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Israel-Palestine
Global Views: Envisaging the post-Arafat era
2004-03-09
The Israel Defense Forces recently conducted a simulation "war game" about what would happen the day after Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat passes away.
What's the start date on the exercise?
The exercise examined several possible scenarios and how Arafat's death - by natural causes - would influence the domestic situation in the Palestinian Authority and its relations with Israel.... Security sources said that the exercise was not the result of any new information about Arafat's health....
Cheez, even the IDF is behind Rantburg. We've been war-gaming this scenario for months!
The army regards "the day after" as a "new chapter" in Palestinian Authority - and Palestinian - history. The assumption is that everything that will take place - the funeral, mass demonstrations, power struggles for the leadership - will lead to a change in the Palestinians' strategic relationship with Israel. The exercise included issues like where the funeral would be held, the possibility of violent demonstrations, loss of control by the Palestinian Authority, and attempts by Hamas to forcibly grab power in Gaza.
Finish the security fence!
Posted by:Steve White

#14  I'm telling ya, get those Monster seats up on top of the Wall. First come, first served.
It'll be like throwing red ants and black ants in the same ant farm.
Posted by: tu3031   2004-3-9 11:03:31 PM  

#13  I'm on a salt-rich diet AP.
Posted by: Shipman   2004-3-9 3:50:59 PM  

#12  As part of the wargaming:

Popcorn will be done in 5...4...3...2...
Posted by: Alaska Paul   2004-3-9 3:25:10 PM  

#11  Only one way to check the validity of the simulation. Off him as soon as it's over.
Posted by: Mr. Davis   2004-3-9 11:06:12 AM  

#10  I wonder if Arafish will make it through the procession in one piece.
Posted by: Shipman   2004-3-9 10:53:04 AM  

#9  I would suggest it's not "the day after" - it'll be more like the movie "28 days later"
Posted by: Frank G   2004-3-9 10:39:16 AM  

#8  "Arafat and Castro...they're both like the Pope...they're just going to be around forever, lingering on far past their usefulness."

I think we can add Ted Kennedy to that list as well.
Posted by: Lil Dhimmi   2004-3-9 10:28:51 AM  

#7  "Bush lied, Arafat died" CNN
Posted by: Steve   2004-3-9 10:02:35 AM  

#6  here's what some big media will say,

"Arafat dies: blacks and women hurt most" - NYTimes

"Arafat's death shows weakness of Bush polich" Washpost

"Arafat's death to be avenged by jihad" _ Al Jaz
Posted by: mhw   2004-3-9 9:18:28 AM  

#5  Arafat and Castro...they're both like the Pope...they're just going to be around forever, lingering on far past their usefulness.
Posted by: gromky   2004-3-9 3:28:36 AM  

#4  Why not a hypothical scenario of the day. Fred could ask various people to post a hypothetical event, e.g. 'Arafat dies, and then the person would elaborate on what they think will happen.

It'll be full-blown civil war before Arafat reaches room temperature, if you can call the PA civil. Instigators: Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah everywhere else.
Posted by: Pappy   2004-3-9 2:26:27 AM  

#3  After arafat dies, his wife gets fatter and fatter on all the American tax dollars our government's been stealing from us and giving to the paleshitians for 50 years.
Posted by: Danny   2004-3-9 2:01:10 AM  

#2  Great idea! - something like the 'terrorism futures' that the current administration was mooting a while back - but bottled it. I was very disappointed about that, we need new modes of thinking if we're to win this war with minimum casualties (we will win - it's just whether or not there's anything left of the Islamic world after...).
Posted by: Tony (UK)   2004-3-9 1:56:22 AM  

#1  Here's an idea! Why not a hypothical scenario of the day. Fred could ask various people to post a hypothetical event, e.g. 'Arafat dies, and then the person would elaborate on what they think will happen. Then everyone else posts their views.

I realize this is not news but could have a high entertainment factor.
Posted by: Phil B   2004-3-9 1:17:28 AM  

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