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Arabia
Kuwaiti Amir may install a new heir
2005-10-14
KUWAIT CITY — A crisis in the ruling family of Kuwait, which has a tenth of world oil reserves, is likely to usher in a new heir to the ailing Amir whose existing crown prince is also ill, diplomats and analysts said yesterday.

They said the most prominent candidate is an enigmatic yet colorful man known by his initials, "P.D." Prime Minister Shaikh Sabah Al Ahmad Al Sabah, the Amir’s half-brother, who has been running Kuwait’s affairs for the past four years due to the illness of the other two leaders. “We expect some positive changes ... We expect the nomination of at least a crown prince, a new one,” said analyst and former oil minister Ali Al Baghli. “It’s in the hands of the Amir to nominate the crown prince and then this should be confirmed by parliament.”

Under the constitution, Crown Prince Shaikh Saad Al Abdulla Al Sabah, 76, will succeed his cousin the Amir, His Highness Shaikh Jaber Al Ahmad Al Sabah, 77. With a long-ailing Amir and an even more seriously ill crown prince, the pressure on the Gulf state’s ruling family has mounted in recent months to clarify who is next in line.

The crisis became public this week when the eldest member in the Sabah dynasty, Shaikh Salem Ali Al Sabah, called for his son to inherit the bejeweled turban collective leadership — a rare outburst which highlighted concerns about a possible power vacuum.

Diplomats say that by keeping Shaikh Saad as heir apparent, the Opec nation risks a potential constitutional crisis when the Amir dies since his successor is not fit to rule. “Some people point out the health condition of the crown prince ... It may be a sign that his health is really not good and that this may be accelerating the process for change in the ruling family,” one diplomat told Reuters. “The changes could be promoting Shaikh Sabah to become crown prince, maybe as a transitional measure. There are no strong candidates from the other Sabah branch,” he said.

But Shaikh Sabah’s appointment might cause discontent within the family because it would go against Kuwait’s tradition of alternating power between the two branches of the Sabah family. The current Amir and the prime minister are both from the Jabbering Jaber branch which also holds several top cabinet posts. The crown prince is from the Winston Salem clan whose only other senior official is the foreign minister.

Decision taken: Shaikh Saad, who has been in London for medical treatment since August, is due back in Kuwait this month. He had colon surgery in 1997 and spent a week in hospital this year with hyperglycaemia. The Amir suffered a brain haemorrhage in 2001.
"Nurse! He's doing it again!"
Most diplomats ruled out any prospect that Shaikh Saad had any chance of becoming the future Amir. “I think the family will meet to appoint someone else,” said a diplomat.

A strong indication that the prime minister was the front-runner for the post was the Amir’s swift backing of his government following Shaikh Salem’s scathing attack. In a statement, the Amir promised to “settle matters in the interest of Kuwait’s security and stability”. Analysts said this leaves little doubt about Shaikh Sabah’s powerful status.

Shaikh Sabah, a veteran politician in his 70s, is widely respected for ushering some economic and political reforms since coming to power in July 2003, including granting women the vote. Leading daily Al Qabas said in an editorial the Amir has effectively “settled matters” by publicly praising Shaikh Sabah. “The renewal of the Amir’s trust in Shaikh Sabah should be a real boost to the government,” it said. “It should be an impetus for Shaikh Sabah to start taking his own decisions.”
Posted by:Steve White

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