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China-Japan-Koreas
Prices too high to fill up Chinese strategic petroleum reserve
2005-09-14
China is building facilities for its strategic oil reserve but stocking it with global prices at current levels would be too risky, a top planning official says.

Zhang Guobao, deputy director of the State Development and Reform Commission, said that even if China moves ahead with plans to stock the reserve it will not be buying oil from the international market. "I can tell you clearly, we are not going to buy now," Zhang said. The government had planned to start filling the stockpile by the end of this year. "International prices are at high level, and to purchase oil for the strategic reserve now would be too risky," Zhang told a news briefing.
Hmm...someone else thinks that prices will come down soon.
On Tuesday, New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in October was trading around 63.35 dollars a barrel.

China was moving ahead with plans to create a strategic reserve as its economy expands rapidly and demand for imported oil grows, Zhang said. "We think that under the present conditions that we need to set up an oil reserve system but there are many different views among economists on how many days of oil reserves is the optimum (level)," Zhang said.

"Some people say 90 days, others say 120 days; I beleive that this must be decided in accordance with the specific needs of each country," Zhang said, adding that the stategic reserve would likely be filled from domestic sources.
As much as humanly possible, says I.
He said China produced 175 million tons of crude oil in 2004 and had net imports of 117 million tons, up 34.8 percent as it overtook Japan as world's second largest importer after the United States. However, in the first eight months of this year, oil imports were up only 3.9 percent to 83 million tons, according to government statistics. "The basic policy for China's energy industry is to rely on domestic supply. China is able to maintain production of crude oil at around 180 million tons a year over the next 20 years," Zhang said.

An undated file photo shows the construction site of the Zhenhai oil reserve in east China's Zhejiang Province.
Woohoo, right near here.
Similar to the US strategic reserve, Beijing aims to stockpile up to 100 million barrels of petroleum, equivalent to almost a month's national consumption.

Earlier state media reports said China was set to start filling a 16-tank facility in Zhenhai city in the eastern province of Zhejiang sometime this year. The official also reiterated that China had no plans to set up a special energy ministry in the near future.
More bureaucracy...hooray.
Instead, China has established a top level task force headed by Premier Wen Jiabao to handle urgent energy needs, he said.
Are they taking lessons from the U.N., or did the U.N. take lessons from them?
China, a net importer of oil for the past decade, is hurriedly looking to meet the demands of an economy which last year grew 9.5 percent. It is estimated the nation of 1.3 billion people will need 450 million tonnes of crude oil and 200 billion cubic meters of natural gas by 2020 to power its factories, cars and offices.
Well, there were not nearly as many power outages this summer as there were last summer. At least not in the residential areas, there were plenty in the factories. They even called you and let you know ahead of time.
Posted by:gromky

#5  Is there anyone from the US who can help them with Shale or reserves from some of the "Zahong" or greater China provinces that may hold crude - long term?

They need a long term reserve system. Why are they still burning it for power? Can we get the Nuclear project off the ground or not?
Posted by: closedanger   2005-09-14 22:53  

#4  I just don't see oil returning to below 40 bucks a barrel even long term. Demand for refined products is still almost higher then demand than can be supplied.
Posted by: Sock Puppet O´ Doom   2005-09-14 18:45  

#3  If China were to fill its reserve at the time the USA and Europe are releasing oil from their reserves, it would negate the effect and everyone would lose out as prices would go higher.

The reality is that the release of stockpiles made a minimal impact on the price, far less than anticipated. I still maintain oil will continue to rise until a severe recession stops demand increasing.
Posted by: phil_b   2005-09-14 18:39  

#2  They might be awaiting the special Iranian discount in exchange for their Security Council vote against Iranian nukes.

That should be kicking in in the near future.
Posted by: Captain America   2005-09-14 10:57  

#1  "International prices are at high level, and to purchase oil for the strategic reserve now would be too risky," Zhang told a news briefing.

Hmm...someone else thinks that prices will come down soon.

This should be taken seriously, if China thinks oil will be coming down in price, odds are damn good they're right.
Posted by: Redneck Jim   2005-09-14 10:52  

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