#2 Boy, it looks like Kay's meltdown last year wasn't a fluke. He exhibited a completely upside-down misunderstanding of the relationship between reliable WMD intelligence and pre-emption (the lack of the former drives, not limits, the latter). Now he falls off several cliffs: (1) nice slimy and unwarranted dig at US "honesty" in assessing life-and-death national security decisions -- and he knows damn well there was no dishonesty in the Iraq round, as of course all investigations have shown (2) implying he or any other government has the ability to "craft" magical non-military measures to stop a nuke program in a recalcitrant ruthless and rich dictatorship.
He of course also completely misstates the basic question (at least this passage seems to leave little chance he addresses it correctly): it's nearly impossible to accurately assess nuclear status of a state like Iran, but it's easy to see that eventually they can easily go nuclear if they try.
You had your moment in the early 90s, Dave. Go away and STFU. You look like a fool -- as does anyone preening for the brain-dead infantile Beltway second-guessing industry.
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The US official who declared the White House's hunt for illicit weapons in Iraq to be a failure driven by faulty intelligence has warned the Bush administration against repeating its mistakes in the current war of words with arch-foe Iran. "There is an eerie similarity to the events preceding the Iraq war," David Kay, who led the search for banned weapons of mass destruction in postwar Iraq, said on Monday in an opinion piece in The Washington Post.