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Home Front: Politix
Cheney Set to Campaign in Hawaii
2004-10-29
Vice President Dick Cheney will campaign in Hawaii on Sunday, making a rare stop on historically Democratic turf where the presidential race is unexpectedly close, a spokeswoman announced Thursday. ``We are competitive in the state; this is a very close race,'' Anne Womack said. Womack said President Bush's leadership ``has really resonated in a state that has a strong economy, with a tourism industry that is very strong and they recognize the danger of terrorism.'' Cheney will fly to Hawaii for a rally Sunday night. Hawaii, which has four electoral votes, backed Democrat Al Gore by nearly 20 percentage points in 2000 and only votes GOP in re-election landslides - for Ronald Reagan in 1984 and Richard Nixon in 1972. But polls show Bush within striking distance, which has forced the Democratic National Committee and Sen. John Kerry to spend money to advertise there. Kerry also was sending his daughter, Alexandra, to the island paradise for a get-out-the-vote rally on Saturday.
Posted by:Steve White

#12  I sure hope they know what they are doing. This reminds Me too much of the stupid trip to California in 2000 when Florida and the upper Midwest were tied. Part of Me wants to believe that they have the necessary states locked down and are sitting on 290+ EVs, but I keep on wanting to quote Hardy-har-har:
"Oh dear. Oh my. I just know something's going to go wrong."
Posted by: jackal   2004-10-29 9:46:50 PM  

#11  43366334:

There's an old saying: "watch the hands, not the mouth."

Where have Kerry and Edwards been campaigning? Spending their money? They just bailed on Colorado; a few weeks back, they bailed on Missouri and Arkansas. Over the next day or two, KE are campaigning in Wisconsin (blue state trending red), Michigan (ditto), NC (very red, but Edwards' home state and the site of a close senate race for his successor), Ohio (red, but considered a tossup) and Florida (the quintessential battleground).

BC are campaigning in New Hampshire (like Ohio, a "red tossup"), Ohio (which is as "like Ohio" as you can be), Michigan (blue trending red), Minnesota (ditto), Wisconsin (ditto), Pennsylvania (ditto), Iowa (ditto), Nevada (red).

Who looks to be playing offense? Defense?
Posted by: Mike   2004-10-29 11:39:33 AM  

#10  Election day story in Los Angeles Times, 2003: Governor's race a dead heat, LA Times poll shows.

Election results, 2003: Schwarzenegger wins by 17 points.

Folks, the polls are BS. They don't capture the voting preferences of millions of crucial swing voters who happen to be busy professionals and businesspeople who are reachable only through their cell phones. Many, perhaps most, of these voters are registered Democrats, but I guarantee you that many many more of these Dems will split their tickets this year than their Republican counterparts will. (This is esp true of the jewish liberals and lib-to-moderates who supported Lieberman). And these people turn out in much higher percentages than the population overeall. This is how Arnold received some 60% of the Dem vote in the most liberal state in the Union.

These Closet Bush supporters represent at least 20% of the jewish vote nationally (ie about 1% of the popular vote) and another 10-15% of the non-jewish registered Democratic vote (ie about 3% of the popular vote). That's a 4%+ popular vote shift to Bush from usually-reliable Dem votes.

Posted by: lex   2004-10-29 11:08:55 AM  

#9  This is an ‘in your face’ move for the Bushies. They are going on the offensive in a Democrat stronghold! I have to agree with Lex that this has the makings of a blowout.
Posted by: Cyber Sarge   2004-10-29 10:51:42 AM  

#8  Of course the Dems are on shaky ground. There are millions of educated, relatively affluent Dems who will vote for Bush. They are not reflected in the polls because they typically screen calls to their home, and their numbers will become apparent only after the election results are in because they are unwilling to let their liberal colleagues and neighbors and friends know their true preference. These types voted for Schwarzenegger in California, even though they won't admit it publicly, and many will vote for Bush on Tuesday.

Bush will win by at least 5% in the popular vote and take over 300 electoral votes. It won't be close.
Posted by: lex   2004-10-29 10:09:15 AM  

#7  ...And if Hawaii is in play... the Dems are on the shakiest ground since the last MassLib that ran.
Posted by: eLarson   2004-10-29 9:39:54 AM  

#6  Back on topic, if they're sending Cheney, the campaign must really think Hawaii is in play.

:-D
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2004-10-29 9:23:26 AM  

#5  FYI, the "lit a match and thier clothes burned" part of the story is crap. HMX is extremely stable in it stored, chrystalline form. Those reporters didnt know jack. So if their clothing burned (and BDUs are treated against that sort of thing) it wasnt HMX in there.

Secondly, thats merely anectdotal - no proof. The picutres show drums with labels that can be bough online. They are not indicative of the contents.

Third there is evidence that large convoys of trucks left that facility in the weeks leading up to the war.

Fourth, it appears the quantities in the article were wrong - that the amoung was no more than 100 tonnes, and possibly as little as 3 tons.

Fifth - if they have this stuff, then why has it NOT been used inthe last 18 months? ZERO of this type of explosive has been uedd i the car bombs and IED in Iraq.

Sorry to pimp slap you, but the only thing smoking here is you.
Posted by: OldSpook   2004-10-29 2:40:59 AM  

#4  433 - From your post, you know all about drugs.
Posted by: OldSpook   2004-10-29 2:34:16 AM  

#3  For 4 EC votes. Desperation.

Dems got the smoking gun on the explosive-cache negligence.
http://kstp.com/article/stories/S3740.html?cat=1

Nixon went from 61% support in 1972 to 30% in 1974. Kerry will pick up 4% by Nov. 2. Arrogance is a drug, Mr Bush.
Posted by: 43366334   2004-10-29 1:48:11 AM  

#2  Slightly OT, don't Kerry's kids see through his lies and self-aggrandizing fabrications?
Posted by: Kalle (kafir forever)   2004-10-29 1:40:02 AM  

#1  Kerry also was sending his daughter, Alexandra, to the island paradise for a get-out-the-vote rally on Saturday.

"Oh, make sure you wear that dress you had on at Cannes. I mean, it couldn't hurt..."
Posted by: Pappy   2004-10-29 12:57:42 AM  

00:00