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Home Front Economy
Oil ends under $62 on hefty supply, OPEC talk
2006-09-20
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Crude futures closed under $62 a barrel Tuesday as a general cloud of uncertainty in the market, concerns over a potential glut in global oil supplies and easing worries about risks to production helped sent the October contract to its lowest level of the year.

Comments from the president of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries dismissing the near-term likelihood of a production cut probably contributed the largest part of the price pressure Tuesday, said Phil Flynn, a senior analyst at Alaron Trading.

Crude for October delivery fell to a low of $61.60 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange before closing at $61.66, down $2.14, or 3.4%. The intraday low surpassed Friday's low of $62.05 to reach the contract's weakest intraday level since late December 2005. The April contract, however, traded below $60 back in late March. October unleaded gasoline was the biggest decliner among the energy futures, losing 7.58 cents, or 4.8%, to end at $1.5038, after reaching a contract low of $1.48. October heating oil declined by 3.41 cents to close at $1.6916 a gallon.

OPEC President Edmund Daukoru said Tuesday that a production delay for BP Plc's Thunder Horse platform in the Gulf of Mexico to 2008 likely postpones any need to for the cartel to cut back on output, Dow Jones Newswires reported. "This [BP announcement] most certainly does remove the prospect of OPEC cutting production [near term]," Daukoru told Dow Jones.

"This is the comment that really broke the market," said Flynn. The market had previously thought that OPEC may be having some "pumper's remorse," producing at near capacity despite steep declines in oil prices in recent weeks, said Flynn.

Daukoru's statement, however, contrasted with comments from OPEC's acting Secretary General Mohammed Barkindo, who told Dow Jones the oil cartel is concerned about excess supply in the second half of the year.

Separately, AFP reported that Barkindo said OPEC could hold an emergency meeting ahead of its December summit if needed. He declined to specify a price that would trigger a cut in the cartel's production quotas.
Posted by:Steve White

#19  No, to think that $2.25 per gallon is a bargain.
Posted by: mcsegeek1   2006-09-20 23:14  

#18  I've been conditioned to fill up every time the needle hits the "E"?

Posted by: kelly   2006-09-20 17:51  

#17  We've been pavlovianized

I wondered why I've been drooling everytime I've been filling up.
Posted by: Capsu 78   2006-09-20 16:25  

#16  Unless its back is buttered, lol.
Posted by: Seafarious   2006-09-20 14:15  

#15  I'm still stuck on comment #5 and trying to picture a 'dead cat bouncing...' big question and certainly off topic: will the corpse land on its stiff little feet?
Posted by: USN, ret.   2006-09-20 14:06  

#14  mcsegeek1, you are defintely right. Anwar, off the Florida shore, wherever we need to look, we need to look. And still we need to conserve. $25.00 a bareel would crush Chavez and Iran. That's the easist war we can fight.
Posted by: plainslow   2006-09-20 13:11  

#13  Oil at ONLY $62 pbl? Please. When we start drilling more, and refining more, and it drops to around $25 a barrel, then I might get excited.

We've been pavlovianized. We know gas was at $3 per gallon, so any relief is celebrated. Considering the VAST amount of reserves we have not tapped, (due to moonbattery, envirowackos and other issues)it ought to be at 79 or 89 cents.
Posted by: mcsegeek1   2006-09-20 12:21  

#12  Phil, I like it. LOL
Posted by: plainslow   2006-09-20 11:49  

#11  And we could put the windmills on top of the drilling rig, a win-win situation for both the oil industry and renewable energy.
Posted by: Phil   2006-09-20 11:13  

#10  I've heard that China and Chavez are already drilling off the florida coasts -- within sight of the US mainland?
Give them a subsidy to do it off the coast of Martha's Vineyard, that would really make Ted and John Mad.
Posted by: plainslow   2006-09-20 10:24  

#9  I've heard that China and Chavez are already drilling off the florida coasts -- within sight of the US mainland? The environmental groups don't seem to have a problem with them.

Hmm... perhaps the "environmental movement" is the current home of displaced Communists after all. They're not going to bash their fellow travelers.
Posted by: eLarson   2006-09-20 09:54  

#8  Just take it by force from the Arabs. They don't get money for terrorism and their poisonious Islam spewing and we get cheap oil.

Win-win situation!
Posted by: DarthVader   2006-09-20 09:42  

#7  Not find more - drill more! And refine more! We have oil in Alaska and off the coast of Florida which we refuse to drill for 'enviromental concerns' (as if environmental controls hasn't progressed any in the past 40 years...).

I've heard that China and Chavez are already drilling off the florida coasts -- within sight of the US mainland? The environmental groups don't seem to have a problem with them.

Posted by: CrazyFool   2006-09-20 09:27  

#6  We still need to find more oil, and conserve. The combination of the two as it is sliding, would slow Iran and Hugo Chavez down more than anything we could so diplomaticley.
Posted by: plainslow   2006-09-20 09:04  

#5   technically known as a banana

Banana, dead cat bounce... why did no one explain in my youth that high finance is so poetic? Possibly I might have developed a facility in it instead of an aversion to money altogether! ;-)
Posted by: trailing wife   2006-09-20 09:00  

#4  High prices also cut demand. This, and the rise of interest rates, signal an economic slowdown, technically known as a banana.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2006-09-20 06:32  

#3  ...Fox News yesterday said that oil closed slightly higher because Thunderhorse was down, but everything started heading south again almost immediately. I get the feeling that the traders have been burned far more badly than we are generally aware, and this could be the long-awaited 'market adjustment'. Can only imagine what it'll do once Prudhoe Bay gets back to 100% again.

Mike
Posted by: Mike Kozlowski   2006-09-20 06:17  

#2  Bloomberg is quoting oil at $61 as of 5 am EST.
Posted by: phil_b   2006-09-20 04:55  

#1  That's the market at work. Low prices breed high prices as supply (that is unprofitable at low prices) gets taken out of circulation. High prices breed low prices as supply (that is profitable at high prices) gets put back into circulation.
Posted by: Zhang Fei   2006-09-20 01:01  

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