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Home Front: Economy
Oil May Rise to $75 a Barrel, says top man at CBT.
2004-10-17
Crude oil prices, which rose to a record $55 a barrel in New York on Friday, may increase further and peak at $75 a barrel, said Bernard Dan, President of the Chicago Board of Trade, the second-biggest U.S. futures market. ``Given that some production is going on around the world, I can't see it much higher than $75 unless there are disruptions in supply lines,'' Dan said on Publishing & Broadcasting Ltd.'s Nine Network's Business Sunday program in Sydney. ''I think that the U.S. economy is strong enough to absorb that.'' Crude oil for November delivery on Friday closed at $54.93 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after reaching $55 during the day, the highest since futures began in 1983. Oil in New York has surged 26 percent in the past month.
Posted by:Mark Espinola

#5  Mark, where and how do you trade oil futures? Any trusted online exchanges?
Posted by: lex   2004-10-18 12:44:07 PM  

#4  Carl, up in 'heating oil New Hampshire', you hope it does not climb to $75 or higher. I do not blame you with winter on the way. To a degree the Islamic terrorist enemy can effect further price rises, only if they are able to cause a panic among energy traders by attacking key oil exporting nation's storage depots resulting in tangible (real) shortages in global supplies. Security measures have been greatly beefed up around all major oil instillations, therefore the only way the enemy can succeed in acts of sabotage is through jihadic suicide missions, which these crack pots have proven they are more then willing to carry out.

Mike, if prices begin approaching the $70's the President can authorize that the Strategic Petroleum Reserve be opened to assist in demand. That action should lower prices, but it would be contingent on the driving force being the leap in energy prices at the world-wide market level.

Armed Force, to be safe, since there will an inevitably reversal to these record highs, placing a hedge on the downside would be wise at this stage. The question is how much down on the strike & which month(s) coupled of course with how many 'put' contracts? Like the man said, 'what goes up must come down.' How much and when remains to be seen.

Posted by: Mark Espinola   2004-10-17 9:41:44 PM  

#3  The navy sez it's time to short oil.
Posted by: The Only Armed Force That Matters   2004-10-17 8:20:25 PM  

#2  Okay, now that an "expert" has put a stake in the ground, we now know that it will *not* go as high as $75....
Posted by: Carl in N.H.   2004-10-17 6:55:49 PM  

#1  ..Which means regular here in SC at roughly $2.60/gal, easily $3.25 in many other places, and possibly close to $4.00 in quite a few places.
Frankly, I have a feeling Something - though God alone knows what - will have to be done before it gets that bad. That will almost certainly bring on a recession here, and a wipeout-level DEpression in many other parts of the world.

Mike
Posted by: Mike Kozlowski   2004-10-17 5:27:20 PM  

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