| Submit your comments on this article |
| Iraq-Jordan |
| The Democracy Option |
| 2004-05-17 |
Monday, May 17, 2004; Page A20 THE TROUBLES in Iraq are prompting a swelling chorus of manifestos from critics of the Bush administration, both liberal and conservative, who would have it abandon its goal of establishing a democratic regime in place of the former dictatorship of Saddam Hussein. The critics style themselves as hard-nosed realists; they say it’s time to dispense with the administration’s utopian illusion that Iraq could be made a model for political freedom in the Middle East. It’s time, they say, for a more pragmatic exit strategy. Their critique of the administration’s shallow thinking and incompetent planning is incisive, and they are right that the United States needs to adjust its policy to reflect its depleted legitimacy in Iraq. But there’s a problem: The ways out of Iraq offered by the "realists" are as illusory in their fashion as were the Pentagon’s plans for a quick and easy transition. Some want the United States to resign itself to Iraq’s becoming a military-run soft autocracy, like Egypt; they point to the emergence of a military force in Fallujah commanded by former Baathist generals as the beginning of that trend. Yet Iraq could not be consolidated under such a regime without massive bloodshed; that Saddam Hussein remained in power by filling mass graves was not an accident. Some, especially those in Washington who have long championed the cause of the Kurds, favor Iraq’s partition into three loosely confederated mini-states. This would please the Kurds but almost certainly lead to a Yugoslav-like series of wars that would prompt the intervention of Turkey, Iran and other neighbors. The Shiite and Sunni Arab populations in Iraq do not live in easily partitioned districts; Baghdad, for example, is home to millions of both. Liberal opinion is drifting toward support for unilateral withdrawal or perhaps the fixing of a firm departure date for U.S. troops. But withdrawal in defeat would be catastrophic for U.S. interests around the world and a historic victory for Islamic extremism. The announcement of a pullout deadline would be almost as bad. If Iraqis become convinced that the United States is prepared to leave without achieving its political objectives, those objectives will be immediately discredited, leaving civil war as the only means for resolving how the country will be governed. The administration was wrong to believe that an Iraqi democracy could be quickly established or that the resulting regime would necessarily become a showcase of liberal values. Yet now that Iraq’s previous dictatorship has been destroyed and the country’s varied communities have been freed from the apparatus of terror, the supposed utopian solution -- elections -- offers the most pragmatic way of establishing a viable government. Elections, as opposed to war or outside appointment, are still the mechanism favored by the country’s most powerful political forces for determining Iraq’s future. They offer the best chance of defeating the extremists. Elections, in short, are the best U.S. endgame in Iraq -- provided the administration adopts a realists’ view of them. It is sensible for the United States to give the United Nations as large a role as it will accept in organizing and conducting those elections; it is foolish to cling to the idea that U.S. political favorites, such as some of the exiles on the appointed Governing Council, can survive a popular vote. Until the United Nations shows even a minute degree of scrupules or simple competence, they have no place in Iraq. The UN’s "Oil for Food" program is solid proof of their ineligibility for such a monumental and ethically challenging task. It is unrealistic to believe that U.S. appointees and advisers can be positioned to control the future government or that unilateral U.S. control over security matters can be maintained past the first ballot; Iraqi forces must be prepared to control security. The Bush administration also must accept, sooner rather than later, that an elected Iraqi government is likely to embrace economic or social policies not favored by the United States and may not be particularly friendly to Washington or to Israel. At best an elected Iraqi government will be a fragile and awkward entity that exercises only loose control over the country and requires long-term support by foreign troops and other outsiders. It will look more like Lebanon than Switzerland. Getting there will require an enormous second effort by the United States, which will have to sacrifice more while somehow recruiting more support from the rest of the world. Failure is a distinct possibility. So why should democracy be tried? We believe that it is a vital goal. But it is, at this point, also the most realistic way forward. The prospect of resurgent theocracy in Iraq must be fought at all costs. If the price is continued American military occupation, so be it. The notion of Iraq potentially falling under the spell of Iran’s lunatic mullahs is unconscionable. |
| Posted by:Zenster |
| #7 google isn't returning anything *shrugs* the middle east is swarming with extra boom makers, a cache of yet more weapons really isn't big news anyway |
| Posted by: Dcreeper 2004-05-17 12:39:05 PM |
| #6 DLT - so whats it like living in your parent's basement? |
| Posted by: Yosemite Sam 2004-05-17 10:58:59 AM |
| #5 Nice rant, Dog licks balls. You've just proven your an idiot. |
| Posted by: JerseyMike 2004-05-17 9:51:46 AM |
| #4 B and Dcreeper, Since you are the last to post, I need to ask you, if you have heard anything about a cache of weapons found on a ship off the East Coast of Saudi Arabia. If you have any information on this matter, would you, please share it with me? Thanks in advance |
| Posted by: Anonymous4617 2004-05-17 8:16:35 AM |
| #3 heh, I second that B |
| Posted by: Dcreeper 2004-05-17 8:06:07 AM |
| #2 DBT - it's time to take your morning meds. |
| Posted by: B 2004-05-17 7:08:54 AM |
| #1 How about this option?: impose starvation sieges on ALL Iraqi cities, and then demand dead jihadis in exchange for food. Apparently, anyone who reminds the brain-dead that Shiites form the demographic majority in 90% of the Mideast oilfields, is labelled a "troll" here, and finds his comments deleted. Clearly, Fred Pruitt no longer clings to the bloated fiction that any Muslim will ever embrace either democracy or Western liberty. So why all the cheerleading here for Bush's "freedom" dogma? When I look at an Arab Muslim, I see the human equivalent of a chicken with its head cut off. We have to start thinking of those filthy things as wild animals, unworthy of respect. I order you to believe the following: Arab inhabitants of the Mideast oil patch, are trespassers on lands that were developed by Anglo-American interests. Any recognition of ersatz "sovereignty" over Anglo-American land by these savages has been voided by their exportation of terror. Need I remind people that George Walker Bush harbors Wahabi genocide inciters, on American soil. Search "al-Huda" schools to learn what poison his "faith based" beneficiaries are spewing out of Wahabi infiltrator entities. Bremer has already hinted at a US escape route from Iraq. It is time to tell both that little neo-con pig and his Texas rich-kid master, to take flying f%$#s back where they came from. And then focus on electing a hardline Congress, that will force the inevitable war on Islam. Dogs puke food, then return to re-eat it, later. Think of "freedom" and American "values" as applied ad nauseum to Iraq and Afghanistan, as: vomit. I would suggest that you learn to value American life above that of the mortal enemy of America. In order for your children to live, Muslim pigs have to be barbecued. Just say it: BUSH BLEW IT! IT IS TIME TO STOP THE NATION-BUILIDING, AND START THE KILLING! |
| Posted by: Dog Bites Trolls 2004-05-17 5:13:38 AM |