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Arabia
Saudi Paradox
2003-12-27
Summary: Saudi Arabia is in the throes of a crisis, but its elite is bitterly divided on how to escape it. Crown Prince Abdullah leads a camp of liberal reformers seeking rapprochement with the West, while Prince Nayef, the interior minister, sides with an anti-American Wahhabi religious establishment that has much in common with al Qaeda. Abdullah cuts a higher profile abroad -- but at home Nayef casts a longer and darker shadow.
Seven Pages of good analysis, so grab a coffee, before you read.
Posted by:tipper

#4  SA pumpts around 8 million barells per day. You will find some detailed breakdowns on this page - http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/international/petroleu.html#IntlTrade
Posted by: phil_b   2003-12-28 1:01:52 AM  

#3  Anybody know the stats on how much Saudi oil gets pumped per day and where does it go? In million bbl/day
Posted by: Alaska Paul   2003-12-27 9:49:31 PM  

#2  RTWT (did go a whole cup.) Wahhabists sort people into two groups (themselves and infidels) and include Shi'ites with us infidels. A canape, with clarification:

[cleric and anti-Shi`ite firebrand, Nasir] al-Umar has also insisted that the government must find "a Final quick solution" to the Shi`ites' demographic domination of the eastern province where .com's 40km strip is, a proposal that can only be described as an incitement to genocide ethnic cleansing.
Posted by: Glenn (not Reynolds)   2003-12-27 7:49:29 PM  

#1  I've had a feeling for while that SA is ripe for collapse into some kind of civil war, that may have already started. Yesterday's report of 4,000 terrorists arrested makes me think something big may be going on.

If/when it does the West can not standby and watch cos without that Saudi oil, our economies will grind to a halt. Oil will hit $100/barrel and keep climbing. Europe (excluding the UK which is self sufficient in oil) and China would be badly hit. Russia would be a big winner of course. The USA would fare somewhat better as it imports relatively little SA oil, but $100+ oil would not be fun.

It will be interesting to watch Paris leading the calls for military intervention to keep the oil flowing and even more interesting to see how the USA/UK reacts.
Posted by: phil_b   2003-12-27 6:27:27 PM  

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