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Syria-Lebanon-Iran
Top Ten Signs That the United States is About to Bomb Iran
2006-02-24
Before any major military operation, there are always tell tale signs. With all the talk about Israel or the United States bombing Iran's nuclear weapons program, it would be wise to check for the signs before taking the pundit prattle too seriously.

1. – The U.S. Navy stages a "surge exercise" and moves six carrier battle groups into the Indian Ocean.

2. – A "regularly scheduled exercise" moves Patriot Missile Batteies to Iraq, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia. These exercises happen from time to time, but if they happen when other things are happening…

3. -- Movement of B-52 and B1B bombers to the island of Diego Garcia (in the Indian Ocean).

4. -- Deployment of F117 stealth bombers and F-22 fighters to anywhere in the Persian Gulf.

5. -- Deployment of B-2 Stealth Bombers to Guam, where there are special facilities for maintaining these aircraft.

6. -- Lockdown of Whitman Air Force Base (where most B-2 bombers are stationed) in Missouri.

7. -- Increased delivery of Pizza to Pentagon

8. –Sudden loss of cell service near some air force bases (from which heavy bombers would depart). At the same time, there would be sightings of Middle Eastern looking guys around these bases, trying to get their cell phones to work, while being observed by what appears to be FBI agents.

9. Deployment of KC-135/KC-10 aerial tankers to Diego Garcia, Guam and the Persian Gulf.

10. America asks nations neighboring Iran for basing and over flight rights.

11. Pentagon orders 10 million gallons of Windex. Gotta clean up all that glass after we get done making those parking lots..

These warning signs are no secret, and intelligence officers regularly run down their check lists. As a result, nations will sometimes stage a false alert by deliberately performing many of the items on someone's check list, with no intention of following through.
Posted by:tipper

#19  "What do you do with Iran once you have beaten it?"

I have my barf bag ready again, incase "W" puts out signals to rebuild Iran, as he did in Iraq, now the muslim mosques! I will just throw up at the thought of such hypocrasy; praying all along that doesn't happen during hurricane season here in the US again.
If Iran doesn't back down before the 'button is pushed' NOT A PENNY toward reconstruction afterwards!!
Posted by: smn   2006-02-24 19:34  

#18  Iran's Persians are the majority

If they are, then only just. There hasn't been an accurate census for over 20 years and Persians could well be less than 50% of the population as they are more urbanized than other groups and hence have a lower birth rate.

CIA Factbook sez they are 51% of the population.
Posted by: phil_b   2006-02-24 18:30  

#17  I thought the Dominos Theory was discredited.
Posted by: Eric Jablow   2006-02-24 18:18  

#16  Sell it "Democracy! Whisky! Sexy!".

It seems to have worked in Iraq.
Posted by: Clolugum Phomogum8353   2006-02-24 16:46  

#15  Take down the mullahocracy, and suddenly you've got another friendly country in the Middle East.

Yeah anyways.
Posted by: Rafael   2006-02-24 15:45  

#14  IIRC, I saw a statistic somewheer to the efefct that most of the people living in Iran today were born after 1979. They're no fans of the mad mullahs; in fact, they'd love to be rid of them as much as we would. Take down the mullahocracy, and suddenly you've got another friendly country in the Middle East.
Posted by: Mike   2006-02-24 15:11  

#13  "What do you do with Iran once you have beaten it?"

While a good salt massage (ideally, each granule is laser etched with "US Embassy 1979"), certainly seems a splendid idea, an incredibly vigorous rendition of the Snoopy happy dance also comes to mind.
Posted by: Zenster   2006-02-24 13:19  

#12  Guys, the beautiful piece of real estate between Knob Knoster and Whiteman is Whiteman AFB.

http://www.whiteman.af.mil/
Posted by: Pheresh Glesh6422   2006-02-24 12:02  

#11  This second part answers the question "What do you do with Iran once you have beaten it?"

The answer to that depends on how much salt we can acquire, how quickly we can get it, and how much it will cost.
Posted by: Robert Crawford   2006-02-24 09:38  

#10  11. -Panic diplomacy by European nations trying secure oil contracts with suppliers other than Iran.
Posted by: Whating Flager4285   2006-02-24 09:32  

#9  Don't forget the bringing Iranian oil production back online part.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2006-02-24 09:12  

#8  Actually all the "movement" is probably pointed at the Euros. They really don't like folks pulling triggers so they may become more accomadating in pressuring the Iranians. My bet would be to start looking where the four recently refitted "boomers" are, since they can carry something like 150 cruise missles. Very accurate and almost no risk involved, not to mention there isn't a whole bunch the Iranians can do to stop an attack like that.
Posted by: TopMac   2006-02-24 09:12  

#7  A tactician friend pointed out to me that there are two different ways that we can attack Iran, and that we need to focus on both for a favorable outcome.

The first is an "acute" attack, like in GW 1, that lasts from 1-30 days and emphasizes anti-missile defense as much as combined air attack offense. This is the war that everybody thinks of as the war; but in truth is only the "mission accomplished" part of the war.

The second is a "chronic" attack, that lasts from 30 days to as long as a year or more. It is designed to so thoroughly reduce Iran that large sections of the country can be sliced off, and Iran permanently partitioned.

The purpose of this is so that we go one step beyond the temporary partitioning of Iraq after GW 1, with its northern and southern "no-fly" zones, and "give" large chunks of Iran to adjacent nations that can both rule them and defend them.

This second part answers the question "What do you do with Iran once you have beaten it?" And it is just as important as defeating Iran in the first place, neutralizing their nuclear ambitions and missile programs.

Unlike Iraq, ruled by minority Sunnis, but still ruling "Iraqis", be they Kurds or Shiites; Iran's Persians are the majority, and do not see their hated minority Kurds, Arabs, Baluchs or Azeri as anything other than useless subjects. Foreigners living in their country.

This means that unlike Iraq, Iran is ripe for partition, enlarging their neighbors with their kind of people, and diminishing Persia from being an inherently large, powerful and unstable state to one that is more equal in size and strength to its peers.

We also learned our lesson with Iraq. That while we thought we could force Saddam to concern himself with his own people in favor of building up his military, he was left with enough resources so that by utterly despising his own people, he still could mount a threat.

So the Partitioning of Iran would be done specifically to prevent them from regaining their threatening stance, even if they committed their entire nation to do so.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2006-02-24 09:05  

#6  If I were an officer at the Pentagon and I wanted to confound the bad guys, I'd start holding pizza parties for my department every Friday. Really big pizza parties. Maybe I'd order a few deployments to coincide.
Posted by: Mike   2006-02-24 07:56  

#5  Always good to keep an eye on the deployment of the fleet.

Right now we have a carrier (the Reagan) in the gulf along with an expeditionary strike group (special ops capable) and another carrier (the Roosevelt) in the Mediterranean on a 'port visit'.

The Enterprise and the Eisenhower are in the Atlantic ... somewhere.

A reminder about strikes, tho: The B2s struck Kosovo IIRC from Whitman AFB in Missouri, then refueled over the Atlantic and returned home. That was also the first combat use of the JDAMs it carries and the combination -- planes coming stealthily from another hemisphere, precision attacks on the Serbs without massive collateral damage, safe return to their home base -- rather changed the equation about bombing campaigns.

After Saddam invaded Kuwait and the Saudis asked us to intervene, the F-117 Night Hawks flew from Saudi bases, but again despite the massive anti-aircraft defenses around Baghdad we took out their command and control networks at night with no casualties to men or machines.

The point? First, that obvious major deployments of ships and planes may not be a requirement for a massive, but precision, attack on Iranian facilities. And second, that there may well be other capabilities in the pipeline. If we're contemplating sale of the F-117 to allies, it's not the cutting edge any more.
Posted by: lotp   2006-02-24 07:38  

#4  You hit the nail on the head tipper! I would also add that items 3,4, and 5 will also be evident by increased com-trail displays over the US sky; and although not so noticeably seen in the public, a quiet movement of Israelis and jews out of Arab lands to the US and other western nations 30 days prior. A top secret request from Israel!

Items 1, 5, and 9 will be tipped off to the Iranians by Russian spy satellites which will spawn abrupt troop and missile movements preimptively which ironically will be 'factored in' the US's response as it's detection grid 'lights up'!
Posted by: smn   2006-02-24 04:30  

#3  Top Ten Signs That the United States is About to Bomb Iran


scusa a me tipper.

revisione

#7.

When the moon hits your eye
Like a big-a pizza pie
That's amore
When the world seems to shine
Like you've had too much wine
That's amore


ringraziamenti
Posted by: RD   2006-02-24 03:32  

#2  Middle Eastern men? Hell, our own media does a great job of telegraphing the movements of our heavy bombers to the enemy.
Posted by: gromky   2006-02-24 03:23  

#1  HAHAHA!! That was great.
Posted by: 49 Pan   2006-02-24 02:39  

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