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| Europe |
| Christopher Hitchens: France now the most conservative country in Europe |
| 2007-04-16 |
| But that means French conservatism not American, which would be highly radical in French terms. Tooling along the Rue de Rivoli, I meet an old friend who conscripts me on the spot to attend a dinner given by French politicos and journalists for their visiting American counterparts. The U.S. guests have already met with the staff of the three foremost candidates for the French presidency, but it has been decided not to seek a meeting with the campaign of M. Jean-Marie Le Pen, of the National Front. As an adamant foe of the tradition of Petain and Poujade, I don't especially object to this fastidious etiquette. But it can be taken to extremes. (Jane Kramer's essay from Paris in last week's New Yorker had Le Pen as an offstage character only, as if in homage to the Greek drama, and the accompanying cartoon of the candidates simply omitted his blustering, vulgar visage.) This is a bit silly, because the most salient fact about the French elections is the degree to which they show a France that is moving steadily to the right. "Sixty-five per cent to the right, in fact," as I am told by Louis Dreyfus of the Nouvel Observateur. Only 30 percent of even the dwindling blue-collar electorate can now be counted upon to vote Socialist or Communist. The surprise "centrist" figure in the contest, Francois Bayrou, is an upper-crust Catholic from the elite ranks of Giscard d'Estaing's rump conservative faction. The front-runner, Nicolas Sarkozy, is a "law-and-order" hard-liner who promises to get tough with young Muslim slum-dwellers and rioters. The superficially glamorous Socialist, Segolene Royal, who got the nomination only by forcefully repudiating her party's Old Left, has pitched herself as the spokeswoman for the holy trinity of the tricolor, the Marseillaise, and Joan of Arc. M. Le Pen smirks broadly and says that everyone is moving his way in one form or another. And he isn't completely bluffing. There is a reason why the French Communist Party, which used to dominate the working class, the unions, and much of the lumpen intelligentsia, is now a spent force that represents perhaps 3 percent of the electorate. And that reason, uncomfortable as it may be, is that most of the Communist electorate defected straight to the National Front. All this comes at a time when the French political elite is discredited and enervated to an amazing degree. There is general agreement that the country cannot afford any more featherbedding, but the Socialist program is only the most egregious in promising to pay people more than they earn. Anti-Americanism has reached a point of diminishing returns. (!!!) A society that has benefited hugely from EU subsidies now resents the very bureaucracy at whose tit it has so long nursed. Amazing insularity is demonstrated in almost every presidential debate, with Mme. Royale the most astonishing in her apparent innocence of a world beyond the landlocked French district of Poitou of which she is regional president. (In the latest of many gaffe-strewn interviews, she seemed to be blissfully unaware that the Taliban was no longer the official government of Afghanistan.) Le Pen may still be proven wrong next weekend in his overconfident assertion that people will vote for the real thing rather than a surrogate. Sarkozy, and others, may draw his fangs by stealing his voters. I don't think it is sufficiently appreciated that France has now become the most conservative major country in Europe, where different defenses of the status quo are at war only with different forms of nostalgia and even outright reaction. |
| Posted by:trailing wife |
| #7 The article did say the most conservative major country in Europe, Procopius2k, but I had to shorten the headline somehow. It's the very last sentence of the article. Then too, French conservatism isn't like American -- in fact I have to wonder if current Danish behaviour isn't actually pretty radical in modern European terms. |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2007-04-16 21:35 |
| #6 LUCIANNE Poster > demographics? > FRANCE will be a MUSLIM/ISLAMIZED NUCLEAR POWER in Europe in 1-2 years. |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2007-04-16 21:22 |
| #5 France now the most conservative country in Europe Huh? It's the Danes who are in the fight. It's the Danes who are pushing back on the those seeking the subvert their culture. It's the Danes who've stood by America. Actions speak far better than words. |
| Posted by: Procopius2k 2007-04-16 21:09 |
| #4 Some of the freshest economic ideas are coming from Francois Bayrou, a champion of the average guy riding on disillusionment with the left-right paradigm. Yup - another advocate of the *Third Way* gets lionized by the media. What a crock. |
| Posted by: Zhang Fei 2007-04-16 20:09 |
| #3 More on what will impact the election from MSNBC: French flee stagnant economy Clusters of migrant workers mount the train’s crowded carriages, leaving their families and filing across the border to work at jobs more plentiful and lucrative than at home. These hungry young men and women are not from lands riven by war or financial ruin, but from France — one of the world’s richest countries, and straining to stay that way. Their knapsacks bear laptops or bottles of champagne, and their transport of choice is the Eurostar train, zipping them beneath the English Channel to London, a city radiating growth and opportunity. Some 2.2 million French people are believed to be living abroad today — half of whom are under 35, and half of whom don’t plan to return to France until retirement. This globalized electorate is attracting candidates’ attention, in a campaign where France’s shrinking role in the world economy is among voters’ greatest preoccupations. Half of French households live on less than $1,990 in income per month. Unemployment hasn’t fallen below 8 percent since 1984. Public debt has quintupled since 1980 to fund a welfare state that more people depend on for survival. Imports are spiking and fueling a ballooning trade deficit. France was among the top 10 richest countries per capita a generation ago — today’s it’s slipped to 17th place. France is now on the cusp of change, choosing a new president who will be expected to yank the state-dependent economy out of its doldrums — but probably won’t. Some of the freshest economic ideas are coming from Francois Bayrou, a champion of the average guy riding on disillusionment with the left-right paradigm. Bayrou, polling in third place, would allow businesses to hire two employees free of payroll taxes and social charges for the first five years — a shocking proposition here. But he would govern by consensus, a formula certain to bury bold reform. |
| Posted by: trailing wife 2007-04-16 19:13 |
| #2 What's the word 5089? |
| Posted by: Shipman 2007-04-16 18:47 |
| #1 Hitch I'll wait to see the mass deportations in Paris. |
| Posted by: Icerigger 2007-04-16 18:22 |