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China-Japan-Koreas
China imposes price freeze
2007-09-20
China is to enforce a freeze on all government-controlled prices in a sign of BeijingÂ’s alarm about rising popular anger over inflation, now at its highest rate in more than a decade.

The order freezes a vast array of prices still under the control of government in China, ranging from oil, electricity and water to the cost of parking and park entrance fees. The order, issued jointly by six ministries on Wednesday, comes after a vaguely worded announcement on the need to prevent price rises by the State Council, or cabinet.

“Any unauthorised price rises are strictly forbidden . . . and in principle there will be no new price-raising measures this year,” the ministries said. Events since the initial State Council announcement that inflation in August hit an 11-year high of 6.5 per cent appear to have galvanised the bureaucracy into a tougher stance.

Qing Wang, of Morgan Stanley, said in Hong Kong: “As inflation has gotten worse, the government may have felt it had to toughen its stand.”

Rising inflation is sensitive in the run-up to the five-yearly meeting of the Communist party, which is due to open on October 15 in Beijing and will choose the senior leadership until 2012. The sharp spike in inflation is largely due to higher food prices due to a shortage of pigs after a disease killed millions and the rising cost of feed – a global phenomenon.

But Chinese leaders and economists are increasingly worried that the impact of inflation and the subsequent government policy response, could cause severe problems for the economy. Though they were once solely a domestic concern, Chinese prices are now an international issue because of the possibility of the higher cost of consumer goods produced in China fuelling inflation in large export markets such as the US and Europe.

Beijing has raised borrowing costs five times this year, both to cool lending and to prevent negative real interest rates, which provide an extra incentive for people to take money out of banks to buy shares. China has raised the one-year deposit rate to 3.87 per cent, which is about equal to the eight-month average for inflation but well below AugustÂ’s 6.5 per cent.

The price freeze is the kind of administrative measure redolent of China’s former planned economy but it may be less effective in China today, economists said. “They will not be able to control the price of everything,” said Chen Xingdong, of BNP Paribas, in Beijing.
Posted by:lotp

#19  hopefully our leaders will soon realize just how stupid it was to ship our industrial base overseas

So long as assholes like Hsu can funnel Chinese funds into our political campaigns, don't count on it. Our politicians may as well be Beijing's sock puppets.
Posted by: Zenster   2007-09-20 19:15  

#18  Wonder why we never thought of doing that....

We did and it taught American industry an irreversible lesson in how to shave down what was once superior American quality to the marginal crap we see so much of today. Nixon's price and wage freeze installed quality fade as a permanent fixture in domestic manufacturing. Our national reputation has been suffering for it ever since.
Posted by: Zenster   2007-09-20 19:13  

#17  BTW, the Canadian and US dollars hit parity. Those worthless slugs you sometimes get as change from vending machines are now worth something, or the dollar isn't worth crap.
Posted by: ed   2007-09-20 17:48  

#16  Exactly my thoughts flash. I remember when €1 = $0.85 in the late 1990s, now $1.40. On the plus side, hopefully our leaders will soon realize just how stupid it was to ship our industrial base overseas and will also mandate producing our energy needs domestically.
Posted by: ed   2007-09-20 17:38  

#15  
Inflation means money buys less comodities. I don't suppose the dollar peg has anything to do with this?

Since the dollar is tanking, pegged currencies will tank along with it.

Price freezes mean shortages, not good for a peacetime economy.
Posted by: flash91   2007-09-20 16:57  

#14  Before you know it they'll have to hire Mexicans to do the jobs the Chinese won't do.
Posted by: Glenmore   2007-09-20 15:58  

#13  My friend owns a couple of businesses in northern (remote, not far from Siberia) China. The price of staple foods like eggs and grains has doubled in the past couple of years. As the south gets richer, rural folks are getting hammered. He used to be able to hire unskilled labour for $50/mo, now they make more than twice as much. His plant manager gets $1k/mo, which would be unheard of 10 years ago.
Posted by: Canukistan   2007-09-20 15:49  

#12  Price freeze to force shortages control anything.

Yeah, that'll work.

Brilliant guys, these Chinese. Wonder why we never thought of doing that....
Posted by: Barbara Skolaut   2007-09-20 15:24  

#11  took a page out of the Zimbobwae playbook, did they?? should work out just about as good.
Posted by: USN, Ret.   2007-09-20 14:37  

#10  At a certain point there's going to be either a rebellion or one hell of an inventory control problem.

I hear they've had that for several years now.
Posted by: Abdominal Snowman   2007-09-20 13:05  

#9  Geez these guys sound like dhimocrats.

Yup. Just like the most recent American president to impose a price freeze. What was his name? Oh yeah, Richard Nixon.
Posted by: Zenster   2007-09-20 11:44  

#8  freeze prices to control inflation in the food costs and avoid a price generated famine in the process.

Posted by: 3dc   2007-09-20 10:19  

#7  Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. It results from the power that controls money supply, in our case the Fed, increasing the supply of money to quickly. Money is subject to the laws of supply and demand, just like any other commodity. Increase the supply of anything and the price will decline. It's just that when the supply of money is increased, it's the price of everything else that increases while the nominal price of money remains constant. That is why price freezes never work; they only create black markets.

To stop inflation, stop growing the money supply. This will usually induce a recession, but not always. And a recession will not necessarily stop inflation if money supply continues to grow too quickly.
Posted by: Nimble Spemble   2007-09-20 09:51  

#6  This seems to be a freeze on items the government already controls the price of.

This will just slow down the pace of increase in inflation. The only thing that will stop inflation is a recession, probably severe. Interesting times.
Posted by: phil_b   2007-09-20 09:21  

#5  Freeze prices to control inflation. Yep, that'll work.

Buffoons...
Unless they can control the prices of incoming raw materials, soon the factories will be so far in debt because they can't make any money since their costs are greater than their profits that the whole system will blow up in their face. Geez these guys sound like dhimocrats.
Posted by: DarthVader   2007-09-20 08:06  

#4  The problem is that when dictatorships (or, for that matter, any strong government) are faced with situations that make the 'people' unhappy they tend to create distractions or scapegoats to deflect the dissatisfaction away from themselves. If the problem gets bad enough in China I would expect them to blame Taiwan and demand that the wayward province be re-united with the nation, by force, of course. Common enemy means government is safe from insurrection.
Posted by: Glenmore   2007-09-20 07:52  

#3  Inflation, yup. That's what happens when you have so much money going around. Only problem is, there are a ton of people who make $200/mo or less, and inflation hits them the hardest. Of course, they won't rebel, they have no guns. The only threat to the regime is splinter WJ or PLA officers.
Posted by: gromky   2007-09-20 03:02  

#2  I always tried to imagine hundreds of thousands of Chinese workers making millions of items they themselves can not afford. At a certain point there's going to be either a rebellion or one hell of an inventory control problem.
Posted by: Procopius2k   2007-09-20 00:32  

#1  You can talk about subprime debt and global financial intrigure all you want, but the basic problem for Chinese inflation is that China cannot make the world's goods and their own goods as well. Something has to give.
Posted by: badanov   2007-09-20 00:07  

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