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Iraq
Saudi will intervene in Iraq if US withdraws-aide
2006-11-29
WASHINGTON, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Using money, weapons or its oil power, Saudi Arabia will intervene to prevent Iranian-backed Shi'ite militias from massacring Iraqi Sunni Muslims once the United States begins pulling out of Iraq, a security adviser to the Saudi government said on Wednesday.

Nawaf Obaid, writing in The Washington Post, said the Saudi leadership was preparing to revise its Iraq policy to deal with the aftermath of a possible U.S. pullout, and is considering options including flooding the oil market to crash prices and thus limit Iran's ability to finance Shi'ite militias in Iraq.

"To be sure, Saudi engagement in Iraq carries great risks -- it could spark a regional war. So be it: The consequences of inaction are far worse," Obaid said.

The article said the opinions expressed were Obaid's own and not those of the Saudi government.

"To turn a blind eye to the massacre of Iraqi Sunnis would be to abandon the principles upon which the kingdom was founded. It would undermine Saudi Arabia's credibility in the Sunni world and would be a capitulation to Iran's militarist actions in the region," he said.

U.S. President George W. Bush will meet Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki in Jordan on Wednesday to discuss a surge in Sunni-Shi'ite violence in Iraq.

Bush has said he does not support calls for a U.S. withdrawal from Iraq, but he is expected soon to receive proposals for possible changes in U.S. policy in Iraq from a bipartisan panel.

Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil producer and exporter and a close U.S. ally, fears Shi'ite Iran has been gaining influence since the 2003 U.S.-led invasion of Iraq toppled Saddam Hussein's government.

U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney held talks with Saudi King Abdullah in Riyadh on Saturday. Details were not disclosed.

Obaid said Cheney's visit "underlines the pre-eminence of Saudi Arabia in the region and its importance to U.S. strategy in Iraq."

He said if the United States begins withdrawing from Iraq, "one of the first consequences will be massive Saudi intervention to stop Iranian-backed Shi'ite militias from butchering Iraqi Sunnis."

Obaid listed three options being considered by the Saudi government:

- providing "Sunni military leaders (primarily ex-Baathist members of the former Iraqi officer corps, who make up the backbone of the insurgency) with the same types of assistance", including funding and arms.

- establishing new Sunni brigades to combat the Iranian-backed militias;

- or the Saudi king "may decide to strangle Iranian funding of the militias through oil policy. If Saudi Arabia boosted production and cut the price of oil in half ... it would be devastating to Iran ... The result would be to limit Tehran's ability to continue funnelling hundreds of millions each year to Shi'ite militias in Iraq and elsewhere."
Posted by:GolfBravoUSMC

#4  I don't believe Saudistan has the capacity to flood the oil market, they are max'd out, the only capacity they have is to cut down on oil supply -- this threat would definitely have the US quaking in its boots. Perhaps this threat has already been secretly conveyed to Bush, and this may explain the weird US policy in Iraq at the moment.
Posted by: Anguper Hupomosing9418   2006-11-29 22:16  

#3  I am reasonably certain this does not have the Persians quaking in their boots.
Posted by: Excalibur   2006-11-29 16:09  

#2  Will intervene? Fire the Reuters editor who missed that verb tense error. Saudi money, materiel and manpower have been flowing into Iraq -- both officially and unofficially, as soon as the 2003 invasion was complete. As for flooding the oil market, I thought Saudi Arabia has been pumping at near maximum capacity, and with less foreign technical support since the local Al Qaeda cadres wne on a murder spree at the compounds housing high level resident aliens a few years ago. I keep waiting to hear that Saudi equipment has been irreparably damaged due to sand in the gears or something...
Posted by: trailing wife   2006-11-29 14:14  

#1  A proxi war between Saudis and Iranians in Iraq. Goody, goody.
Posted by: gromgoru   2006-11-29 13:33  

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