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| Iran |
| Open Letter to an Iranian Blogger |
| 2003-02-07 |
| http://www.capitalismcenter.org/Initium/02-07-03.htm From the Center for the Advancement of Capitalism. I think that what Bush wants to do is scare enough of the Iranian government that they stand up to the conservatives, join the revolution, and the revolution wins. How will the US scare people in the Iranian government? The Iranian government only has so many soldiers that they can rely on. When the US takes over Iraq, the Iranian government will want to put a lot more soldiers near Iraq "just in case." Those soldiers cannot put down demonstrators in Teheran or Qom. Will there be enough soldiers and other security forces to put down the demonstrations? Maybe, maybe not. Also, when the US takes over Iraq, we will find all kinds of information in Saddam Hussein's government buildings. The world will also find out all kinds of bad things that we knew about the Iraqis but couldn't say, because saying would tell how we found out. The world may also see awful things from the Iraqi government that most Iraqis don't even know about yet. Are there things about the Iranian government that people in the government don’t know? Maybe, maybe not. People in the Iranian government will also see the awful things that the Americans let the Iraqi people to the people in the Iraqi government. Could the same thing happen in Iran? Maybe, maybe not. And the world will see the Iraqi people dancing in the streets when their government is gone and the Americans occupy their country, just like in Kabul. The Iranian government will also see that no one—not Russia, not France, not the UN, not the Arab League, not God Himself could save Saddam Hussein from the Americans. They will see that, if the Americans decide to invade, no one and nothing will save them. Will the Americans really invade? Maybe, maybe not. (An American invasion of Iran is unlikely, but people in the Iranian government still have to worry about it.) The more maybes are added to the list, the more scared people in the Iranian government will be. The more scared they are, the more likely that they will join the revolution, or stand aside and not fight. The aim is that the soldiers and their leaders will decide not to try to stop the revolution, and not to be the ones on trial for shooting the demonstrators. The best thing for people in the government is to be Yeltsin, to join and lead the revolution. The next best thing is to be Gorbachev, who gave up power but is safe and is respected abroad. The worst thing is to be Ceausescu, and to try to hold power and be defeated and killed. |
| Posted by:John Bragg |