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Iraq
US cannot take Baghdad until next week: Egyptian former army chief
2003-03-26
A former chief of the Egyptian Army, Sa'ad Eldin Shazli, predicted on Wednesday that the US-led coalition would not be able to reach Baghdad at least until next week. Speaking to the Qatari-based TV channel Al-Jazeera, he said that US and British forces could reach the outskirts of Baghdad in the next two days but that it is too soon for them to be able to launch a military attack on the Iraqi capital.
If we intend to... We could just sit there, shut off the lights and water and wait...
Posted by:Fred Pruitt

#9  "...expect the Hitler effect. Only when he was dead Germany capitulated"
I think he killed himself because the end was near, not the other way around. But ok...
"You will leave the world in a far bigger chaos than it was before"
Not at all. All the hatred will be directed at Americans, which it already was anyway. And they will survive just fine. France & Germany, Russia & China, and the rest of the weasels will be quite safe. And can't imagine things getting worse than they already are in the rest of the world.
So go back under the covers until America tells you it's safe to come out again.
Posted by: RW   2003-03-27 00:21:55  

#8  What the U.S. doesn't understand: They CAN'T take Baghdad at all unless they are willing to flatten it or to starve it's inhabitants to death. A guerrilla war in Baghdad is not winnable, it will just lead to destruction. Tanks will be useless in the rubble.

Baghdad will be America's Stalingrad.

Unless... yes unless Saddam gets killed and the Iraqis are sure he is dead. If not, expect the Hitler effect. Only when he was dead Germany capitulated although in 1945 he probably had less followers than Saddam has in Iraq today.

I know this will earn me nothing more than a laughter from you all. But you might remember this post in about 3 months when the "Bring our boys home" call becomes deafening.

Decapitation was the great chance. The CIA got that right. America lost this war in the first hours. And I'm not happy about it. You will leave the world in a far bigger chaos than it was before. Congratulations!
Posted by: Anonymous   2003-03-26 23:47:02  

#7  That's too hopeful Yank. I sure do hope Franks has something original up his sleeve to avoid house to house combat. There's not enough troops for that.
Posted by: RW   2003-03-26 19:38:01  

#6  I think Peter is way off, I think few support Saddam, but many fear him. With Iraqi columns coming out to fight the Iraqi's uprising in Basra may succeed and spread. The fear will go away. We may see the end of the Saddam regime by the end of the weekend.
Posted by: Yank   2003-03-26 16:57:55  

#5  I'm with Fred. Depending on whether they use chemical weapons, I think they'll get up there, surround the city, bomb whatever they have to bomb, and wait while things get cleaned up in the south and the north. If we're lucky, and they're stupid (which it looks like they are from what I read today), they'll come out to fight in the open rather then us going in to dig them out.
Posted by: tu3031   2003-03-26 15:09:11  

#4  Yes, Dar, and it's more like 5 % who don't support Saddam. There is a reason Saddam is in charge for 30+ years : he's just the kind of leader the Iraqis seem to prefer.
Posted by: Peter   2003-03-26 12:45:49  

#3  Whoever said it'd be over in one week (other than the media)? Iraq is a country of 20+ MILLION. If you figure at least 5% are willing to support Saddam to the end, that's 1 million combatants to deal with. Hopefully an equal or greater number will be willing to support us, while the balance may be too busy with their own lives and problems or too apathetic to care.
Posted by: Dar Steckelberg   2003-03-26 11:54:05  

#2  We had a shot at a one-week war, but now we might as well admit that we have at least a one-month war on our hands and take the time to get properly organized for investing and if need be assaulting Baghdad.
Posted by: Hiryu   2003-03-26 11:42:36  

#1  Sounds reasonable.
Posted by: Ptah   2003-03-26 11:10:46  

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