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| Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
| Iran official says US incapable of going to war |
| 2005-10-09 |
| Edited for copyright, see link AFX News Limited Iran official says US incapable of going to war 10.09.2005, 01:14 PM TEHRAN (AFX) - Washington is not in a position to go to war against Tehran and its pressure over the Islamic Republic's disputed nuclear programme is nothing more than 'intimidation', Iran's top nuclear negotiator said. 'There will not be a war ahead of us. The situation in America does not allow them to create new fronts,' Ali Larijani was quoted as saying by the student news agency ISNA.... (emphasis added) The mullahs are not entirely naive but there is almost certainly a great deal of ignorance and wishful thinking in their perception of the "situation in the US." All anti-American elements throughout the world are acutely aware of the political history of the Vietnam War and of the role of the media in turning popular opinion against the war and the Republic of (South) Vietnam. At the same time, they are only dimly aware that the US is leading the world into a new stage in the history of the institutional media culture, the decline and collapse brought on by the development of alternative media. There is an increasing awareness of the institutional media culture as a vested interest in and of itself. This has resulted in a massive increase in public skepticism and hostility toward that culture, and an ever-accelerating decline in its power and influence. The mullah elite's perceptions will therefore be based to a large extent on what they see in the US media. This will lead them to exaggerate the influence and power of the anti-war movement and of pacifist opinion. They rely on an ally that they do not know is in decline; the institutional media culture and its ideological client, the peace movement. As a result they over-estimate their chances of success and they are that much more likely to risk war. |
| Posted by:Glomolet Shaper7696 |
| #7 I am almost certain that the Iranians intend to use their nukes *first* at a US CBG. As with Pearl Harbor, their military will be focused on our military. The attack, either by nuclear naval mine, nuclear fire ship, or missile, will have to be immediately followed by an attack into southern Iraq, to "bog down" US forces there. The strategy there would be to keep strong defenses in the North of Iran, to force the US to first recapture the South of Iraq before it could advance towards Iran. Conventional missiles would be fired at US airbases in Iraq and Afghanistan, to temporarily disable them, costing the US much air remaining air support. They would be throwing conventional and some nuclear missiles every which direction for maximum chaos. They might even coordinate missile fires with North Korea to open a second front. Please note that this is possibly *their* scheme, and *not* one I would recommend for success. However, the counters to such an attack are dependent on several things. First of all, the US must have massive, layered missile defenses in the region. Our CBGs will hopefully be very alert to the biggest threats in the closed quarters, those being nuclear mines and nuclear fire ships, though terribly hard to defend against. Calculate out a probable 25-100kt warhead as the maximum size the Iranians will be able to build. While the Iranian army could probably advance strongly into southern Iraq, they already would face a formidable and motivated Iraqi army, for sheer numbers, and incredibly lethal US combat systems. Once our divisions were fully in play, they would be cut to ribbons. |
| Posted by: Anonymoose 2005-10-09 21:13 |
| #6 Carrier Battle Group. - Aircraft carrier (80+ planes), cruiser, destroyers, submarine and support ships (definition is flexible). |
| Posted by: Tony (UK) 2005-10-09 18:18 |
| #5 CBG? |
| Posted by: Edward Yee 2005-10-09 18:00 |
| #4 I agree there will not be a new war or a new front. Everyone has lost patience with the MM's. It will be so decisive they will never know what hit them End of matter. |
| Posted by: Danielle 2005-10-09 17:49 |
| #3 Iran doesn't apperent understand the tactical use of a CBG. We can destroy Iran without putting one US body on Iranian soil. Pretty soon the fecal matter will hit the spinning baldes. |
| Posted by: Sock Puppet O´ Doom 2005-10-09 16:03 |
| #2 Another country playin' the same ole' "look at the US" in an attempt to hide their own disgrace. Those mad mullahs are losing control of their own country. Look at the US don't look at Iran's drug problem. Look at the US don't look at Iran's aides problem. Seems to me is close to imploding in the near future... |
| Posted by: macofromoc 2005-10-09 15:46 |
| #1 The above is mine. Lost my cookie somewhere, but found a new one. |
| Posted by: Atomic Conspiracy 2005-10-09 15:38 |