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Home Front: Politix
Obama's lead over Clinton narrows: poll
2008-03-19
Democrat Barack Obama's big national lead over Hillary Clinton has all but evaporated in the US presidential race, and both Democrats trail Republican John McCain, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released.

The poll showed Obama had only a statistically insignificant lead of 47 per cent to 44 per cent over Clinton, down sharply from a 14 point edge he held over her in February when he was riding the tide of 10 straight victories.

Illinois Senator Obama, who would be America's first black president, has been buffeted by attacks in recent weeks from New York Senator Clinton over his fitness to serve as commander-in-chief and by a tempest over racially charged sermons given by his Chicago preacher.

The poll showed Arizona Senator McCain, who has clinched the Republican presidential nomination, is benefiting from the lengthy campaign battle between Obama and Clinton, who are now battling to win Pennsylvania on April 22.

McCain leads 46 per cent to 40 per cent in a hypothetical match-up against Obama in the November presidential election, according to the poll.

That is a sharp turnaround from the Reuters/Zogby poll from last month, which showed in a head-to-head matchup that Obama would beat McCain 47 per cent to 40 per cent.

"The last couple of weeks have taken a toll on Obama and in a general election match-up, on both Democrats," said pollster John Zogby.

Matched up against Clinton, McCain leads 48 per cent to 40 per cent, narrower than his 50 to 38 per cent advantage over her in February.

"It's not surprising to me that McCain's on top because there is disarray and confusion on the Democratic side.
Posted by:tipper

#9  Rasmussen showed similar numbers for daily polling over the weekend, but had the decency to say they weren't sure that it wasn't a blip.

Woozle's right: if Zogby breaks down and gives out these numbers, then it's an admission that things aren't looking good.
Posted by: Pappy   2008-03-19 14:21  

#8  JQC - the VRWC covers the whole world and other places :)

How else can one explain that the great domestic phillo-so-phizer Cindy Sheehan (and sometime poet) only gets about a dozen hits a day on her blog? It's because (as you already well know) that BushCheneyMcchimpyhitler and company are using haliburton to compromise the signals thus reconfirming their high crimes and misdemeanors on the innocent patriotic anti-war movement....as Cindy once said so brilliantly we need to "m-peach-cheney" (except w/the fruit logo - makes a cool shirt)...it can't get any more pithy then that, who said only the right had cool slogans? I am sure Dick Cheney will never be able to recover from such an epithet.
Posted by: Broadhead6   2008-03-19 14:02  

#7  For Hillary to win without pulling superdelegates already committed to Obama she would have to win 94% of the remaining unselected primary delegates - since they don't have 'winner take all' primaries, that can't happen.
For Obama to win without pulling superdelegates already committed to Hillary he would have to win 70% of those not yet selected - highly unlikely.
That means this election will be decided by the superdelegates. If Obama does not win there, and if he enters with a plurality of other delegates, there will be serious problems with the internal cohesion of the party base. The 'solution' would be Obama for Pres & Clinton for VP; can her ego take that? If that does happen, I look for an easy Democratic victory. And we should take out life insurance policies on Obama.
Posted by: Menhadden Snogum6713   2008-03-19 12:55  

#6  LOL BH6 :) Wow BH6, the "vast right wing conspiracy" is more vast than I ever imagined.
Posted by: JohnQC   2008-03-19 11:42  

#5  Plus, hill-da-beast is a war hero, didn't you hear how she braved sniper fire in Kosovo? It happened while protecting both Chelsea and Sinbad the Comedian with her body while calling in accurate close air support....lucky for them her past training of thinking of joining the Marine ROTC thingy back in college came in handy....of course you won't hear about any of this because the far right attack machine and the news talk shows (which, should be subjected to the fairness doctrine - especially those fascists Limbaugh, Boortz & Wilkow) have put a virtual media gag on this whole thing..don't be fooled into thinking that Mein Furher Rove is just a "news analyst" over at Faux News. (sarcasm/off)
Posted by: Broadhead6   2008-03-19 11:34  

#4  I am listening to the "inevitable candidate", Hillary Clinton speak while typing this. She is talking about all the wonderful things she has done in this world and why she would make the best COC--she is after all the smartest woman in the world--except for the missus JohnQC. The donk candidates induce sleep and make one want to run naked in traffic so as to liven things up. Both candidates are trying to distance themselves from the "liberal" label because you don't win elections in this country as a liberal. However, they are still liberals no matter what lies they spread or what they run as.
Posted by: JohnQC   2008-03-19 11:21  

#3  For several poll results: www.presidentpolls2008.com

Obama has tanked in the PA primary (in one month).
Clinton even appears to be making in roads among black voters in the state. She trails just 63-27 with that group, which Obama has tended to get over 80% of the vote from in key primary states so far. She has a 40 point lead, 63-23, with white voters.
Posted by: ed   2008-03-19 09:44  

#2  When the liar Zogby admits Barry's slipping, it probably means he's dropped like a rock and Billary is 15-20 points ahead and pulling away. Zogby has been puffing up Barry's numbers from day one. Probably a paid campaign consultant.
Posted by: Woozle Elmeter 2700   2008-03-19 09:33  

#1  Tsk, tsk, tsk---could it be Americans do not believe that the POTUS position should be subject to affirmative action quotas?
Posted by: g(r)omgoru   2008-03-19 08:55  

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