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Israel-Palestine-Jordan
In 2007, Expect Palestinian Arab Factions To Wage War
2006-12-29
Predictions time...
By YOUSSEF IBRAHIM - December 29, 2006
This year has been momentous for the Middle East, but 2007 is going to be dramatic.

In the Gaza Strip and West Bank, a full-scale factional war will erupt among the Palestinian Arabs, with unpredictable consequences.

This time around, the "brotherhood" is over.

Fatah, Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and other assorted mafias will participate, while outside sponsors such as Iran, Syria, and Jordan will supply the bullets, rockets, money, and ill-will.

International and American sanctions against Iran and Syria will increase, as will defiance by the two nations. Damascus and Tehran will team up to destabilize Lebanon by activating their proxy, Hezbollah — and the 400,000 Palestinian Arab refugees who work closely with the Shiite militia — to push the country into a renewed civil war, one far more vicious than the 15-year conflict that ended in 1990.

Like the Palestinian Arab battle, Lebanon's civil war will attract support and weapons, drawing in Western and Middle Eastern sponsors to supply the country's Christians, Shiites, Sunnis, Druze, and Armenians. Jihadists, always on the lookout for training spots, also will flock into Lebanon to establish bases of operations.
Posted by:.com

#9  In Israel — which in the summer of 2006 painfully discovered the limits of its military prowess against Hezbollah's guerrilla-style warfare in Lebanon...

More like "discovered the cost of acting like leftist anti-war pussies while fighting against people who want to exterminate you". And yeah, the cost will be high.

As for the forthcoming Paleo Cage Match, my only concern is there may not be enough popcorn on the entire planet. May the last man standing shoot himself out of shame and embarrassment for decades of hatred and idiocy.
Posted by: SteveS   2006-12-29 18:26  

#8  Fatah, Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and other assorted mafias will participate

Well, well. Looks like a few of them a catching on...
Posted by: tu3031   2006-12-29 14:08  

#7  many Paleo extended families have both Hamas and Fatah supporters.

And your evidence for this mhw?
Posted by: gromgoru   2006-12-29 09:26  

#6  outside sponsors such as Iran, Syria, and Jordan will supply the bullets, rockets, money [to Hamas].

Clearly, this is why Egypt is sending weapons to Fatah and why Israel and the US approve.
Posted by: PlanetDan   2006-12-29 09:25  

#5  a full-scale factional war will erupt among the Palestinian Arabs, with unpredictable consequences.

OK, here's one predictable consequence: Pop-Secret sales go through the roof. I'm putting a "buy" on the parent company.
Posted by: Jackal   2006-12-29 09:11  

#4  Wow. This guy reminds me of, like, Nostradamus or Kreskin or something...
Posted by: tu3031   2006-12-29 08:48  

#3  Granted the headline is what the NY Sun used but this rambling list of predictions would more properly be "Columnist predicts Bad Stuff to get Worse in the Middle East".

Regarding fractional war, there has already been a full decade of this already, although the violence has been intermittent.

I don't know what Ibrahim means by a full scale factional war. It won't likely be an Algeria type situation because neither side is that strong and because many Paleo extended families have both Hamas and Fatah supporters.
Posted by: mhw   2006-12-29 08:29  

#2  In Israel — which in the summer of 2006 painfully discovered the limits of its military prowess against Hezbollah's guerrilla-style warfare in Lebanon — politicians and the military will find that their enemies have been further emboldened.

Dream on Ahmad.
Posted by: gromgoru   2006-12-29 07:35  

#1  ...a full-scale factional war will erupt among the Palestinian Arabs

What's the downside? If they are waging war amongst themselves; they won't be so likely to wage war or conduct terrorism on others.
Posted by: JohnQC   2006-12-29 07:22  

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