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Iraq-Jordan
Allawi Warns Iraqis of Civil War
2004-12-21
Iraq's Interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi warned yesterday that insurgents were trying to foment a sectarian war in the country, as thousands of mourners attended funerals in the Shiite cities of Najaf and Kerbala a day after car bomb attacks killed 67 people. Allawi said the mainly Sunni insurgents, blamed for the deadly strikes Sunday against Iraq's majority Shiites, want to "create ethnic and religious tensions, problems and conflicts ... to destroy the unity of this country. These attacks are designed to stop the political process from taking place in Iraq." He added that he expected more such strikes as key Jan. 30 parliamentary elections get closer.

Illustrating continuing tensions in the region, a bomb exploded at a police checkpoint in Kerbala yesterday, causing damage to surrounding buildings but inflicting no casualties. Police said they cordoned off the area and arrested the attacker. Shiites, who make up around 60 percent of Iraq's population, have been strong supporters of the upcoming electoral process, which they expect will reverse the longtime domination of Iraq by the Sunni minority, the country's other main religious sect. The insurgency is believed to have been fomented by Sunnis, who made up the majority of Saddam Hussein's former Baath Party leadership. Shiite officials and clerics blamed the Najaf and Kerbala bombings — the worst carnage in Iraq since July — on Sunni insurgents wanting to ignite a sectarian war. The strikes appeared designed to cause massive casualties and eventual reprisals by the Shiites against Sunnis. "We always have said that we are going to fight and defeat terrorism," Allawi said. "We are going to win definitely and the political process would continue in Iraq."
Posted by:Fred

#3  interesting points Dot com, and i hope you are right.
Posted by: Liberalhawk   2004-12-21 11:01:28 AM  

#2  If the ultimate goal of the Sunnis is to cause a civil war, aren't they on the losing side? The Sunni Iraqis are a minority in their own country and their big brother Sunni back-up country is Syria, barf. The Shia are not only the majority in Iraq, but their big brother back-up country is Iran. Who would win in this theoretical match up of manpower, munitions, and zealous fighting spirit to settle old scores? I put my bets on the Shia if the Sunnis continue provoking them. The Sunnis are alive this very minute due to the coalition military presence. Otherwise, the existence of Baathist Sunnis ever occupying Iraq would be just an urban legend at this point in time.
Posted by: joeblow   2004-12-21 10:59:26 AM  

#1  The frantic pace is burning up a lot of resources and cannon fodder, such as the caches recently discovered and the 50 arrests yesterday (I hope they were "real" and not a show-case round-up - man am I cynical, now), and the desperation is clear. If the Shi'tes are smart enough to focus on the problem: those who opposes the coming confederation and democracy -- and not on what flavor they are, their tribe, etc, then there's a good chance they'll pull this off. Every democratic birth has been violent and painful, mainly for those who sought it, at first, but later for those who opposed it. Just make it over the hump and remember who the real enemy is, guys.
Posted by: .com   2004-12-21 1:19:50 AM  

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