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-Short Attention Span Theater-
Northeast due for major hurricane
2006-03-20
The 2006 hurricane season will be more active than normal and could bring a devastating storm to the U.S. Northeast, private forecaster AccuWeather said on Monday. The outlook comes after the most costly hurricane season on record in 2005, with storms crippling New Orleans and other parts of the U.S. Gulf Coast and briefly knocking out a quarter of domestic fuel production.

"There are now indications that the Northeast will experience a hurricane larger and more powerful than anything that region has seen in a long time," said Ken Reeves, senior meteorologist at AccuWeather.com. "The Northeast is staring down the barrel of a gun," said Joe Bastardi, AccuWeather.com's chief hurricane forecaster.
Dammit, they've found me again. I get assigned to Keesler in 1985, Elena hits the next month. Every time I went TDY to Okinawa, a typhoon showed up. The det finally asked me to stay away. We went on vacation every year to New Orleans, now that's gone. Move to Virginia, and we're looking down a gun barrel. Just great

The current storm cycle and above-normal water temperatures in the Atlantic are reminiscent of the pattern that produced the 1938 hurricane that struck Providence, Rhode Island, killing 600 people, Bastardi said.
The 1938 hurricane flooded out the town in Massachusetts where I grew up, it knew I was coming 14 years later
"The Northeast coast is long overdue for a powerful hurricane, and with the weather patterns and hydrology we're seeing in the oceans, the likelihood of a major hurricane making landfall in the Northeast is not a question of if but when," he said.

The Texas coast from Corpus Christi to the Louisiana border is also likely to be the target of higher than normal hurricane activity over the next 10 years, according to the forecast. Hurricane Katrina struck New Orleans and the Mississippi coast last August with winds above 135 mph and a 30-foot-high storm surge, causing more than $60 billion in damage. Katrina was followed by Hurricanes Rita in Texas and Wilma in Florida. Each wreaked more than $10 billion of insured losses, making 2005 the most expensive year for hurricanes ever. Bastardi said this year's storm activity will be above normal, but could be less active than 2005.
Posted by:Steve

#9  About 6 years ago, I worked with someone who was nearly finished w/ his PhD in weather modelling from Penn State. IIRC, AccuWeather's predictions are based on that model. At the time, at least, it was considered by far the most accurate and detailed one out there.

Bastardi likes to mug, but the longterm prediction about hurricane seasons is based IIUC on things like relative ocean temps and current locations. Things that don't change from week to week, but do shift from year to year and affect the temp/humidity of the air above.

FWIW ... ;-)
Posted by: lotp   2006-03-20 20:47  

#8  The 2006 hurricane season will be more active than normal--

What are they basing this on?

My dad was watching FoxNews last year and a weather guy came on, said the pattern's going back to the 50s and 60s, up the eastern seaboard.

After he said that, my dad started remembering. Yup, there were hurricanes up the seaboard back then.

50 years from now, yada, yada, yada, Gulf of Mexico, more active.
Posted by: anonymous2u   2006-03-20 20:30  

#7  cmon, somebody has to say it, "Bastardi". Refreshing to see a weird name that isn't Islamic.
Posted by: Unique Battle   2006-03-20 16:00  

#6  I was in Boston when Hurricane Bob came through. The coast got hit pretty bad but the only thing we got in Boston was a lot of rain and a bit of gusty wind. On the elevator next day I heard someone say, "Is that all there is to a hurricane? i was really wanting to see something". I thought about dope slaping him but held back.
Posted by: Deacon Blues   2006-03-20 15:59  

#5  They crooks up there in Boston are no dummies - they can see how the NO crowd is milking us. Probably terminally jealous - they have two insane Senators who enjoy juicy committee assignments and no ethics to bellow for them... The Big Dig would become the most important thing EVER, lol.
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365   2006-03-20 15:56  

#4  I thought destroying the Big Dig would save money?
Posted by: Abdominal Snowman   2006-03-20 15:52  

#3  Probably flood the Big Dig and cost us a couple hundred billion.
Posted by: Spugum Sherens5365   2006-03-20 15:42  

#2  Joe Bastardi *used* to be the am weatherman for WMAL in DC. I never found him to be either funny or accurate, though not for lack of trying. As it is, DC has had its share of hurricanes lately. The last big one left the lights out for two months in some parts of town, but fortunately Fred saved the sandbags for the Rantburg server, "just in case".
Posted by: Seafarious   2006-03-20 15:38  

#1  Its all Bush's fault!!! Global Warming!!! AAAAAAAA!!!!! /MSM hysteria
Posted by: DarthVader   2006-03-20 14:34  

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