to the Russian troops and deprive Ukraine of the initiative.
Putin's rationalization of the ceasefire on religious grounds further reinforces yet another Russian information operation that will portray Ukraine as suppressing religious groups and positioning Putin as "the true defender of the Christian faith."
Russian military bloggers reacted to the ceasefire announcement with strong displeasure. The use of the ceasefire as an information operation, coupled with Putin's continued propaganda of maximalist goals in Ukraine, shows the Kremlin's lack of desire to engage in real negotiations with Ukraine.
08:53 The General Staff announced the approximate losses of the enemy as of the morning of January 6.
- personnel - about 110,250 (+530) people liquidated,
- tanks - 3064 (+23),
- armored combat vehicles - 6124 (+16),
- artillery systems - 2059 (+8),
- MLRS - 431 (+5),
- air defense systems - 215 (+0),
- aircraft - 285 (+1),
- helicopters - 272 (+1),
- UAV operational-tactical level - 1844 (+0),
- cruise missiles - 723 (+0),
- ships/boats - 16 (+0),
- automotive equipment and tankers - 4797 (+38),
- special equipment - 182 (+0).
08:16 The main efforts of the enemy are focusing on attempts to establish control over the Donetsk region, conducting offensive operations in the Bakhmut and Liman directions. He is trying to improve the tactical situation in the Kupyansky and Avdeevsky directions, but has no success, the General Staff said in the morning summary .
Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine repelled the attacks of the invaders in the areas of the settlements of Stelmakhivka, Makeyevka and Ploshchanka in the Luhansk region and Spornoe, Soledar, Krasnaya Gora, Bakhmut, Kleschievka, Kurdyumivka, Pervomayskoye, Maryinka and Pobeda in the Donetsk region.
In Kakhovka, Kherson region, the invaders are trying to ban the circulation of the Ukrainian hryvnia, conducting raids on retail outlets and threatening to seize not only cash, but also goods, if Ukrainian money is found.
On January 1 in Donetsk, employees of the so-called military commissariats began collecting information about citizens born in 2006 for military registration. In Starobelsk, Luhansk region, the enemy tightened the administrative and counterintelligence regimes. The occupiers check the mobile phones of local residents, paying special attention to those who have subscribers of Ukrainian telecom operators on their lists.
06:25 During the year of the war, Ukraine has risen in the ranking of the most powerful armies in the world from 22nd to 15th place, according to the international company Global Firepower, which annually ranks the best armies in the world. Russia retained the second place in the ranking.
04:17 Prigozhin wants to take control of the extraction of salt and gypsum from the mines located in the vicinity of Bakhmut, Reuters writes, citing an official representative of the White House. In particular, the Biden administration has information that the "obsession" with the capture of Bakhmut is due to financial considerations. The United States has previously accused Russian mercenaries of exploiting natural resources in the Central African Republic, Mali, Sudan and other countries to finance the war in Ukraine. Moscow dismissed these accusations as "anti-Russian hysteria."
According to the United States, more than 4,100 of the Wagner detachment, numbering almost 50,000 mercenaries, were killed and more than 10,000 were wounded. Including near Bakhmut from late November to early December, more than 1,000 mercenaries were killed.
01:28 The UN believes that no temporary truce in Ukraine "will replace a just peace in accordance with the UN Charter and international law," said the spokesman for the UN Secretary General Stephane Dujarric. At the same time, according to him, UN Secretary General António Guterres welcomes any truce in Ukraine: "The possibility of the prospect of this holy period with the cessation of all hostilities is always welcomed by the Secretary General."
00:55 The war in Ukraine is at a critical point, Biden said: "Now the war in Ukraine is at a critical point. We must do everything possible to help Ukrainians resist Russian aggression." According to him, Russia is not trying to slow down, the actions it is taking are just as barbaric as they were a year ago.
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