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-Short Attention Span Theater-
Dennis the Menace now Cat 4, Winds near 150mph
2005-07-08
HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005
Updated EFL
DENNIS NOW A STRONGER CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES... 205 KM... WEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 250 MILES... 405 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

WHILE SOME WOBBLING HAS OCCURRED...AS IS TYPICAL OF A MAJOR HURRICANE...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS AFTERNOON.

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A STRONG CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM..FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 938 MB...27.70 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF CABO CRUZ. A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA WEST OF CABO CRUZ. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.
Posted by:Steve

#11  At least I won't be near this one. Of the 20 worst hurricanes to hit the US I've managed to be in 12 of them. Head this way if you need to Ship.
Lat.36-22.021
Long. 82-38.787
Elev. 1731 feet
Posted by: Deacon Blues   2005-07-08 21:15  

#10  Huge quantities of destructive hot air - I thought you were talking about Kucinich!
Posted by: DMFD   2005-07-08 17:07  

#9  HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
310 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

REPORTS FROM THE CUBAN METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE AND CIVIL DEFENSE THROUGH HAM RADIO OPERATORS INDICATE A WIND GUST TO 149 MPH OCCURRED AT CIENFUEGOS CUBA AROUND 130 PM EDT. MORE THAN 85 PERCENT OF THE POWERLINES WERE DOWN AND EXTENSIVE DAMAGE HAS OCCURRED TO THE COMMUNICATIONS INFRASTRUCTURE.


My compliments to Haliburton Weather Modification Division - Hurricane Control Branch.
Posted by: Steve   2005-07-08 15:54  

#8  Gust of 185MPH. Sorry, not sustained winds.
Still,
HOLY CRAP!
Posted by: mmurray821   2005-07-08 14:47  

#7  Cat 5? Weather service still sez 4:
At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the center of Hurricane Dennis was located near latitude 22.1 north... longitude 80.6 west or near Cienfuegos Cuba. This is also about 125 miles... 205 km...southeast of Havana Cuba and about 190 miles... 300 km...south-southeast of Key West
Florida. While some wobbling has occurred...as is typical of a major Hurricane...Dennis is expected to continue moving toward the northwest near 17 mph...28 km/hr. On this track...the center should emerge off the north-central coast of Cuba this evening.
Reconnaissance aircraft reports indicate maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 145 mph...235 km/hr...with higher gusts.Although Dennis is still a strong category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale...some additional weakening is forecast as Dennis moves over Cuba. However...Dennis is expected to remain a major hurricane as it emerges over The Straits of Florida and the southeastern Gulf of Mexico this evening.
Posted by: Steve   2005-07-08 14:39  

#6  May it cool its proverbial jets by the time it gets near our shores.

CAT 5... in July? Yipes!
Posted by: eLarson   2005-07-08 14:09  

#5  It is now a CAT 5 with 185MPH winds.

Holy Crap....
Posted by: mmurray821   2005-07-08 14:00  

#4  Looks like it might miss the highest elevations :(

CIENFUEGOSA
Posted by: Shipman   2005-07-08 12:45  

#3  D@mn, that George Bush, he'll stop at nothing, will he?
Posted by: Johnny Doogooder (HRW)   2005-07-08 11:03  

#2  Ah shit...

It spared the U.S. detention camp at Guantanamo Bay, on Cuba's extreme southeast end, holding some 520 terror suspects. A lifeguard tower was torn away by high surf and a bus shelter was destroyed, but there appeared little other damage. U.S. troops on Thursday had fixed metal shutters over the steel mesh windows of some prison cells at Camp Delta, which is just 150 yards from the ocean.

I'm sure they'll be bitching about weather torture in the next few days.
Posted by: tu3031   2005-07-08 09:38  

#1  Heard this morning that he's gonna run right over Gitmo. Make sure to tell the boys that Allah's really pissed off...
Posted by: tu3031   2005-07-08 09:12  

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