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China-Japan-Koreas
Outbreaks along Tumen River between Nork guards and armed N Korean groups
2006-02-16
From East Asia Intel, subscription
SEOUL — Four simultaneous firefights broke out between North Korean border guards and unidentified groups of young men in isolated locations along the Tumen River on the China-North Korea border in late January. The incidents suggest the existence of armed North Korean dissident groups in China.
Y'think?
The first incident occurred in Namyang, across from the Chinese town of Tumen, where a North Korean border guard discovered several men crossing the river from the Chinese side, according to a newspaper report here. The guard tried to arrest the men. Fighting followed and the border guard was stabbed more than 30 times and bled to death.
Ruined his day...
Choo Sung-Ha, a Kim Il-Sung University graduate and a defector-turned-reporter at Donga Daily, confirmed the Jan. 28 incidents from a number of sources inside North Korea. Choo said that North Korean border guards are never supposed to be on sentry alone, but that the soldierÂ’s partner was away at a nearby village to have a drink. Alarmed by the commotion, soldiers from other nearby guard posts ran to check and the intruders escaped leaving their bags behind. Three homemade rifles, some ammunition, a camcorder and a Chinese mobile phone were found in the bags.
So they wren't just wandering across the river, they were infiltrating.
At around the same time in the town of Hoeryong, about 40 kilometers to the south, a group of unidentified men crossed the river and fired rifles at a guardhouse and ran away. No casualties were reported, according to the paper. Two similar incidents occurred in the city of Musan and at another nearby town, according to the newspaper.
Sounds like it's just starting up — a pretty ginger attempt at guerrilla warfare...
In the past, armed conflicts along the river were caused mostly by hungry North Korean border guards seeking food in Chinese villages or to rob a shop. As recently as Jan. 17, eight armed North Korean soldiers attacked a coalmine in Tumen in a robbery attempt. One North Korean soldier was killed, three were captured and four others escaped.
Who the hell robs a coalmine, fergawdsake?
The Jan. 28 incidents were the first in which heavily armed North Korean border guards were attacked by armed intruders from the Chinese side of the border. However, East-Asia-Intel sources in the border area were unable to confirm the reports. “People may have thought the sound of fireworks by Chinese people celebrating the eve of the New Year was a gunfight,” said a Chinese-Korean man in Tumen. Some defectors in Seoul, however, said it was high time for armed resistance groups to emerge in the border area. Lim Chon-Yong, who organized the North Korean Soldiers for Freedom in Seoul last December, said there were several groups of North Korean dissidents in China serious about fighting for freedom for the North.
Tall order, but hope for the best.
“I can’t name them, but there are four or five groups in China who were beginning to arm themselves and planning to stage guerrilla warfare against the Pyongyang regime,” said Lim. He said that with his organization’s help some weapons had been smuggled into North Korea to underground elements. “Many people are fed up with the Kim Jong-Il regime. There are plenty of people in North Korea who say if they have weapons they would fight,” he said.
Posted by:Alaska Paul

#10  Old Patriot, historically, it has been unthinkable that China would countenance a non-communist united Korean peninsula. Do you honestly think that China would reverse that stance for the sake of a few lousy billion dollars worth of trade?

Yes, I'm joking, but only half way. It is difficult to believe that the communists would gladly suffer having a US ally extend its Chinese border (or proximity) any further than it already is. While there would be no problem with a united communist Korea, I think the Chinese Mandarins are a bit less than enthusiastic about a capitalist powerhouse under American protection cozying up that close.

Posted by: Zenster   2006-02-16 20:57  

#9  It sounds like China has had its fill of Kim, and are setting him up to be deposed. That would be one way to end the constant saber-rattling that China feels interferes with business. I wouldn't be surprised to learn that China would prefer to have an industrialized, peaceful neighbor on its border than the constant drain on resources that Kim is. The Chinese would probably benifit greatly from trade relations with South Korea, and even moreso from a united Korea. I wonder how many billions (if not trillions) of dollars China has sunk into Korea, with virtually no gain. They may cut Kimmie off just to cut their losses.
Posted by: Old Patriot   2006-02-16 18:00  

#8  The incidents suggest the existence of armed North Korean dissident groups in China.

Or smugglers. But I'm more with LH on this - ethnic Koreans the Chinese are sending in.
Posted by: Pappy   2006-02-16 13:27  

#7  Who the hell robs a coalmine, fergawdsake?

Erm ... people who are freezing to death? I know. Hard to understand for those of us with utilities, indoor plumbing and all the other marvels of ultramodern civilization.
Posted by: Zenster   2006-02-16 13:26  

#6  like mm implies, big question is are the PRC authorities supporting this and to what extent.

Id be skeptical BUT: If the PRC thinks the regime is going down anyway, they might want to set there own people up first, so they can control what comes after.
Posted by: liberalhawk   2006-02-16 09:36  

#5  Fighting followed and the border guard was stabbed more than 30 times and bled to death.

fyi, 30 stab wounds will cause leaks.
Posted by: RD   2006-02-16 06:40  

#4  Jan. 28 was certainly during Chinese New Year. And I can tell you that the fireworks are certainly LOUD when compared to American fireworks.
Posted by: gromky   2006-02-16 03:43  

#3  Great news! But any progress would require some tolerance from China, a tacit agreement to look the other way. I'm not sanguine about such a development. Even if China were so inclined, Kimmie might threaten to make things uncomfortable for them if they refuse to crack down.
Posted by: Monsieur Moonbat   2006-02-16 01:11  

#2  Hopefully, this will be the violent version of the fall of East Germany.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2006-02-16 00:13  

#1  You only rob a coal mine when you are looking for food. The crap must be really be bad when teh border keepers have to resort to robbery.
Posted by: Sock Puppet O´ Doom   2006-02-16 00:07  

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