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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Syria Sees Danger in Any Iraq Ethnic Federation
2004-05-02
EFL Hat tip to LGF
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad said in remarks aired on Saturday the creation of a federation based on ethnic divisions in neighboring Iraq would be dangerous, in an apparent reference to a Kurdish autonomy.
WHoopie! If he’s starting to whine about it, it must me that we are starting to seriously consider it.
Or he's worried that Iraqi Kurds are going to help their Syrian cousins.
Iraq’s neighbors have frequently voiced alarm that the overthrow of Saddam Hussein could split Iraq in three -- the Kurdish north, the Sunni Muslim center and Shi’ite south.
That’s because it makes sense.
Assad also questioned U.S. accusations that Islamist militant group al Qaeda and members of the former regime in Iraq were behind anti-U.S. violence in Iraq. "Is it reasonable that those hundreds of thousands (resisting occupation)...are all Qaeda? Or sympathizers with the regime of Saddam? If so that means it (the regime) was popular."
Ah yes, Saddam, AKA Sadaam, The Beloved Rapist, Torturer and Genocidal Murderer of Iraq
Posted by:B

#4  Syria Sees Danger in Any Iraq Ethnic Federation

Aaaaahhhhh! Run for your lives!!! Freedom is breaking out!
Posted by: Zenster   2004-05-02 4:24:50 PM  

#3  
Syria Sees Danger in Any Iraq Ethnic Federation
Good! He's getting the message.
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2004-05-02 3:02:52 PM  

#2  Agree, Kurdistan will stand on its own regardless of what happens to the rest of Iraq. I can't imagine us pulling out of there anytime soon. Not sure they can fend off all their enemies without our longterm presence. One problem is K-stan is landlocked. We just need a way to keep open a land supply route between them and Kuwait.
Posted by: virginian   2004-05-02 1:23:43 PM  

#1  The assumption has been that if Iraq is partitioned, it would be three partitions. But what if it were only two?

Remember the phrase "the reality on the ground", when talking about the Israeli/Palestinian mess?
Well, the reality of Iraq is that the Sunni and the Shia, contentious as they are, either fit together as "Iraq", or the Shia become a de facto, if not de jure, part of Iran. So they either hang together in a secular state, or they hang separately, as a starving poor Sunni enclave and a theocratic Shia dictatorship.
The real separation is between the two of them and the northern Kurds. "Kurdistan", a mythical place, is becoming a much more real possibility, and one that transcends the borders of Iraq.
The Kurdish state is a dream for the Kurds and a nightmare for the Syrians, Turks, and Iranians. It is also oil-rich, so it would not be an impotent backwater in the middle east.

And, while the Sunni and Shia have been futzing about, the Kurds have been preparing their state to be a de facto Kurdistan, whether or not it is part of Iraq. This would mean that either the Kurds living in Syria, Turkey and Iran leave those nations and emigrate to Kurdistan, peacefully, or that they violently try to tear off their part of each of those nations to add to Kurdistan (or a combination of these two things.)

The one critical factor will be if Kurdistan can build itself an army, and quickly. Not one just for self-defense from the rest of Iraq, but one capable of fending off all sorts of attacks from its three neighbors. These uprisings among the Sunni and the Shia should be fair warning to the Kurds: if you want to form a union with contentious people, the advantages had sure as hell better outweigh the hazards.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2004-05-02 11:13:56 AM  

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