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Home Front Economy
Chinese stock plunge sets off a worldwide sell-off
2007-02-28
LONDON: U.S. stocks plummeted Tuesday as concerns that the Chinese and American economies were cooling and fears that shares were overvalued sparked a global market decline. At one point the Dow industrial average was down more than 546 points, or 4.3 percent, at 12,086, but it recovered some ground in the last 90 minutes of trading to close at 12,216.24, down 416.02 points, or 3.3 percent, the worst drop since Sept. 17, 2001. The Dow rose last week to both a closing and an intraday record.

The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index lost 50.33 points, or 3.5 percent, to close at 1,399.04, and the Nasdaq composite tumbled 96.65, or 3.9 percent, to finish at 2,407.87.

A 9 percent slide in Chinese stocks — coming one day after investors sent the Shanghai benchmark index to a record close — set the tone for U.S. trading. Major West European indexes were down by between 2 percent and 3 percent.

Investors said negative news on the U.S. economy had exacerbated the stock declines in America and Europe. The Commerce Department said Tuesday that durable goods orders at American factories fell 7.8 percent in January, more than double what analysts had expected, on average. The disappointing numbers also came a day after Alan Greenspan, the former chairman of the Federal Reserve, was quoted as saying there were signs the economy could be heading for a recession.

"It looks more and more like the economy is a slow-growth economy," Michael Strauss, chief economist at Commonfund, told The Associated Press, noting that investors were expecting the government on Wednesday to revise its estimate of fourth-quarter gross domestic product growth down to an annual rate of about 2.3 percent from an initial 3.5 percent. But some analysts said it remained unclear whether the global sell-off constituted a correction or a broader collapse.

"We believe this is just short-term and more of a challenge for those who are not yet in equities," said Thomas Körfgen, head of equities at SEB in Frankfurt. "I do not see a threat yet to the global market, as the fundamentals are positive."
Posted by:Steve White

#14  actually, Mike, it's not official til Fred & the Mods vote on it in RB Imperial Council. Trust me - voice of experience :-(
Posted by: Frank G   2007-02-28 21:02  

#13  Wrong article. Its official, I'm a moron.
Posted by: Mike N.   2007-02-28 20:05  

#12  If a weak dollar is hurting airbust I think its time for America to start thinking about the good of France an Germany. Plundering both of their gold reserves should strengthen the dollar enough to help out airbust.

They have been such goods friends, its the least we can do.
Posted by: Mike N.   2007-02-28 20:02  

#11  Old adage but very true: no matter how bad the market, if your company doesn't go completely under, you haven't lost anything until you sell.
Posted by: mac   2007-02-28 18:54  

#10  can't panic, TW - longterm, Janus (JAOSX) has returned 19.93 last year, 13.32 over 5 years, and 8.88 since inception
Posted by: Frank G   2007-02-28 15:28  

#9  Glad to be of service, mac dear. Separately, Smart Money magazine has an article on the situation that y'all may find interesting. As of 12:43pm Eastern Time, China and Shanghai both rebounded, although apparently investors are taking the opportunity to unwind from their Japanese yen-based positions -- so Tokyo isn't doing well. I hope your investment recovers, Frank. It takes stronger nerves than mine to play in such waters.
Posted by: trailing wife   2007-02-28 13:36  

#8  There was also the small matter of the US Vice President almost getting assassinated yesterday. The lefties scoffed, and mostly cheered, but the markets pay attention to these things.
Posted by: Seafarious   2007-02-28 11:59  

#7  errrr.....no
Posted by: Frank G   2007-02-28 11:54  

#6  a good time to buy Airbus stock, Frank? (/sarcasm)
Posted by: BA   2007-02-28 10:52  

#5  I've got a good chunk in Janus Overseas, and it cost me yesterday - about $8000. Hopefully this will turn around. The Asian markets are off again (their Wednesday), but the Dow is up 30 as I write this and Bernanke's gonna speak the $ wisdom.... possibly a good time to buy
Posted by: Frank G   2007-02-28 09:49  

#4  The Chinese stock market.
I'm sure Mao must be spinning in his grave.
Posted by: tu3031   2007-02-28 09:47  

#3  TW, your husband is a lucky man. I've been a bit torqued this morning. I needed a laugh and ingenuously downplaying the WoT as "that silly war thingy" provided a much-welcomed one. Thanks!
Posted by: mac   2007-02-28 09:34  

#2  The US government deficit has been falling dramatically, despite having that silly war thingy to pay for, and may well fall to zero before the next president is sworn in. Separately, I heard on NPR this morning that the Chinese stock market regained 50% of yesterday's losses... although the other Asian bourses are still shaky. Did y'all realize that China's stock market valuation increased by 100% last year? If only it didn't involve money, I'd be on top of such things!
Posted by: trailing wife   2007-02-28 09:01  

#1  We need our American government to show better fiscal discipline in the near future by cutting spending to eliminate deficits, eventually leading to reductions in the National Debt. This would help to maintain the strength of the US dollar and reduce our vulnerabilities to negative foreign economic developments somewhat.

Think of it as a form of economic nationalism which has no downside.

We also need a national energy plan (probably emphasizing significantly greater reliance on nuclear power) with added utilization of clean coal, hydroelectric, solar, wind turbines etc.

This would help to keep energy prices low (and also eventually help in defunding terror-funding petrol states, but that's another matter.)
Posted by: Sic_Semper_Tyrannus   2007-02-28 01:08  

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